MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 25, 2026
9:15 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · LAD · batting 7Max Muncy
Bats leftTalent grade BBalancedNormal
.355wOBA vs RHP.320xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · SFYunior Marte
Throws rightBTB Stuff 78Trending Down
3.9projected K13%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Yunior Marte's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 45% usage, 93.3 mph, +8.4″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Max Muncy: wOBA .376 vs league .366 (about even).Fastball 45%Slider: 42% usage, 85.3 mph, -1.8″ arm side, +0.4″ rise. Max Muncy: wOBA .348 vs league .339 (about even).Slider 42%Splitter: 13% usage, 82.8 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +3.3″ rise. Max Muncy: wOBA .288 vs league .280 (about even).Splitter 13%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Max Muncy's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Max Muncy's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 100.6 mph at 3°Out: 94.4 mph at 23°Out: 77.8 mph at 1°Out: 96.2 mph at 67°Out: 76.1 mph at 41°Out: 94.4 mph at 21°Out: 98.2 mph at 32°Out: 60.6 mph at 29°Out: 71.3 mph at -7°Out: 60.4 mph at 43°Single: 67.5 mph at 36°Single: 94.3 mph at -18°Out: 68.0 mph at -13°Out: 60.2 mph at -38°Double: 103.4 mph at 9°Double: 109.9 mph at 17°Out: 76.3 mph at -27°Out: 63.1 mph at -54°Home run: 106.1 mph at 29°Double: 106.0 mph at 14°Single: 77.0 mph at 20°Out: 69.9 mph at 8°Out: 91.7 mph at 20°Out: 85.0 mph at 51°Out: 41.6 mph at 26°Out: 62.4 mph at -17°Out: 92.5 mph at 48°Out: 71.8 mph at 0°Out: 99.6 mph at 34°Out: 95.0 mph at 26°Home run: 105.6 mph at 34°Out: 96.4 mph at 41°Out: 104.1 mph at 19°Single: 103.2 mph at 6°Single: 100.9 mph at -15°Single: 71.5 mph at 6°Out: 94.0 mph at -4°Home run: 98.9 mph at 30°Single: 101.0 mph at 16°Out: 90.6 mph at 67°
40% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit55.2%54.8%+0.4
2+ total bases34.1%34.6%-0.5
Home run13.9%15.3%-1.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.6
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.7
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.4
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-2.4
Home run
Starter
+0.9
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-2.6

