MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 25, 2026
9:15 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · LAD · batting 2Mookie Betts
Bats rightTalent grade APowerHot
.355wOBA vs RHP.333xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · SFYunior Marte
Throws rightBTB Stuff 78Trending Down
3.9projected K13%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Yunior Marte's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 45% usage, 93.3 mph, +8.4″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Mookie Betts: wOBA .379 vs league .365 (about even).Fastball 45%Slider: 42% usage, 85.3 mph, -1.8″ arm side, +0.4″ rise. Mookie Betts: wOBA .321 vs league .307 (about even).Slider 42%Splitter: 13% usage, 82.8 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +3.3″ rise. Mookie Betts: wOBA .302 vs league .289 (about even).Splitter 13%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Mookie Betts's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Mookie Betts's last 40 balls in playHit (16)Out (24)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 76.0 mph at -2°Out: 51.5 mph at -41°Out: 66.3 mph at 45°Single: 103.5 mph at 8°Single: 87.9 mph at 16°Out: 86.0 mph at 3°Double: 102.7 mph at 14°Out: 85.4 mph at -5°Out: 91.9 mph at -19°Out: 87.8 mph at 37°Double: 99.8 mph at 20°Out: 92.4 mph at 24°Out: 81.4 mph at 31°Out: 91.6 mph at -26°Out: 83.1 mph at 77°Out: 92.8 mph at 33°Out: 83.2 mph at 42°Out: 50.9 mph at -50°Double: 105.2 mph at 7°Single: 97.7 mph at 0°Double: 101.6 mph at 18°Double: 101.3 mph at 12°Single: 105.0 mph at 9°Out: 79.5 mph at 70°Home run: 99.3 mph at 27°Home run: 101.3 mph at 26°Single: 87.4 mph at 17°Single: 105.5 mph at 7°Single: 105.4 mph at 1°Out: 94.2 mph at 11°Out: 91.5 mph at 25°Out: 88.6 mph at 39°Out: 93.2 mph at 33°Out: 89.7 mph at 73°Out: 99.4 mph at 0°Out: 94.8 mph at 26°Out: 76.3 mph at -5°Single: 105.5 mph at 2°Out: 73.8 mph at 1°Double: 97.6 mph at 22°
38% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot40% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit68.4%68.0%+0.4
2+ total bases40.1%40.4%-0.3
Home run8.3%10.0%-1.8
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
+0.6
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.0
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.4
Pitch mix
+0.7
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.6
Home run
Starter
-0.4
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-1.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Mookie Betts hits
Mookie Betts · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .248 shrunk (raw .214 on 9 PA) · league .274 · 25 pitches seen.248xwOBA .240 shrunk (raw .106 on 6 PA) · league .307 · 40 pitches seen.240xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .309 on 8 PA) · league .263 · 32 pitches seen.281xwOBA .376 shrunk (raw .401 on 16 PA) · league .342 · 31 pitches seen.376xwOBA .383 shrunk (raw .382 on 31 PA) · league .386 · 67 pitches seen.383xwOBA .328 shrunk (raw .332 on 20 PA) · league .321 · 40 pitches seen.328xwOBA .381 shrunk (raw .453 on 12 PA) · league .308 · 27 pitches seen.381xwOBA .360 shrunk (raw .365 on 20 PA) · league .351 · 48 pitches seen.360xwOBA .239 shrunk (raw .210 on 22 PA) · league .292 · 51 pitches seen.239xwOBA .374 shrunk (raw .372 on 12 PA) · league .377 · 82 pitches seen.374xwOBA .382 shrunk (raw .544 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 52 pitches seen.382xwOBA .266 shrunk (raw .270 on 7 PA) · league .263 · 56 pitches seen.266xwOBA .291 shrunk (raw .297 on 33 PA) · league .274 · 208 pitches seen.291
vs RHP · 759 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 23% of 13 swings · league 22%23%Whiff 0% of 20 swings · league 20%0%Whiff 13% of 16 swings · league 19%13%Whiff 0% of 20 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 4% of 45 swings · league 9%4%Whiff 11% of 27 swings · league 11%11%Whiff 6% of 18 swings · league 14%6%Whiff 3% of 35 swings · league 13%3%Whiff 11% of 28 swings · league 17%11%Whiff 6% of 16 swings · league 28%6%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 24%0%Whiff 15% of 27 swings · league 32%15%Whiff 51% of 43 swings · league 49%51%
vs RHP · 759 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 52% of 25 pitches · league 62%52%Swings at 50% of 40 pitches · league 72%50%Swings at 50% of 32 pitches · league 66%50%Swings at 65% of 31 pitches · league 70%65%Swings at 67% of 67 pitches · league 76%67%Swings at 68% of 40 pitches · league 70%68%Swings at 67% of 27 pitches · league 65%67%Swings at 73% of 48 pitches · league 68%73%Swings at 55% of 51 pitches · league 60%55%Swings at 20% of 82 pitches · league 24%20%Swings at 8% of 52 pitches · league 34%8%Swings at 48% of 56 pitches · league 40%48%Swings at 21% of 208 pitches · league 32%21%
vs RHP · 759 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Mookie Betts against each of Yunior Marte's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball45%93.3+8″ / +15″.379.3658.4%15.3%34About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Slider42%85.3-2″ / +0″.321.30720.6%30.8%24About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Splitter13%82.8+7″ / +3″.302.28929.6%38.5%3Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Mookie Betts · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.286.412.429.376.3795.9%17.6%14.8%84.1103.50.0%23.1%38.5%
Last 15 G1549.366.469.659.478.4098.2%16.3%11.9%91.5105.55.4%40.5%43.2%
Last 30 G2995.312.421.550.419.3829.5%14.7%12.5%90.8107.14.2%39.4%43.7%
90 days68204.275.353.451.352.33210.8%10.3%13.5%89.6107.14.4%36.9%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 160 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 23%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.000.167.000.117.1600.0%16.7%0.0%84.287.80.0%0.0%20.0%
Last 15 G920.312.450.688.475.4140.0%20.0%5.3%89.1105.512.5%31.2%37.5%
Last 30 G2244.351.455.622.464.3864.5%15.9%6.7%89.0105.58.6%34.3%37.1%
90 days50108.286.352.480.380.3644.6%9.3%5.8%91.0105.57.5%39.8%39.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 93 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 20%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.211.348.316.309.3224.3%17.4%10.5%84.1103.50.0%16.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1569.351.464.667.477.4105.8%17.4%9.5%90.7105.57.5%37.7%41.5%
Last 30 G30139.325.432.573.433.3837.9%15.1%10.3%90.2107.15.7%37.7%41.5%
90 days73312.279.353.461.362.3438.7%9.9%10.9%90.2107.15.5%37.9%38.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 253 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 22%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 13%
Mookie Betts · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating80Excellent
Last 100 pitches97trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.367 / .349running 18 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSplitter82.576.0-2.077Out
Sep 25RHPSplitter83.051.5-41.209Out
Sep 25RHPSinker95.766.345.219Out
Sep 24RHPFastball94.0103.58.672Single
Sep 24RHPFastball95.587.916.905Single
Sep 24RHPSlider89.186.03.333Out
Sep 24RHPCutter92.2102.714.794Double
Sep 23LHPSlider86.885.4-5.142Out
Sep 23RHPFastball100.591.9-19.097Out
Sep 23LHPSinker93.687.837.013Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper81.599.820.382Double
Sep 22RHPSlider89.192.424.183Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400010
Sep 24534010
Sep 23500011
Sep 22512010
Sep 20400000
Sep 19547010
Sep 18539210
Sep 16533010
Sep 15400001
Sep 14400000

