MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 25, 2026
6:40 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup confirmed
Hitter · KC · batting 2Bobby Witt Jr.
Bats rightTalent grade APowerNormal
.347wOBA vs RHP.368xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · CLEGavin Williams
Throws rightBTB Stuff 110Trending Up
7.2projected K39%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Gavin Williams's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sweeper: 32% usage, 87.8 mph, -12.2″ arm side, -1.2″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .289 vs league .280 (about even).Sweeper 32%Fastball: 31% usage, 98.4 mph, +10.0″ arm side, +14.5″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .353 vs league .343 (about even).Fastball 31%Curveball: 22% usage, 82.4 mph, -10.6″ arm side, -15.1″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .279 vs league .270 (about even).Curveball 22%Sinker: 13% usage, 97.9 mph, +14.5″ arm side, +9.4″ rise. Bobby Witt Jr.: wOBA .351 vs league .342 (about even).Sinker 13%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Bobby Witt Jr.'s wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Bobby Witt Jr.'s last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 100.2 mph at 18°Out: 85.3 mph at 55°Single: 78.3 mph at 20°Out: 99.3 mph at 37°Out: 98.0 mph at 8°Out: 102.9 mph at 22°Double: 109.4 mph at -5°Out: 80.8 mph at -13°Single: 95.9 mph at -10°Out: 101.6 mph at -8°Single: 106.3 mph at 6°Double: 109.9 mph at 21°Out: 107.1 mph at 13°Single: 97.3 mph at -4°Out: 96.8 mph at 17°Out: 86.6 mph at -28°Single: 76.3 mph at 6°Single: 54.5 mph at -46°Single: 88.4 mph at -4°Out: 78.6 mph at -9°Out: 104.3 mph at -18°Single: 107.5 mph at 1°Out: 91.5 mph at 45°Single: 77.3 mph at 18°Out: 98.7 mph at 17°Out: 70.5 mph at -22°Out: 78.4 mph at 46°Out: 94.0 mph at 61°Out: 94.6 mph at 58°Out: 72.6 mph at -14°Single: 111.4 mph at 12°Out: 94.1 mph at 23°Out: 93.7 mph at 40°Single: 101.5 mph at -9°Out: 100.6 mph at -31°Out: 87.1 mph at -4°Single: 99.4 mph at -18°Out: 103.3 mph at 39°Out: 103.1 mph at -11°Out: 85.6 mph at 74°
53% hit 95+ mph28% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit63.5%68.1%-4.6
2+ total bases37.7%41.6%-3.9
Home run12.8%14.4%-1.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-4.8
Pitch mix
+0.7
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.5
2+ total bases
Starter
-3.6
Pitch mix
+0.7
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
-0.4
Pitch mix
+0.4
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Bobby Witt Jr. hits
Bobby Witt Jr. · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .282 shrunk (raw .293 on 9 PA) · league .274 · 24 pitches seen.282xwOBA .313 shrunk (raw .319 on 11 PA) · league .307 · 32 pitches seen.313xwOBA .388 shrunk (raw .762 on 4 PA) · league .263 · 22 pitches seen.388xwOBA .394 shrunk (raw .442 on 13 PA) · league .342 · 34 pitches seen.394xwOBA .493 shrunk (raw .565 on 18 PA) · league .386 · 49 pitches seen.493xwOBA .391 shrunk (raw .441 on 17 PA) · league .321 · 45 pitches seen.391xwOBA .300 shrunk (raw .289 on 8 PA) · league .308 · 24 pitches seen.300xwOBA .364 shrunk (raw .373 on 17 PA) · league .351 · 32 pitches seen.364xwOBA .251 shrunk (raw .210 on 12 PA) · league .292 · 43 pitches seen.251xwOBA .385 shrunk (raw .390 on 17 PA) · league .377 · 70 pitches seen.385xwOBA .308 shrunk (raw .358 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 44 pitches seen.308xwOBA .338 shrunk (raw .403 on 14 PA) · league .263 · 48 pitches seen.338xwOBA .288 shrunk (raw .292 on 40 PA) · league .274 · 231 pitches seen.288
vs RHP · 698 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 18 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 13% of 23 swings · league 20%13%Whiff 7% of 14 swings · league 19%7%Whiff 0% of 25 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 12% of 41 swings · league 9%12%Whiff 7% of 29 swings · league 11%7%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 13% of 24 swings · league 13%13%Whiff 30% of 27 swings · league 17%30%Whiff 32% of 31 swings · league 28%32%Whiff 23% of 13 swings · league 24%23%Whiff 13% of 23 swings · league 32%13%Whiff 55% of 73 swings · league 49%55%
vs RHP · 698 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 75% of 24 pitches · league 62%75%Swings at 72% of 32 pitches · league 72%72%Swings at 64% of 22 pitches · league 66%64%Swings at 74% of 34 pitches · league 70%74%Swings at 84% of 49 pitches · league 76%84%Swings at 64% of 45 pitches · league 70%64%Swings at 46% of 24 pitches · league 65%46%Swings at 75% of 32 pitches · league 68%75%Swings at 63% of 43 pitches · league 60%63%Swings at 44% of 70 pitches · league 24%44%Swings at 30% of 44 pitches · league 34%30%Swings at 48% of 48 pitches · league 40%48%Swings at 32% of 231 pitches · league 32%32%
vs RHP · 698 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Bobby Witt Jr. against each of Gavin Williams's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sweeper32%87.8-12″ / -1″.289.28037.4%37.0%31About league average vs these
Fastball31%98.4+10″ / +15″.353.34316.6%17.9%37About league average vs these
Curveball22%82.4-11″ / -15″.279.27031.5%31.0%9About league average vs these
Sinker13%97.9+15″ / +9″.351.34210.9%11.9%35About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Bobby Witt Jr. · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.154.214.231.204.37621.4%7.1%14.3%96.2109.410.0%70.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1548.200.250.289.243.29418.8%6.2%20.2%91.5111.42.8%41.7%36.1%
Last 30 G2997.241.309.368.301.36813.4%8.2%19.9%91.5112.59.3%44.0%41.3%
90 days58189.278.349.444.348.37816.4%9.0%22.2%90.7112.59.4%45.3%36.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 139 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 22%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.714.714.857.693.5920.0%0.0%20.0%95.7109.914.3%71.4%28.6%
Last 15 G818.538.667.615.639.52011.1%27.8%25.0%96.2109.99.1%72.7%18.2%
Last 30 G1837.276.432.310.366.42224.3%21.6%25.7%93.1109.910.0%65.0%35.0%
90 days3890.253.367.360.345.39220.0%15.6%28.1%92.6112.08.6%58.6%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 58 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 24%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.350.381.450.367.44814.3%4.8%16.3%96.0109.911.8%70.6%41.2%
Last 15 G1566.276.364.362.332.34516.7%12.1%21.7%92.6111.44.3%48.9%31.9%
Last 30 G30134.250.343.353.316.38116.4%11.9%21.6%91.8112.59.5%48.4%40.0%
90 days63279.270.355.418.347.38217.6%11.1%24.0%91.2112.59.1%49.2%36.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 197 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 23%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 10%
Bobby Witt Jr. · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating94Top tier
Last 100 pitches94steady
wOBA / xwOBA.348 / .382running 34 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSweeper86.9100.218.442Out
Sep 25RHPSlider89.885.355.013Out
Sep 25LHPSlider86.278.320.898Single
Sep 24RHPSweeper85.599.337.330Out
Sep 24RHPSinker95.498.08.639Out
Sep 24RHPFastball96.5102.922.927Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball85.1109.4-5.457Double
Sep 23LHPFastball93.780.8-13.095Force out
Sep 23LHPSweeper80.895.9-10.299Single
Sep 23LHPCurveball80.8101.6-8.348Double play
Sep 22LHPSweeper80.3106.36.553Single
Sep 22LHPFastball95.6109.9211.630Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25511011
Sep 24412000
Sep 23411001
Sep 22434000
Sep 20411001
Sep 19533000
Sep 18411000
Sep 17400012
Sep 16500021
Sep 15411000

