MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 25, 2026
9:15 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · LAD · batting 9Enrique Hernández
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedHot
.301wOBA vs RHP.292xwOBA vs his mix3.3expected PA
Starter · SFYunior Marte
Throws rightBTB Stuff 78Trending Down
3.9projected K13%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Yunior Marte's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 45% usage, 93.3 mph, +8.4″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Enrique Hernández: wOBA .363 vs league .365 (about even).Fastball 45%Slider: 42% usage, 85.3 mph, -1.8″ arm side, +0.4″ rise. Enrique Hernández: wOBA .305 vs league .307 (about even).Slider 42%Splitter: 13% usage, 82.8 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +3.3″ rise. Enrique Hernández: wOBA .287 vs league .289 (about even).Splitter 13%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Enrique Hernández's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Enrique Hernández's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 66.5 mph at 57°Single: 103.6 mph at 1°Out: 83.8 mph at 26°Out: 65.5 mph at -44°Double: 103.8 mph at 16°Out: 82.9 mph at -14°Out: 86.0 mph at 34°Out: 97.8 mph at 22°Out: 93.5 mph at 17°Single: 61.2 mph at -62°Single: 91.0 mph at 12°Out: 84.4 mph at 40°Out: 67.2 mph at -21°Single: 107.5 mph at 4°Out: 103.7 mph at -1°Out: 97.7 mph at 20°Double: 100.4 mph at 13°Out: 70.1 mph at -8°Home run: 101.6 mph at 33°Out: 98.4 mph at -12°Out: 90.0 mph at -16°Out: 66.3 mph at 1°Single: 106.3 mph at 10°Out: 81.8 mph at 76°Out: 97.8 mph at 41°Out: 101.9 mph at -3°Out: 62.0 mph at -13°Single: 94.8 mph at 6°Single: 95.0 mph at 14°Single: 84.7 mph at 13°Out: 77.4 mph at 56°Out: 101.5 mph at 27°Out: 81.8 mph at -21°Out: 97.7 mph at 22°Home run: 104.2 mph at 43°Single: 90.1 mph at 15°Out: 90.3 mph at 46°Out: 83.3 mph at 37°Out: 62.1 mph at -10°Out: 82.0 mph at -39°
40% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit51.0%50.5%+0.5
2+ total bases25.3%26.0%-0.7
Home run7.1%8.8%-1.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.4
Pitch mix
+0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.6
Pitch mix
+0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.5
Home run
Starter
-0.3
Pitch mix
+0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.5

