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Drake Baldwin

ATL · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Drake Baldwin · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.429.500.500.447.58418.8%6.2%23.1%90.2107.327.3%54.5%45.5%
Last 15 G1347.390.447.610.450.50612.8%6.4%18.1%89.1107.619.4%44.4%47.2%
Last 30 G2693.381.430.583.435.41721.5%6.5%27.2%90.4108.715.4%44.6%47.7%
90 days70232.346.418.541.421.39918.1%9.5%22.0%92.1109.212.2%51.8%38.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 164 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 22%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.286.375.429.356.24525.0%12.5%20.0%91.0105.60.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 15 G923.238.304.333.287.27034.8%8.7%22.7%93.2106.40.0%53.8%38.5%
Last 30 G1943.225.279.300.262.25830.2%7.0%27.2%90.6106.40.0%44.4%44.4%
90 days56121.205.264.250.238.30221.5%6.6%23.0%89.9109.53.5%46.5%37.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 86 balls in play
Ground 58%Line drive 20%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G524.381.458.476.417.47120.8%8.3%22.4%90.4107.318.8%50.0%43.8%
Last 15 G1570.339.400.516.396.42920.0%7.1%19.5%90.2107.614.3%46.9%44.9%
Last 30 G30136.331.382.492.381.36724.3%6.6%27.2%90.5108.710.9%44.6%46.7%
90 days79353.297.365.438.358.36619.3%8.5%22.3%91.3109.59.2%50.0%38.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 250 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 21%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 6%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker89.8104.4301.594Out
Sep 24RHPFastball97.6106.615.688Out
Sep 24RHPSlider83.094.9-10.152Single
Sep 24RHPCutter89.4104.6261.763Out
Sep 24LHPSinker93.5100.80.386Double
Sep 23LHPFastball91.860.2-82.140Out
Sep 23LHPSweeper82.294.030.236Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper84.094.322.215Out
Sep 22RHPFastball94.756.8-80.123Single
Sep 22LHPCutter91.5105.6-6.285Single
Sep 20RHPSinker96.2102.76.603Single
Sep 20RHPSlider85.988.545.006Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24523000
Sep 23500002
Sep 22422010
Sep 20511012
Sep 19534001
Sep 18523011
Sep 16400000
Sep 15525101
Sep 14422011
Sep 13511002
FormNormal
Contact rating96Top tier
Last 100 pitches100steady
wOBA / xwOBA.361 / .385running 24 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases8/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Drake Baldwin · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Drake Baldwin · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Peter Lambert: 68.9% · 2 HSep 19 vs Hayden Wesneski: 72.0% · 3 HSep 20 vs Hunter Brown: 69.7% · 1 HSep 22 vs Brandon Williamson: 70.7% · 2 HSep 23 vs Andrew Abbott: 71.6% · no hitSep 24 vs Brady Singer: 66.6% · 2 HSep 25 vs Eury Pérez: 67.4% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 4.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 6BTB expected 4.2
Games with 2+ TB4 of 6BTB expected 2.6
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.9
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Eury Pérez67.4%40.0%13.1%not settled
Sep 24Brady Singer66.6%35.8%14.1%5230
Sep 23Andrew Abbott71.6%41.1%13.4%5000
Sep 22Brandon Williamson70.7%43.6%13.3%4220
Sep 20Hunter Brown69.7%47.7%15.3%5110
Sep 19Hayden Wesneski72.0%49.9%16.2%5340
Sep 18Peter Lambert68.9%41.6%15.1%5230
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.