MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 25, 2026
9:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · LAA · batting 1Zach Neto
Bats rightTalent grade CBalancedNormal
.300wOBA vs RHP.298xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
Starter · SEABryce Miller
Throws rightBTB Stuff 106Trending Up
5.5projected K20%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Bryce Miller's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 37% usage, 95.7 mph, +4.0″ arm side, +18.8″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .324 vs league .332 (about even).Fastball 37%Splitter: 25% usage, 84.2 mph, +9.0″ arm side, +4.8″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .264 vs league .273 (about even).Splitter 25%Sinker: 11% usage, 95.0 mph, +13.4″ arm side, +13.7″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .343 vs league .351 (about even).Sinker 11%Slider: 10% usage, 86.9 mph, -4.4″ arm side, +0.7″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .284 vs league .293 (about even).Slider 10%Sweeper: 8% usage, 83.5 mph, -15.2″ arm side, -7.3″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .269 vs league .278 (about even).Sweeper 8%Cutter: 6% usage, 91.1 mph, -4.0″ arm side, +10.1″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .299 vs league .307 (about even).Cutter 6%Curveball: 3% usage, 82.9 mph, -3.2″ arm side, -13.0″ rise. Zach Neto: wOBA .280 vs league .289 (about even).Curveball 3%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Zach Neto's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Zach Neto's last 40 balls in playHit (17)Out (23)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Double: 93.6 mph at 11°Double: 103.3 mph at 22°Home run: 105.6 mph at 35°Out: 79.6 mph at 12°Single: 94.6 mph at 22°Out: 68.3 mph at 43°Out: 95.5 mph at 41°Single: 108.4 mph at 15°Single: 95.7 mph at 9°Out: 108.2 mph at 18°Out: 83.4 mph at 39°Out: 87.3 mph at 66°Out: 92.6 mph at 31°Out: 106.2 mph at 6°Out: 102.8 mph at 43°Out: 103.2 mph at 39°Single: 95.2 mph at 4°Single: 90.1 mph at 15°Out: 83.3 mph at 63°Out: 82.9 mph at 55°Single: 102.6 mph at 9°Triple: 98.0 mph at 13°Out: 91.4 mph at 54°Home run: 107.1 mph at 26°Out: 73.0 mph at 7°Out: 95.2 mph at 45°Out: 90.2 mph at -19°Out: 52.4 mph at -63°Out: 76.9 mph at 67°Out: 87.7 mph at 61°Out: 98.7 mph at 38°Out: 85.0 mph at 8°Home run: 106.0 mph at 25°Single: 95.0 mph at 17°Single: 86.3 mph at 16°Out: 98.5 mph at 22°Home run: 104.2 mph at 38°Single: 90.8 mph at 16°Double: 91.3 mph at 21°Out: 76.7 mph at -7°
48% hit 95+ mph48% in the sweet spot43% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit60.2%60.7%-0.5
2+ total bases37.7%38.1%-0.4
Home run15.8%15.2%+0.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.2
Pitch mix
-0.8
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
-0.8
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
+1.0
Pitch mix
-0.5
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Zach Neto hits
Zach Neto · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .197 shrunk (raw .043 on 6 PA) · league .274 · 22 pitches seen.197xwOBA .220 shrunk (raw .070 on 7 PA) · league .307 · 21 pitches seen.220xwOBA .244 shrunk (raw .207 on 6 PA) · league .263 · 22 pitches seen.244xwOBA .237 shrunk (raw .056 on 7 PA) · league .342 · 27 pitches seen.237xwOBA .415 shrunk (raw .435 on 17 PA) · league .386 · 46 pitches seen.415xwOBA .375 shrunk (raw .407 on 20 PA) · league .321 · 56 pitches seen.375xwOBA .286 shrunk (raw .261 on 11 PA) · league .308 · 34 pitches seen.286xwOBA .423 shrunk (raw .464 on 21 PA) · league .351 · 59 pitches seen.423xwOBA .287 shrunk (raw .281 on 11 PA) · league .292 · 49 pitches seen.287xwOBA .531 shrunk (raw .646 on 16 PA) · league .377 · 62 pitches seen.531xwOBA .227 shrunk (raw .180 on 12 PA) · league .274 · 83 pitches seen.227xwOBA .245 shrunk (raw .232 on 16 PA) · league .263 · 87 pitches seen.245xwOBA .258 shrunk (raw .255 on 79 PA) · league .274 · 383 pitches seen.258
vs RHP · 951 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 18% of 11 swings · league 22%18%Whiff 13% of 16 swings · league 20%13%Whiff 47% of 15 swings · league 19%47%Whiff 14% of 14 swings · league 10%14%Whiff 0% of 35 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 12% of 41 swings · league 11%12%Whiff 28% of 25 swings · league 14%28%Whiff 20% of 35 swings · league 13%20%Whiff 18% of 33 swings · league 17%18%Whiff 14% of 14 swings · league 28%14%Whiff 32% of 34 swings · league 24%32%Whiff 55% of 38 swings · league 32%55%Whiff 51% of 161 swings · league 49%51%
vs RHP · 951 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 50% of 22 pitches · league 62%50%Swings at 76% of 21 pitches · league 72%76%Swings at 68% of 22 pitches · league 66%68%Swings at 52% of 27 pitches · league 70%52%Swings at 76% of 46 pitches · league 76%76%Swings at 73% of 56 pitches · league 70%73%Swings at 74% of 34 pitches · league 65%74%Swings at 59% of 59 pitches · league 68%59%Swings at 67% of 49 pitches · league 60%67%Swings at 23% of 62 pitches · league 24%23%Swings at 41% of 83 pitches · league 34%41%Swings at 44% of 87 pitches · league 40%44%Swings at 42% of 383 pitches · league 32%42%
vs RHP · 951 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Zach Neto against each of Bryce Miller's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball37%95.7+4″ / +19″.324.33228.0%22.9%38About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Splitter25%84.2+9″ / +5″.264.27344.5%33.4%9About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Sinker11%95.0+13″ / +14″.343.35117.4%14.1%52About league average vs these
Slider10%86.9-4″ / +1″.284.29341.1%30.5%37About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Sweeper8%83.5-15″ / -7″.269.27837.9%27.4%22About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Cutter6%91.1-4″ / +10″.299.30731.1%25.6%33About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Curveball3%82.9-3″ / -13″.280.28941.1%29.7%10About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Zach Neto · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.286.444.643.456.44327.8%22.2%27.3%92.1108.233.3%33.3%66.7%
Last 15 G1551.184.392.395.359.38831.4%19.6%36.8%90.5108.218.2%36.4%36.4%
Last 30 G2998.238.378.438.362.36032.7%13.3%32.4%91.9108.212.5%39.6%47.9%
90 days71229.222.328.369.313.30531.9%10.9%32.6%89.3108.29.6%39.2%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 125 balls in play
Ground 29%Line drive 22%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 17%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.500.500.500.450.3480.0%0.0%20.0%96.7108.40.0%75.0%50.0%
Last 15 G717.375.412.688.465.39523.5%5.9%22.2%95.7108.48.3%75.0%58.3%
Last 30 G1538.389.421.722.482.44215.8%2.6%21.5%92.2108.413.3%53.3%63.3%
90 days4098.337.357.568.396.35120.4%2.0%28.8%91.0109.710.7%52.0%48.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 75 balls in play
Ground 29%Line drive 25%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.333.455.611.455.42622.7%18.2%25.9%93.5108.423.1%46.2%61.5%
Last 15 G1568.241.397.481.385.39029.4%16.2%32.1%92.3108.414.7%50.0%44.1%
Last 30 G30136.284.390.526.396.38327.9%10.3%28.9%92.0108.412.8%44.9%53.8%
90 days74327.259.336.433.338.31928.4%8.3%31.5%90.0109.710.0%44.0%43.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 200 balls in play
Ground 29%Line drive 23%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 15%
Zach Neto · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating60Average
Last 100 pitches92trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.327 / .327results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSlider87.693.611.762Double
Sep 25RHPFastball94.1103.322.927Double
Sep 25RHPSweeper83.5105.6351.437Home run
Sep 25RHPSweeper84.279.612.444Out
Sep 24RHPSinker95.794.622.243Single
Sep 24RHPCurveball81.168.343.371Out
Sep 23LHPSweeper79.595.541.053Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup79.9108.415.748Single
Sep 22LHPChangeup86.895.79.584Single
Sep 22RHPSinker97.4108.218.815Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper84.383.439.026Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.287.366.007Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25538101
Sep 24511012
Sep 23411020
Sep 22511010
Sep 20300002
Sep 19600013
Sep 18400021
Sep 17500013
Sep 16522011
Sep 15400011

