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Heriberto Hernández

MIA · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Heriberto Hernández · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.077.333.077.259.31716.7%27.8%23.3%88.9101.80.0%22.2%22.2%
Last 15 G1456.213.339.213.295.28526.8%16.1%29.0%88.0104.53.2%32.3%25.8%
Last 30 G2996.225.354.412.369.33626.0%15.6%26.4%87.5109.27.4%35.2%31.5%
90 days73224.214.312.403.339.31330.8%11.6%30.8%89.3109.211.1%45.2%29.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 126 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 17%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G26.167.167.167.150.25433.3%0.0%27.3%100.8107.50.0%100.0%0.0%
Last 15 G615.133.133.133.120.31820.0%0.0%21.9%100.0107.58.3%83.3%16.7%
Last 30 G1742.211.286.368.289.41316.7%7.1%26.5%94.8111.322.6%54.8%25.8%
90 days4393.247.344.543.378.41821.5%11.8%28.1%93.9111.319.7%47.5%36.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 61 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 16%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G524.105.292.105.230.30020.8%20.8%24.4%92.6107.50.0%46.2%15.4%
Last 15 G1571.194.296.194.257.29225.4%12.7%27.3%91.3107.54.7%46.5%23.3%
Last 30 G30138.220.333.398.344.36023.2%13.0%26.4%90.2111.312.9%42.4%29.4%
90 days74317.224.322.444.351.34428.1%11.7%30.0%90.8111.313.9%46.0%31.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 187 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 17%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 10%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball94.4100.837.521Out
Sep 24RHPSinker100.484.3-17.066Force out
Sep 24LHPFastball94.395.1-20.117Double play
Sep 23RHPFastball92.281.1-49.157Out
Sep 23RHPFastball94.1101.7-22.105Out
Sep 22LHPFastball91.999.940.303Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.1107.56.584Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper86.694.721.278Out
Sep 20RHPSinker94.0101.8-14.192Force out
Sep 20RHPFastball94.694.559.033Out
Sep 20RHPFastball100.875.90.100Out
Sep 19RHPFastball94.872.335.481Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400001
Sep 23400020
Sep 22611011
Sep 20400001
Sep 19611022
Sep 18411002
Sep 16544001
Sep 15511001
Sep 14511011
Sep 13411011
FormNormal
Contact rating86Excellent
Last 100 pitches15trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.352 / .360results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Heriberto Hernández · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Heriberto Hernández · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Nick Pivetta: 56.4% · 1 HSep 19 vs Casey Mize: 59.2% · 1 HSep 22 vs Shota Imanaga: 60.0% · 1 HSep 23 vs Kevin Gausman: 61.0% · no hitSep 24 vs Matthew Boyd: 59.9% · no hitSep 25 vs Ray Kerr: 58.3% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 3.0
Games with 2+ TB0 of 5BTB expected 2.0
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 1.0
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Ray Kerr58.3%36.4%15.4%not settled
Sep 24Matthew Boyd59.9%35.9%21.5%4000
Sep 23Kevin Gausman61.0%36.7%17.9%4000
Sep 22Shota Imanaga60.0%45.4%21.5%6110
Sep 19Casey Mize59.2%42.1%17.2%6110
Sep 18Nick Pivetta56.4%37.5%17.1%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.