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Enrique Hernández hits
Enrique Hernández · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .257 shrunk (raw .054 on 1 PA) · league .274 · 2 pitches seen.257xwOBA .307 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .307 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .263 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .263 · 5 pitches seenxwOBA .309 shrunk (raw .110 on 2 PA) · league .342 · 6 pitches seen.309xwOBA .352 shrunk (raw .214 on 3 PA) · league .386 · 10 pitches seen.352xwOBA .341 shrunk (raw .419 on 3 PA) · league .321 · 7 pitches seen.341xwOBA .299 shrunk (raw .244 on 2 PA) · league .308 · 4 pitches seen.299xwOBA .416 shrunk (raw .573 on 5 PA) · league .351 · 10 pitches seen.416xwOBA .250 shrunk (raw .124 on 4 PA) · league .292 · 7 pitches seen.250xwOBA .327 shrunk (raw .175 on 4 PA) · league .377 · 13 pitches seen.327xwOBA .222 shrunk (raw .016 on 3 PA) · league .274 · 9 pitches seen.222xwOBA .329 shrunk (raw 1.116 on 1 PA) · league .263 · 6 pitches seen.329xwOBA .241 shrunk (raw .176 on 6 PA) · league .274 · 33 pitches seen.241
vs RHP · 114 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 20%0%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 9%22%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 13%0%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 17%20%Whiff 60% of 5 swings · league 28%60%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 24%25%Whiff 50% of 2 swings · league 32%50%Whiff 50% of 6 swings · league 49%50%
vs RHP · 114 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 50% of 2 pitches · league 62%50%Swings at 100% of 2 pitches · league 72%100%Swings at 60% of 5 pitches · league 66%60%Swings at 50% of 6 pitches · league 70%50%Swings at 90% of 10 pitches · league 76%90%Swings at 86% of 7 pitches · league 70%86%Swings at 50% of 4 pitches · league 65%50%Swings at 80% of 10 pitches · league 68%80%Swings at 71% of 7 pitches · league 60%71%Swings at 39% of 13 pitches · league 24%39%Swings at 44% of 9 pitches · league 34%44%Swings at 33% of 6 pitches · league 40%33%Swings at 18% of 33 pitches · league 32%18%
vs RHP · 114 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Enrique Hernández against each of Yunior Marte's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball45%93.3+8″ / +15″.363.36515.4%15.3%7Little history vs this shape
Slider42%85.3-2″ / +0″.305.30728.7%30.8%5Little history vs this shape
Splitter13%82.8+7″ / +3″.287.28937.3%38.5%5Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Enrique Hernández · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.333.333.333.300.2170.0%0.0%0.0%80.0103.60.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1121.333.333.524.369.30819.0%0.0%12.1%89.2107.55.9%52.9%29.4%
Last 30 G1631.276.323.414.324.28525.8%6.5%17.6%89.2107.54.8%47.6%28.6%
90 days1734.250.294.375.296.26326.5%5.9%19.6%88.6107.54.3%43.5%26.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 23 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G411.200.273.300.259.27427.3%9.1%13.6%86.7103.80.0%14.3%42.9%
Last 15 G1122.105.227.158.193.22836.4%13.6%26.8%86.5103.80.0%27.3%27.3%
Last 30 G2550.130.200.217.193.22536.0%8.0%28.0%86.7104.23.6%28.6%28.6%
90 days2652.146.212.229.203.23734.6%7.7%27.5%87.8104.23.3%33.3%30.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 30 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 27%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.250.294.312.274.25417.6%5.9%10.0%83.6103.80.0%23.1%38.5%
Last 15 G1543.225.279.350.279.26727.9%7.0%20.3%88.1107.53.6%42.9%28.6%
Last 30 G3081.187.247.293.243.24832.1%7.4%24.7%87.8107.54.1%36.7%28.6%
90 days3286.188.244.288.240.24831.4%7.0%24.8%88.2107.53.8%37.7%28.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 53 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 25%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 11%
Enrique Hernández · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating6Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches23trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.240 / .252results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSlider82.866.557.014Out
Sep 25RHPFastball94.1103.61.456Single
Sep 25RHPFastball96.483.826.145Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup84.165.5-44.175Out
Sep 20LHPFastball95.9103.816.591Double
Sep 18LHPChangeup86.782.9-14.083Double play
Sep 18LHPSlider86.886.034.014Out
Sep 18RHPSinker93.997.822.393Out
Sep 16LHPChangeup86.793.517.683Out
Sep 16RHPSweeper81.161.2-62.244Single
Sep 14LHPCurveball82.791.012.763Single
Sep 14LHPChangeup87.184.440.005Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25311000
Sep 20312001
Sep 18400001
Sep 16311001
Sep 14411010
Sep 13111000
Sep 11400002
Sep 9426101
Sep 8300010
Sep 6200002

Two strikes

Yunior Marte SF · RHPwith two strikes
Yunior Marte with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider42%44%21.1%16.1%21.1%
Fastball45%37%7.1%19.2%18.0%
Splitter13%20%14.3%7.1%19.0%
Enrique Hernández bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Enrique Hernández with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%49.2%42.4%
Whiff%23.8%22.2%
Contact%76.2%77.8%
Chase%40.6%39.9%
wOBA.226.237
Whiff vs his put-away shapes25.7%24.0%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.275
K%27.7%
BB%7.3%
Whiff%11.5%
Barrel%4.9%
Hard-hit%24.6%
Avg EV89.0

Against right-handers, last 90 days

31 PA
wOBA.301
xwOBA vs this mix.292against pitches like his
RV/100-0.67
Hard-hit%26.9%
K%26.1%
BB%7.5%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Yunior MarteRHP · SF vs LAD
3.9projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 22.7 batters over 5.2 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 45.3%45%≤34 strikeouts: 19.4%19%45 strikeouts: 15.2%15%56 strikeouts: 9.9%10%67 strikeouts: 5.5%5%78 strikeouts: 2.8%3%89+ strikeouts: 1.9%2%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 55% (red bars) · under: 45%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%13.3%
BB%10.8%
Whiff%8.0%
Velo88.5
BTB Stuff78
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball45%5893.22.1%
Slider42%9085.213.0%
Splitter13%11382.712.5%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19978%5%33%.477
Sep 117720%12%20%.240
Sep 46210%7%57%.343

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Yunior Marte SF · RHPvsLAD lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Enrique Hernández: every projection we've made →