MLBengine v14
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Christian Vázquez

HOU · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

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Sep 26 · 8:40 PM CTvs Jack Perkins RHPHOU @ OAK1+ hit 54.2%2+ TB 27.8%HR 7.1%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Christian Vázquez · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.200.200.200.180.15020.0%0.0%31.2%85.298.40.0%25.0%12.5%
Last 15 G1535.188.235.375.271.23220.0%5.7%15.2%84.6105.17.7%23.1%26.9%
Last 30 G2968.185.209.323.248.20227.9%2.9%19.7%82.3105.14.3%21.3%31.9%
90 days2968.185.209.323.248.20227.9%2.9%19.7%82.3105.14.3%21.3%31.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 47 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 21%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.000.000.000.000.14650.0%0.0%28.6%81.088.30.0%0.0%50.0%
Last 15 G69.125.222.125.178.23644.4%11.1%20.8%86.492.10.0%0.0%50.0%
Last 30 G1423.222.318.278.284.31626.1%13.0%25.0%83.3100.40.0%21.4%50.0%
90 days1423.222.318.278.284.31626.1%13.0%25.0%83.3100.40.0%21.4%50.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 14 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 29%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.143.143.143.129.14928.6%0.0%30.4%84.398.40.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1544.175.233.325.251.23325.0%6.8%16.7%84.9105.16.7%20.0%30.0%
Last 30 G3091.193.236.313.257.23027.5%5.5%21.1%82.5105.13.3%21.3%36.1%
90 days3091.193.236.313.257.23027.5%5.5%21.1%82.5105.13.3%21.3%36.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 61 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 23%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 15%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball92.694.963.016Out
Sep 24RHPFastball98.898.0-2.296Out
Sep 24RHPCutter90.372.128.759Single
Sep 18RHPFastball92.189.378.018Out
Sep 18RHPFastball92.681.745.031Out
Sep 10RHPSinker94.658.2-10.061Out
Sep 10RHPSinker95.188.6-19.072Out
Sep 6LHPChangeup83.988.30.187Out
Sep 6LHPFastball90.673.831.398Out
Sep 6RHPFastball97.298.4-3.250Single
Sep 2RHPCurveball80.997.0-6.191Force out
Sep 2RHPFastball93.092.423.185Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411001
Sep 18200000
Sep 12300003
Sep 10200000
Sep 6311000
Sep 2300000
Aug 31411011
Aug 29200000
Aug 26300002
Aug 23300001
FormNormal
Contact rating3Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches0steady
wOBA / xwOBA.249 / .239results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.275
Barrel%2.8%
Hard-hit%19.2%
K%21.7%
BB%7.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Christian Vázquez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Christian Vázquez · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tyler Mahle: 46.7% · no hitSep 24 vs Mason Barnett: 54.3% · 1 HSep 18Sep 24

Hits in 1 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 2BTB expected 1.0
Games with 2+ TB0 of 2BTB expected 0.5
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.1
Talent gradeFwOBA .275 · K% 21.7%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Mason Barnett54.3%26.0%8.1%4110
Sep 18Tyler Mahle46.7%21.1%5.7%2000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.