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Nick Loftin

KC · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Nick Loftin · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.385.385.462.373.27623.1%0.0%10.0%83.9101.60.0%50.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1135.303.343.394.327.28520.0%5.7%9.7%81.9101.63.8%30.8%46.2%
Last 30 G2479.264.329.403.324.27321.5%8.9%16.4%85.1104.63.6%30.9%41.8%
90 days58171.232.304.377.309.26819.3%8.8%16.4%83.1104.62.5%25.4%35.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 122 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 17%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.429.5001.000.606.4110.0%12.5%0.0%89.6106.514.3%71.4%28.6%
Last 15 G1019.167.211.389.255.22126.3%5.3%26.7%88.2106.57.7%53.8%23.1%
Last 30 G1635.250.314.500.347.28920.0%8.6%25.0%89.3106.58.0%44.0%32.0%
90 days4292.256.337.378.324.30019.6%9.8%20.6%86.9106.53.2%31.7%36.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 63 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 27%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.400.429.650.462.32714.3%4.8%6.7%86.3106.55.9%58.8%35.3%
Last 15 G1554.255.296.392.302.26222.2%5.6%15.2%84.0106.55.1%38.5%38.5%
Last 30 G30114.260.325.433.331.27821.1%8.8%18.8%86.4106.55.0%35.0%38.8%
90 days70263.240.315.378.314.27919.4%9.1%17.8%84.4106.52.7%27.6%35.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 185 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 21%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker95.866.714.329Out
Sep 24RHPFastball92.697.318.477Double
Sep 22LHPSinker95.7106.5-9.323Out
Sep 22LHPSlider85.6102.1321.083Home run
Sep 22LHPSinker95.395.846.011Out
Sep 22RHPSlider84.076.440.153Out
Sep 20RHPFastball94.630.511.291Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper83.278.868.005Out
Sep 20RHPCutter93.096.5-5.271Single
Sep 20LHPSinker95.9101.1-12.258Out
Sep 19RHPSlider91.1101.66.593Single
Sep 19RHPSinker97.194.310.628Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24412002
Sep 22414100
Sep 20411000
Sep 19544000
Sep 18412011
Sep 17100000
Sep 16311010
Sep 15100000
Sep 13300001
Sep 12400003
FormHot
Contact rating18Poor
Last 100 pitches54trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.308 / .280running 28 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.304
Barrel%2.7%
Hard-hit%20.4%
K%19.1%
BB%8.8%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Nick Loftin · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Nick Loftin · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Paul Skenes: 50.5% · 1 HSep 19 vs Bubba Chandler: 54.9% · 4 HSep 20 vs Lake Bachar: 53.6% · 1 HSep 22 vs Anthony Kay: 53.8% · 1 HSep 24 vs David Sandlin: 58.5% · 1 HSep 18Sep 24

Hits in 5 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.7. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 5BTB expected 2.7
Games with 2+ TB4 of 5BTB expected 1.3
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeFwOBA .304 · K% 19.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24David Sandlin58.5%26.2%6.0%4120
Sep 22Anthony Kay53.8%25.3%5.7%4141
Sep 20Lake Bachar53.6%29.4%5.3%4110
Sep 19Bubba Chandler54.9%27.9%5.7%5440
Sep 18Paul Skenes50.5%21.4%5.1%4120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.