MLBengine v14
← COL at CWS, Sep 25, 2026
6:40 PM CT · Rate Field · lineup confirmed
Hitter · COL · batting 3Hunter Goodman
Bats rightTalent grade CBalancedNormal
.366wOBA vs RHP.323xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · CWSSean Burke
Throws rightBTB Stuff 110Trending Down
5.7projected K27%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Sean Burke's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 37% usage, 95.1 mph, +3.8″ arm side, +18.2″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .345 vs league .330 (about even).Fastball 37%Curveball: 19% usage, 78.5 mph, -6.2″ arm side, -14.6″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .303 vs league .288 (hitter's edge).Curveball 19%Slider: 16% usage, 86.1 mph, -5.6″ arm side, +2.3″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .307 vs league .292 (hitter's edge).Slider 16%Cutter: 15% usage, 89.5 mph, -4.1″ arm side, +8.3″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .315 vs league .300 (hitter's edge).Cutter 15%Sinker: 12% usage, 95.0 mph, +12.5″ arm side, +14.2″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .366 vs league .351 (hitter's edge).Sinker 12%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Hunter Goodman's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Hunter Goodman's last 40 balls in playHit (10)Out (30)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Double: 109.4 mph at 21°Out: 68.9 mph at 81°Out: 89.5 mph at 64°Out: 97.0 mph at 43°Out: 74.7 mph at 35°Out: 97.1 mph at 10°Out: 66.6 mph at 18°Out: 81.1 mph at 31°Single: 70.6 mph at 18°Single: 67.7 mph at 23°Out: 93.1 mph at 46°Out: 68.5 mph at -14°Single: 103.1 mph at 11°Out: 98.0 mph at 42°Out: 56.9 mph at -16°Out: 88.6 mph at 0°Out: 72.3 mph at 59°Home run: 97.8 mph at 34°Single: 107.3 mph at 3°Out: 68.5 mph at 62°Out: 101.6 mph at 25°Out: 97.2 mph at 64°Out: 53.7 mph at -13°Single: 103.6 mph at 2°Out: 62.9 mph at -26°Out: 96.6 mph at 48°Out: 43.0 mph at -66°Double: 106.7 mph at -3°Triple: 108.1 mph at 23°Home run: 93.9 mph at 33°Out: 87.2 mph at 57°Out: 103.2 mph at -9°Out: 84.9 mph at -1°Out: 85.1 mph at 22°Out: 101.1 mph at -5°Out: 71.5 mph at -12°Out: 96.4 mph at 57°Out: 75.7 mph at 36°Out: 76.5 mph at 37°Out: 81.6 mph at -15°
40% hit 95+ mph25% in the sweet spot25% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit61.1%62.6%-1.5
2+ total bases38.4%39.5%-1.1
Home run18.1%18.2%-0.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-2.4
Pitch mix
+1.2
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
-2.1
Pitch mix
+1.2
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-0.3
Home run
Starter
-0.7
Pitch mix
+0.7
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-0.2