Two strikes

Yunior Marte SF · RHPwith two strikes
Yunior Marte with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider42%44%21.1%16.1%21.1%
Fastball45%37%7.1%19.2%18.0%
Splitter13%20%14.3%7.1%19.0%
Mookie Betts bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Mookie Betts with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%33.9%42.4%
Whiff%17.3%22.2%
Contact%82.7%77.8%
Chase%36.2%39.9%
wOBA.243.237
Whiff vs his put-away shapes18.9%24.0%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.353
K%9.8%
BB%9.5%
Whiff%5.5%
Barrel%4.7%
Hard-hit%31.3%
Avg EV90.4

Against right-handers, last 90 days

204 PA
wOBA.355
xwOBA vs this mix.333against pitches like his
RV/1000.73
Hard-hit%30.1%
K%12.2%
BB%9.5%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Yunior MarteRHP · SF vs LAD
3.9projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 22.7 batters over 5.2 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 45.3%45%≤34 strikeouts: 19.4%19%45 strikeouts: 15.2%15%56 strikeouts: 9.9%10%67 strikeouts: 5.5%5%78 strikeouts: 2.8%3%89+ strikeouts: 1.9%2%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 55% (red bars) · under: 45%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%13.3%
BB%10.8%
Whiff%8.0%
Velo88.5
BTB Stuff78
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball45%5893.22.1%
Slider42%9085.213.0%
Splitter13%11382.712.5%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19978%5%33%.477
Sep 117720%12%20%.240
Sep 46210%7%57%.343

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Yunior Marte SF · RHPvsLAD lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Mookie Betts: every projection we've made →