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Max Muncy hits
Max Muncy · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .262 shrunk (raw .248 on 10 PA) · league .274 · 35 pitches seen.262xwOBA .223 shrunk (raw .022 on 5 PA) · league .307 · 29 pitches seen.223xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .336 on 4 PA) · league .263 · 16 pitches seen.281xwOBA .475 shrunk (raw .582 on 15 PA) · league .342 · 35 pitches seen.475xwOBA .431 shrunk (raw .456 on 21 PA) · league .386 · 42 pitches seen.431xwOBA .374 shrunk (raw .428 on 12 PA) · league .321 · 44 pitches seen.374xwOBA .349 shrunk (raw .376 on 18 PA) · league .308 · 50 pitches seen.349xwOBA .396 shrunk (raw .423 on 20 PA) · league .351 · 51 pitches seen.396xwOBA .245 shrunk (raw .132 on 5 PA) · league .292 · 46 pitches seen.245xwOBA .370 shrunk (raw .364 on 16 PA) · league .377 · 126 pitches seen.370xwOBA .384 shrunk (raw .505 on 11 PA) · league .274 · 49 pitches seen.384xwOBA .121 shrunk (raw .074 on 36 PA) · league .263 · 152 pitches seen.121xwOBA .268 shrunk (raw .265 on 22 PA) · league .274 · 170 pitches seen.268
vs RHP · 845 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 16% of 19 swings · league 22%16%Whiff 19% of 16 swings · league 20%19%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 19%22%Whiff 12% of 26 swings · league 10%12%Whiff 6% of 35 swings · league 9%6%Whiff 8% of 36 swings · league 11%8%Whiff 33% of 39 swings · league 14%33%Whiff 23% of 39 swings · league 13%23%Whiff 15% of 26 swings · league 17%15%Whiff 24% of 25 swings · league 28%24%Whiff 0% of 12 swings · league 24%0%Whiff 49% of 81 swings · league 32%49%Whiff 64% of 33 swings · league 49%64%
vs RHP · 845 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 54% of 35 pitches · league 62%54%Swings at 55% of 29 pitches · league 72%55%Swings at 56% of 16 pitches · league 66%56%Swings at 74% of 35 pitches · league 70%74%Swings at 83% of 42 pitches · league 76%83%Swings at 82% of 44 pitches · league 70%82%Swings at 78% of 50 pitches · league 65%78%Swings at 77% of 51 pitches · league 68%77%Swings at 56% of 46 pitches · league 60%56%Swings at 20% of 126 pitches · league 24%20%Swings at 25% of 49 pitches · league 34%25%Swings at 53% of 152 pitches · league 40%53%Swings at 19% of 170 pitches · league 32%19%
vs RHP · 845 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Max Muncy against each of Yunior Marte's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball45%93.3+8″ / +15″.376.36615.0%15.3%34About league average vs these
Slider42%85.3-2″ / +0″.348.33934.6%28.7%21About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Splitter13%82.8+7″ / +3″.288.28038.3%30.2%8About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Max Muncy · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.100.100.100.090.26430.0%0.0%26.3%81.5100.60.0%28.6%42.9%
Last 15 G1544.220.273.439.326.31925.0%2.3%25.3%84.9109.910.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 30 G3083.233.325.438.345.33824.1%9.6%24.4%86.3109.99.4%45.3%39.6%
90 days69198.227.323.471.352.33025.3%11.1%27.5%89.0110.211.4%44.7%39.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 123 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 24%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.143.143.143.129.09528.6%0.0%21.4%84.396.20.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G914.231.286.462.321.26135.7%0.0%29.2%87.3106.112.5%37.5%37.5%
Last 30 G1832.269.406.462.384.33025.0%15.6%28.8%90.4106.15.6%50.0%44.4%
90 days4068.246.324.443.335.29130.9%8.8%30.3%91.2108.37.5%47.5%35.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 40 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 20%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.118.118.118.106.19429.4%0.0%24.2%82.7100.60.0%25.0%33.3%
Last 15 G1558.222.276.444.325.30527.6%1.7%26.2%85.4109.910.5%39.5%39.5%
Last 30 G30115.242.348.444.356.33624.3%11.3%25.5%87.3109.98.5%46.5%40.8%
90 days71266.232.323.464.348.32026.7%10.5%28.2%89.5110.210.4%45.4%38.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 163 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 23%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 15%
Max Muncy · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating71Above average
Last 100 pitches88trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.356 / .337running 19 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSlider85.5100.63.496Out
Sep 25RHPSlider84.394.423.161Out
Sep 25RHPCutter89.277.81.149Out
Sep 24LHPFastball92.796.267.010Out
Sep 23LHPSinker93.376.141.105Out
Sep 23LHPSinker94.194.421.222Out
Sep 22RHPFastball94.398.232.529Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup91.560.629.514Out
Sep 22RHPSinker94.371.3-7.070Out
Sep 20LHPFastball90.360.443.183Out
Sep 20RHPCutter96.167.536.720Single
Sep 20LHPSinker96.894.3-18.146Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25300000
Sep 24300002
Sep 23300001
Sep 22400001
Sep 20422001
Sep 19524000
Sep 18214100
Sep 17523000
Sep 16200001
Sep 15400001

Two strikes

Yunior Marte SF · RHPwith two strikes
Yunior Marte with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider42%44%21.1%16.1%21.1%
Fastball45%37%7.1%19.2%18.0%
Splitter13%20%14.3%7.1%19.0%
Max Muncy bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Max Muncy with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%42.4%41.0%
Whiff%24.3%21.3%
Contact%75.7%78.7%
Chase%39.1%39.6%
wOBA.250.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes25.7%22.6%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBBalanced type
wOBA.360
K%25.8%
BB%11.3%
Whiff%12.5%
Barrel%6.7%
Hard-hit%27.9%
Avg EV89.4

Against right-handers, last 90 days

199 PA
wOBA.355
xwOBA vs this mix.320against pitches like his
RV/1000.66
Hard-hit%27.5%
K%25.1%
BB%10.3%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Yunior MarteRHP · SF vs LAD
3.9projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 22.7 batters over 5.2 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 45.3%45%≤34 strikeouts: 19.4%19%45 strikeouts: 15.2%15%56 strikeouts: 9.9%10%67 strikeouts: 5.5%5%78 strikeouts: 2.8%3%89+ strikeouts: 1.9%2%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 55% (red bars) · under: 45%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%13.3%
BB%10.8%
Whiff%8.0%
Velo88.5
BTB Stuff78
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball45%5893.22.1%
Slider42%9085.213.0%
Splitter13%11382.712.5%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19978%5%33%.477
Sep 117720%12%20%.240
Sep 46210%7%57%.343

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Yunior Marte SF · RHPvsLAD lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Max Muncy: every projection we've made →