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Hunter Goodman hits
Hunter Goodman · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .276 shrunk (raw .278 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 29 pitches seen.276xwOBA .302 shrunk (raw .294 on 8 PA) · league .307 · 30 pitches seen.302xwOBA .231 shrunk (raw .193 on 10 PA) · league .263 · 25 pitches seen.231xwOBA .236 shrunk (raw .121 on 11 PA) · league .342 · 27 pitches seen.236xwOBA .441 shrunk (raw .482 on 16 PA) · league .386 · 37 pitches seen.441xwOBA .375 shrunk (raw .425 on 13 PA) · league .321 · 39 pitches seen.375xwOBA .296 shrunk (raw .273 on 6 PA) · league .308 · 12 pitches seen.296xwOBA .431 shrunk (raw .567 on 7 PA) · league .351 · 25 pitches seen.431xwOBA .378 shrunk (raw .458 on 13 PA) · league .292 · 31 pitches seen.378xwOBA .346 shrunk (raw .316 on 12 PA) · league .377 · 75 pitches seen.346xwOBA .237 shrunk (raw .149 on 5 PA) · league .274 · 57 pitches seen.237xwOBA .307 shrunk (raw .382 on 7 PA) · league .263 · 38 pitches seen.307xwOBA .221 shrunk (raw .204 on 38 PA) · league .274 · 168 pitches seen.221
vs RHP · 593 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 23% of 22 swings · league 22%23%Whiff 36% of 22 swings · league 20%36%Whiff 53% of 19 swings · league 19%53%Whiff 17% of 24 swings · league 10%17%Whiff 19% of 32 swings · league 9%19%Whiff 23% of 26 swings · league 11%23%Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 14%11%Whiff 15% of 20 swings · league 13%15%Whiff 17% of 23 swings · league 17%17%Whiff 44% of 27 swings · league 28%44%Whiff 33% of 18 swings · league 24%33%Whiff 24% of 21 swings · league 32%24%Whiff 45% of 64 swings · league 49%45%
vs RHP · 593 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 76% of 29 pitches · league 62%76%Swings at 73% of 30 pitches · league 72%73%Swings at 76% of 25 pitches · league 66%76%Swings at 89% of 27 pitches · league 70%89%Swings at 87% of 37 pitches · league 76%87%Swings at 67% of 39 pitches · league 70%67%Swings at 75% of 12 pitches · league 65%75%Swings at 80% of 25 pitches · league 68%80%Swings at 74% of 31 pitches · league 60%74%Swings at 36% of 75 pitches · league 24%36%Swings at 32% of 57 pitches · league 34%32%Swings at 55% of 38 pitches · league 40%55%Swings at 38% of 168 pitches · league 32%38%
vs RHP · 593 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Hunter Goodman against each of Sean Burke's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball37%95.1+4″ / +18″.345.33031.9%22.9%33About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Curveball19%78.5-6″ / -15″.303.28834.8%30.2%5Little history vs this shape
Slider16%86.1-6″ / +2″.307.29236.5%31.4%36About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Cutter15%89.5-4″ / +8″.315.30038.7%28.2%30About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Sinker12%95.0+13″ / +14″.366.35123.2%15.6%37About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Hunter Goodman · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.357.333.643.457.3666.7%0.0%13.2%84.0109.47.1%35.7%35.7%
Last 15 G1542.263.310.447.345.3457.1%4.8%16.3%85.1109.48.3%41.7%27.8%
Last 30 G2981.247.296.452.334.34113.6%6.2%22.3%86.5109.411.1%39.7%27.0%
90 days55155.259.297.531.355.30927.1%5.2%30.3%87.4110.511.7%42.7%29.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 103 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 18%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G26.000.000.000.000.15833.3%0.0%38.9%81.397.10.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G821.100.143.400.224.18128.6%4.8%28.3%87.0103.20.0%35.7%21.4%
Last 30 G1944.171.227.439.282.25927.3%6.8%26.3%88.5112.13.4%44.8%27.6%
90 days3887.213.322.413.325.31028.7%13.8%30.4%87.6112.16.0%40.0%36.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 50 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 22%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.250.238.450.326.30714.3%0.0%21.4%83.4109.45.6%33.3%38.9%
Last 15 G1563.207.254.431.305.29014.3%4.8%20.3%85.6109.46.0%40.0%26.0%
Last 30 G30125.219.272.447.315.31218.4%6.4%23.8%87.1112.18.7%41.3%27.2%
90 days59242.243.306.491.344.30927.7%8.3%30.3%87.5112.19.8%41.8%31.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 153 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 19%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 13%
Hunter Goodman · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating67Above average
Last 100 pitches77trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.364 / .332running 32 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSlider86.2109.4211.586Double
Sep 25RHPSlider86.468.981.007Out
Sep 25RHPFastball97.989.564.013Out
Sep 25RHPSinker95.097.043.050Out
Sep 24LHPFastball91.274.735.134Out
Sep 24LHPCutter88.797.110.708Out
Sep 24RHPSlider88.566.618.445Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup84.981.131.093Out
Sep 24RHPSlider86.870.618.681Single
Sep 23RHPSlider86.467.723.833Single
Sep 23RHPSlider85.893.146.003Sac fly
Sep 23RHPFastball92.868.5-14.042Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25412000
Sep 24511000
Sep 23422000
Sep 22400001
Sep 20414102
Sep 19411010
Sep 18511000
Sep 14425010
Sep 12514111
Sep 11400001

Two strikes

Sean Burke CWS · RHPwith two strikes
Sean Burke with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball37%50%17.4%18.8%18.0%
Curveball19%19%28.6%20.7%20.0%
Slider16%14%25.5%23.4%21.1%
Sinker12%10%7.1%11.4%17.0%
Cutter15%8%37.5%27.0%17.9%
Hunter Goodman bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Hunter Goodman with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%48.2%42.4%
Whiff%26.6%22.2%
Contact%73.4%77.8%
Chase%45.3%39.9%
wOBA.241.237
Whiff vs his put-away shapes26.8%22.5%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.364
K%27.6%
BB%7.7%
Whiff%15.5%
Barrel%7.1%
Hard-hit%27.3%
Avg EV88.1

Against right-handers, last 90 days

155 PA
wOBA.366
xwOBA vs this mix.323against pitches like his
RV/1001.16
Hard-hit%28.0%
K%27.3%
BB%8.2%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Sean BurkeRHP · CWS vs COL
5.7projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 23.1 batters over 5.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 18.5%19%≤34 strikeouts: 14.8%15%45 strikeouts: 16.7%17%56 strikeouts: 15.8%16%67 strikeouts: 12.9%13%78 strikeouts: 9.1%9%89+ strikeouts: 12.2%12%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 50% (red bars) · under: 50%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%27.2%
BB%9.3%
Whiff%12.1%
Velo89.6
BTB Stuff110
Location100
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball37%12995.112.4%
Curveball19%9078.411.7%
Slider16%9786.016.6%
Cutter16%12189.613.2%
Sinker12%8394.95.0%
Changeup1%8386.112.5%
Other0%––0.0%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 199819%8%31%.281
Sep 149419%11%29%.312
Sep 110427%10%18%.184

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Sean Burke CWS · RHPvsCOL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCOL @ CWS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Hunter Goodman: every projection we've made →