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Oswaldo Cabrera

CIN · Hitter · 3 games projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Oswaldo Cabrera · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G412.000.000.000.040.20133.3%0.0%14.3%73.298.40.0%37.5%12.5%
Last 15 G412.000.000.000.040.20133.3%0.0%14.3%73.298.40.0%37.5%12.5%
Last 30 G412.000.000.000.040.20133.3%0.0%14.3%73.298.40.0%37.5%12.5%
90 days412.000.000.000.040.20133.3%0.0%14.3%73.298.40.0%37.5%12.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 8 balls in play
Ground 88%Line drive 13%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G27.143.143.286.208.03457.1%0.0%28.6%70.889.70.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G27.143.143.286.208.03457.1%0.0%28.6%70.889.70.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 30 G27.143.143.286.208.03457.1%0.0%28.6%70.889.70.0%0.0%0.0%
90 days27.143.143.286.208.03457.1%0.0%28.6%70.889.70.0%0.0%0.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 2 balls in play
Ground 100%Line drive 0%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.059.059.118.103.13842.1%0.0%21.4%72.798.40.0%30.0%10.0%
Last 15 G519.059.059.118.103.13842.1%0.0%21.4%72.798.40.0%30.0%10.0%
Last 30 G519.059.059.118.103.13842.1%0.0%21.4%72.798.40.0%30.0%10.0%
90 days519.059.059.118.103.13842.1%0.0%21.4%72.798.40.0%30.0%10.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 10 balls in play
Ground 90%Line drive 10%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 0%

Recent contact

Last 10 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPSlider82.351.85.091Double
Sep 23RHPChangeup91.561.1-55.276Out
Sep 20LHPSinker91.189.7-14.116Out
Jul 1RHPFastball96.098.37.547Out
Jul 1RHPChangeup88.567.9-15.040Out
Jul 1RHPFastball96.947.0-68–Sac bunt
Jun 29RHPFastball97.896.417.504Out
Jun 28RHPCutter89.387.0-23.063Out
Jun 28RHPSinker98.898.4-13.176Force out
Jun 28RHPCutter95.329.1-16–Sac bunt
Last 5 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23512002
Sep 20300002
Jul 1400001
Jun 29300002
Jun 28400001
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.073 / .149running 76 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit1/5
2+ total bases1/5
Home run0/5

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.312
Barrel%1.4%
Hard-hit%23.8%
K%23.5%
BB%8.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Oswaldo Cabrera · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 20 vs David Peterson: 47.7% · no hitSep 23 vs Chris Sale: 53.9% · 1 HSep 25 vs José Soriano: 53.0% · not settledSep 20Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 2BTB expected 1.0
Games with 2+ TB1 of 2BTB expected 0.5
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.1
Talent gradeFwOBA .312 · K% 23.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25José Soriano53.0%23.8%4.0%not settled
Sep 23Chris Sale53.9%25.0%4.8%4120
Sep 20David Peterson47.7%25.2%4.6%3000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.