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Kevin McGonigle

DET · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Kevin McGonigle · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.286.267.500.310.42313.3%0.0%8.3%90.9105.115.4%46.2%46.2%
Last 15 G1554.348.426.674.474.46213.0%13.0%11.1%87.9108.412.5%45.0%50.0%
Last 30 G2894.259.351.494.373.41111.7%12.8%10.6%88.3108.49.9%43.7%45.1%
90 days68240.288.383.483.387.37911.7%13.3%11.7%87.6108.47.3%39.3%41.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 178 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 27%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.444.545.556.550.28027.3%18.2%18.8%74.498.70.0%33.3%50.0%
Last 15 G1118.312.389.375.386.30022.2%11.1%14.8%81.6101.50.0%41.7%41.7%
Last 30 G2045.275.356.350.357.34515.6%11.1%21.3%84.3106.06.1%33.3%33.3%
90 days51107.237.318.312.310.28020.6%11.2%21.1%88.1106.04.1%35.6%31.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 73 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 18%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G526.348.385.522.412.36319.2%7.7%12.5%85.7105.110.5%42.1%47.4%
Last 15 G1572.339.417.597.452.42115.3%12.5%12.0%86.5108.49.6%44.2%48.1%
Last 30 G30139.264.353.446.368.39012.9%12.2%14.0%87.0108.48.7%40.4%41.3%
90 days74347.272.363.430.363.34914.4%12.7%14.5%87.8108.46.4%38.2%38.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 251 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 24%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPSweeper84.1103.222.927Double
Sep 23RHPSinker98.5105.113.824Single
Sep 23LHPFastball90.378.0-27.040Single
Sep 23LHPSinker88.455.4-4.109Out
Sep 22LHPSlider83.235.3-57.266Single
Sep 22LHPSlider85.896.520.340Double
Sep 20RHPFastball92.785.9-10.119Out
Sep 20RHPFastball94.293.432.178Out
Sep 20RHPFastball93.368.55.208Out
Sep 19RHPCutter90.782.436.025Sac fly
Sep 19RHPFastball94.760.510.142Out
Sep 19RHPFastball99.9103.3-10.283Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23534001
Sep 22523003
Sep 20500011
Sep 19511000
Sep 18624010
Sep 17522011
Sep 16522001
Sep 15400030
Sep 14522000
Sep 13413010
FormNormal
Contact rating91Top tier
Last 100 pitches80trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.361 / .369results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases8/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Kevin McGonigle · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Kevin McGonigle · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs David Sandlin: 66.9% · 2 HSep 19 vs Sean Burke: 66.1% · 1 HSep 20 vs Davis Martin: 69.8% · no hitSep 22 vs Riley Cornelio: 63.6% · 2 HSep 25 vs Bubba Chandler: 65.4% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.7. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 4BTB expected 2.7
Games with 2+ TB2 of 4BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.6
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Bubba Chandler65.4%37.4%11.7%not settled
Sep 22Riley Cornelio63.6%38.8%12.8%5230
Sep 20Davis Martin69.8%49.2%14.7%5000
Sep 19Sean Burke66.1%43.7%14.6%5110
Sep 18David Sandlin66.9%40.1%13.7%6240
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.