MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 25, 2026
9:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · LAA · batting 2Mike Trout
Bats rightTalent grade CBalancedHot
.335wOBA vs RHP.329xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · SEABryce Miller
Throws rightBTB Stuff 106Trending Up
5.5projected K20%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Bryce Miller's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 37% usage, 95.7 mph, +4.0″ arm side, +18.8″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .337 vs league .332 (about even).Fastball 37%Splitter: 25% usage, 84.2 mph, +9.0″ arm side, +4.8″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .278 vs league .273 (about even).Splitter 25%Sinker: 11% usage, 95.0 mph, +13.4″ arm side, +13.7″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .356 vs league .351 (about even).Sinker 11%Slider: 10% usage, 86.9 mph, -4.4″ arm side, +0.7″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .298 vs league .293 (about even).Slider 10%Sweeper: 8% usage, 83.5 mph, -15.2″ arm side, -7.3″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .283 vs league .278 (about even).Sweeper 8%Cutter: 6% usage, 91.1 mph, -4.0″ arm side, +10.1″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .312 vs league .307 (about even).Cutter 6%Curveball: 3% usage, 82.9 mph, -3.2″ arm side, -13.0″ rise. Mike Trout: wOBA .294 vs league .289 (about even).Curveball 3%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Mike Trout's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Mike Trout's last 40 balls in playHit (16)Out (24)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 75.1 mph at 33°Out: 108.6 mph at 12°Out: 99.0 mph at 27°Out: 110.5 mph at 11°Out: 86.3 mph at 37°Home run: 101.3 mph at 29°Single: 104.1 mph at 17°Out: 57.8 mph at -29°Single: 98.2 mph at 7°Double: 103.9 mph at 21°Single: 108.7 mph at 5°Single: 104.1 mph at -3°Single: 68.3 mph at 31°Out: 83.0 mph at 65°Out: 73.1 mph at -18°Out: 99.6 mph at 33°Out: 101.4 mph at -30°Out: 103.7 mph at 22°Out: 78.3 mph at -46°Single: 95.5 mph at 9°Out: 46.3 mph at -40°Out: 83.7 mph at 12°Out: 93.2 mph at 67°Out: 81.0 mph at 0°Out: 106.9 mph at 19°Single: 96.4 mph at 2°Double: 102.9 mph at 18°Out: 82.1 mph at 3°Home run: 104.8 mph at 26°Out: 72.9 mph at 60°Double: 102.6 mph at 16°Out: 84.9 mph at 8°Out: 106.6 mph at -2°Out: 89.2 mph at -6°Double: 106.3 mph at 22°Single: 89.2 mph at 13°Double: 94.1 mph at 20°Out: 91.3 mph at 20°Single: 106.0 mph at -13°Out: 52.3 mph at 50°
53% hit 95+ mph48% in the sweet spot40% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit58.3%58.0%+0.3
2+ total bases32.5%32.1%+0.3
Home run12.4%11.6%+0.8
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.2
Pitch mix
+0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.1
Pitch mix
+0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.0
Home run
Starter
+0.8
Pitch mix
+0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Mike Trout hits
Mike Trout · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .255 shrunk (raw .226 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 40 pitches seen.255xwOBA .235 shrunk (raw .149 on 10 PA) · league .307 · 45 pitches seen.235xwOBA .185 shrunk (raw .080 on 9 PA) · league .263 · 37 pitches seen.185xwOBA .298 shrunk (raw .268 on 18 PA) · league .342 · 42 pitches seen.298xwOBA .378 shrunk (raw .372 on 15 PA) · league .386 · 49 pitches seen.378xwOBA .333 shrunk (raw .340 on 22 PA) · league .321 · 64 pitches seen.333xwOBA .417 shrunk (raw .580 on 8 PA) · league .308 · 22 pitches seen.417xwOBA .417 shrunk (raw .504 on 9 PA) · league .351 · 28 pitches seen.417xwOBA .267 shrunk (raw .244 on 13 PA) · league .292 · 47 pitches seen.267xwOBA .455 shrunk (raw .505 on 19 PA) · league .377 · 108 pitches seen.455xwOBA .306 shrunk (raw .329 on 17 PA) · league .274 · 130 pitches seen.306xwOBA .307 shrunk (raw .355 on 11 PA) · league .263 · 63 pitches seen.307xwOBA .312 shrunk (raw .323 on 40 PA) · league .274 · 218 pitches seen.312
vs RHP · 893 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 33% of 18 swings · league 22%33%Whiff 37% of 30 swings · league 20%37%Whiff 25% of 24 swings · league 19%25%Whiff 3% of 29 swings · league 10%3%Whiff 14% of 37 swings · league 9%14%Whiff 16% of 44 swings · league 11%16%Whiff 8% of 13 swings · league 14%8%Whiff 13% of 16 swings · league 13%13%Whiff 8% of 24 swings · league 17%8%Whiff 46% of 13 swings · league 28%46%Whiff 64% of 14 swings · league 24%64%Whiff 12% of 25 swings · league 32%12%Whiff 52% of 79 swings · league 49%52%
vs RHP · 893 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 45% of 40 pitches · league 62%45%Swings at 67% of 45 pitches · league 72%67%Swings at 65% of 37 pitches · league 66%65%Swings at 69% of 42 pitches · league 70%69%Swings at 76% of 49 pitches · league 76%76%Swings at 69% of 64 pitches · league 70%69%Swings at 59% of 22 pitches · league 65%59%Swings at 57% of 28 pitches · league 68%57%Swings at 51% of 47 pitches · league 60%51%Swings at 12% of 108 pitches · league 24%12%Swings at 11% of 130 pitches · league 34%11%Swings at 40% of 63 pitches · league 40%40%Swings at 36% of 218 pitches · league 32%36%
vs RHP · 893 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Mike Trout against each of Bryce Miller's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball37%95.7+4″ / +19″.337.33229.4%22.9%56About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Splitter25%84.2+9″ / +5″.278.27335.1%33.4%10About league average vs these
Sinker11%95.0+13″ / +14″.356.35118.2%14.1%70About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider10%86.9-4″ / +1″.298.29335.9%30.5%28About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Sweeper8%83.5-15″ / -7″.283.27832.1%27.4%8Little history vs this shape
Cutter6%91.1-4″ / +10″.312.30731.7%25.6%29About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Curveball3%82.9-3″ / -13″.294.28934.6%29.7%6Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Mike Trout · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.167.444.250.353.48427.8%27.8%32.3%98.2110.528.6%71.4%71.4%
Last 15 G1548.226.500.387.417.48522.9%31.2%33.8%90.9110.520.0%50.0%60.0%
Last 30 G2998.256.408.372.359.38327.6%16.3%30.7%90.5110.813.7%43.1%52.9%
90 days63200.232.365.329.331.33529.5%14.5%27.3%88.4110.88.5%38.7%41.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 106 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 32%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.750.7501.500.950.5960.0%0.0%37.5%91.5108.725.0%75.0%25.0%
Last 15 G819.278.316.500.353.35026.3%5.3%26.9%92.9108.715.4%69.2%23.1%
Last 30 G1536.276.371.448.371.40422.2%13.9%26.8%92.6108.713.6%59.1%31.8%
90 days3994.300.387.462.379.39822.3%11.7%20.9%89.5110.611.7%45.0%36.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 25%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.312.500.562.461.50522.7%22.7%33.3%95.8110.527.3%72.7%54.5%
Last 15 G1567.245.448.429.399.44823.9%23.9%32.0%91.7110.518.2%57.6%45.5%
Last 30 G30134.262.398.393.362.38926.1%15.7%29.7%91.1110.813.7%47.9%46.6%
90 days67294.254.372.373.346.35527.2%13.6%25.3%88.8110.89.6%41.0%39.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 166 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 30%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 10%
Mike Trout · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating83Excellent
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.351 / .355results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSweeper84.175.133.190Out
Sep 25RHPFastball97.1108.612.921Out
Sep 25RHPFastball96.499.027.860Out
Sep 24RHPFastball95.8110.511.983Out
Sep 24RHPSinker88.686.337.023Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup77.9101.3291.134Home run
Sep 23RHPFastball96.8104.117.563Single
Sep 23LHPChangeup79.757.8-29.070Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.498.27.547Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper85.3103.921.954Double
Sep 22LHPFastball92.0108.75.634Single
Sep 19RHPSlider88.0104.1-3.375Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25500011
Sep 24500021
Sep 23425101
Sep 22534011
Sep 20300011
Sep 19622020
Sep 18400002
Sep 17511011
Sep 16500021
Sep 15400011

