Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Heliot Ramos's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 59.8% | 58.8% | +1.0 |
| 2+ total bases | 37.1% | 35.6% | +1.5 |
| Home run | 14.6% | 12.8% | +1.8 |
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Pitch by pitch
Heliot Ramos against each of Brandon Young's pitches| His pitch | Usage | Velo | Movement | His wOBA | League | His whiff% | League | Sample | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 41% | 94.6 | +6″ / +18″ | .342 | .351 | 27.4% | 19.5% | 53 | About league average vs these; misses them more than most |
| Splitter | 18% | 83.9 | +8″ / +1″ | .257 | .266 | 36.8% | 31.9% | 5 | Little history vs this shape |
| Slider | 16% | 85.2 | -2″ / +4″ | .311 | .321 | 32.2% | 29.9% | 20 | About league average vs these |
| Sinker | 14% | 94.2 | +15″ / +11″ | .340 | .350 | 16.7% | 11.6% | 54 | About league average vs these; misses them more than most |
| Curveball | 12% | 75.5 | -13″ / -15″ | .269 | .279 | 33.9% | 31.7% | 5 | Little history vs this shape |
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightNo pitch-level data for this hitter in the current window.
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Two strikes
| Pitch | Overall | 2 strikes | Whiff% | Put-away | League put-away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 41% | 43% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 18.0% |
| Splitter | 18% | 22% | 39.6% | 19.4% | 19.0% |
| Slider | 16% | 21% | 37.0% | 25.8% | 21.1% |
| Sinker | 14% | 8% | 4.3% | 11.8% | 17.0% |
| Curveball | 12% | 7% | 50.0% | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| With two strikes | Him | League |
|---|---|---|
| K% | 50.0% | 42.4% |
| Whiff% | 27.5% | 22.2% |
| Contact% | 72.5% | 77.8% |
| Chase% | 36.0% | 39.9% |
| wOBA | .217 | .237 |
| Whiff vs his put-away shapes | 27.9% | 22.5% |
The hitter
season-level talent readAgainst right-handers, last 90 days
189 PATalent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
| Date | Pitches | K% | Whiff% | Hard-hit% | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | 84 | 41% | 17% | 18% | .281 |
| Sep 14 | 106 | 25% | 10% | 25% | .379 |
| Sep 8 | 86 | 9% | 8% | 18% | .555 |
Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.
4 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight
Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.