Two strikes

Gavin Williams CLE · RHPwith two strikes
Gavin Williams with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Sweeper32%43%44.3%29.2%19.3%
Fastball31%33%30.2%25.9%18.0%
Curveball22%19%34.6%23.7%20.0%
Sinker13%4%7.1%22.7%17.0%
Cutter2%1%40.0%33.3%17.9%
Bobby Witt Jr. bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Bobby Witt Jr. with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%34.4%42.4%
Whiff%19.0%22.2%
Contact%81.0%77.8%
Chase%40.4%39.9%
wOBA.263.237
Whiff vs his put-away shapes23.4%27.1%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.355
K%17.6%
BB%10.2%
Whiff%11.5%
Barrel%7.1%
Hard-hit%34.8%
Avg EV91.4

Against right-handers, last 90 days

189 PA
wOBA.347
xwOBA vs this mix.368against pitches like his
RV/1000.63
Hard-hit%33.2%
K%16.7%
BB%10.7%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Gavin WilliamsRHP · CLE vs KC
7.2projected strikeouts · likely 4 to 11 · 23.4 batters over 5.5 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 7.4%7%≤34 strikeouts: 8.5%9%45 strikeouts: 12.0%12%56 strikeouts: 14.4%14%67 strikeouts: 14.8%15%78 strikeouts: 13.2%13%89+ strikeouts: 29.7%30%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 58% (red bars) · under: 42%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%39.1%
BB%7.6%
Whiff%16.9%
Velo91.3
BTB Stuff110
Location98
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Sweeper32%12487.924.6%
Fastball31%11198.314.8%
Curveball22%9882.513.7%
Sinker13%9497.98.6%
Cutter2%10993.215.6%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 208938%24%21%.148
Sep 1411329%19%13%.296
Sep 69946%16%21%.267

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Gavin Williams CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Bobby Witt Jr.: every projection we've made →