Two strikes

Bryce Miller SEA · RHPwith two strikes
Bryce Miller with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter25%37%23.4%17.2%19.0%
Fastball37%35%16.5%19.5%18.0%
Sweeper8%14%15.4%8.2%19.3%
Curveball3%5%16.7%11.8%20.0%
Sinker11%4%0.0%14.3%17.0%
Slider10%3%33.3%36.4%21.1%
Cutter6%2%0.0%0.0%17.9%
Mike Trout bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Mike Trout with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%45.3%42.4%
Whiff%24.0%22.2%
Contact%76.0%77.8%
Chase%32.7%39.9%
wOBA.245.237
Whiff vs his put-away shapes26.7%24.4%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.349
K%27.6%
BB%13.5%
Whiff%10.3%
Barrel%5.7%
Hard-hit%23.2%
Avg EV88.9

Against right-handers, last 90 days

195 PA
wOBA.335
xwOBA vs this mix.329against pitches like his
RV/1000.31
Hard-hit%20.9%
K%28.8%
BB%13.2%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Bryce MillerRHP · SEA vs LAA
5.5projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 22.9 batters over 5.5 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 20.0%20%≤34 strikeouts: 15.5%16%45 strikeouts: 17.0%17%56 strikeouts: 15.6%16%67 strikeouts: 12.4%12%78 strikeouts: 8.5%9%89+ strikeouts: 11.0%11%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 32% (red bars) · under: 68%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%19.6%
BB%10.5%
Whiff%10.2%
Velo90.2
BTB Stuff106
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball37%11795.68.9%
Splitter25%9784.216.1%
Sinker11%9895.10.0%
Slider10%9886.811.8%
Sweeper8%10283.47.4%
Cutter6%11891.414.9%
Curveball3%9383.08.6%
Other0%–92.00.0%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 198927%8%9%.250
Sep 139223%14%14%.373
Sep 88433%11%22%.378

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Bryce Miller SEA · RHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

7 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Mike Trout: every projection we've made →