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Chase Meidroth

CWS · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Chase Meidroth · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G45.800.8001.6001.010.82820.0%0.0%0.0%94.3102.925.0%50.0%100.0%
Last 15 G1122.550.5911.100.736.5244.5%9.1%5.4%90.3110.215.8%52.6%47.4%
Last 30 G1730.520.6001.000.682.5263.3%13.3%6.5%90.0110.212.5%50.0%45.8%
90 days4388.366.471.690.498.42211.4%15.9%13.9%87.4110.26.3%42.9%41.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 63 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 27%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.308.400.538.407.32826.7%6.7%20.8%76.9102.611.1%33.3%22.2%
Last 15 G1540.206.300.324.281.29330.0%10.0%23.4%82.0102.64.3%30.4%34.8%
Last 30 G3094.226.298.298.281.27024.5%8.5%22.6%82.9105.81.6%27.4%37.1%
90 days71218.236.312.354.307.28122.0%8.7%17.9%84.0105.83.4%31.8%32.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 148 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 20%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.444.500.833.557.45325.0%5.0%14.3%82.3102.915.4%38.5%46.2%
Last 15 G1562.333.403.611.443.37521.0%9.7%17.5%85.8110.29.5%40.5%40.5%
Last 30 G30124.294.371.459.378.33219.4%9.7%19.0%84.9110.24.7%33.7%39.5%
90 days74306.271.357.444.361.32119.0%10.8%16.7%85.0110.24.3%35.1%35.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 211 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 8%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPChangeup84.566.030.849Single
Sep 24LHPSlider87.598.412.920Double
Sep 23RHPSinker90.650.987.006Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper76.934.0-48.241Single
Sep 23LHPCutter87.093.315.874Single
Sep 22LHPChangeup84.2102.9301.444Home run
Sep 22LHPChangeup84.082.718.903Single
Sep 22RHPSinker93.288.5-23.073Single
Sep 22RHPFastball94.268.5-48.206Out
Sep 20RHPFastball95.497.111.838Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup90.799.6-33.086Force out
Sep 20RHPFastball93.6102.6331.180Home run
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24323001
Sep 23422001
Sep 22536110
Sep 20514102
Sep 19300001
Sep 18400011
Sep 17411000
Sep 16534000
Sep 15523000
Sep 14411001
FormHot
Contact rating69Above average
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.361 / .335running 27 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.344
Barrel%2.7%
Hard-hit%24.6%
K%18.7%
BB%10.5%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Chase Meidroth · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Chase Meidroth · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Andrew Sears: 58.3% · no hitSep 19 vs Jackson Jobe: 53.2% · no hitSep 20 vs Troy Melton: 52.3% · 1 HSep 22 vs Daniel Lynch IV: 59.0% · 3 HSep 23 vs Seth Lugo: 62.0% · 2 HSep 24 vs Randy Dobnak: 59.5% · 2 HSep 18Sep 24

Hits in 4 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 6BTB expected 3.4
Games with 2+ TB4 of 6BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR2 of 6BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeDwOBA .344 · K% 18.7%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Randy Dobnak59.5%26.9%6.1%3230
Sep 23Seth Lugo62.0%31.4%7.0%4220
Sep 22Daniel Lynch IV59.0%32.5%7.0%5361
Sep 20Troy Melton52.3%25.9%5.7%5141
Sep 19Jackson Jobe53.2%26.5%6.1%3000
Sep 18Andrew Sears58.3%28.4%7.0%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.