Two strikes

Bryce Miller SEA · RHPwith two strikes
Bryce Miller with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter25%37%23.4%17.2%19.0%
Fastball37%35%16.5%19.5%18.0%
Sweeper8%14%15.4%8.2%19.3%
Curveball3%5%16.7%11.8%20.0%
Sinker11%4%0.0%14.3%17.0%
Slider10%3%33.3%36.4%21.1%
Cutter6%2%0.0%0.0%17.9%
Zach Neto bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Zach Neto with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%48.3%42.4%
Whiff%26.2%22.2%
Contact%73.8%77.8%
Chase%47.5%39.9%
wOBA.220.237
Whiff vs his put-away shapes28.8%24.4%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.330
K%28.1%
BB%8.0%
Whiff%15.5%
Barrel%5.9%
Hard-hit%27.2%
Avg EV89.8

Against right-handers, last 90 days

228 PA
wOBA.300
xwOBA vs this mix.298against pitches like his
RV/1000.02
Hard-hit%22.5%
K%30.7%
BB%8.3%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Bryce MillerRHP · SEA vs LAA
5.5projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 22.9 batters over 5.5 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 20.0%20%≤34 strikeouts: 15.5%16%45 strikeouts: 17.0%17%56 strikeouts: 15.6%16%67 strikeouts: 12.4%12%78 strikeouts: 8.5%9%89+ strikeouts: 11.0%11%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 32% (red bars) · under: 68%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%19.6%
BB%10.5%
Whiff%10.2%
Velo90.2
BTB Stuff106
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball37%11795.68.9%
Splitter25%9784.216.1%
Sinker11%9895.10.0%
Slider10%9886.811.8%
Sweeper8%10283.47.4%
Cutter6%11891.414.9%
Curveball3%9383.08.6%
Other0%–92.00.0%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 198927%8%9%.250
Sep 139223%14%14%.373
Sep 88433%11%22%.378

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Bryce Miller SEA · RHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

7 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Zach Neto: every projection we've made →