MLBengine v14
← NYM at WSH, Sep 25, 2026
5:45 PM CT · Nationals Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · WSH · batting 4Dylan Crews
Bats rightTalent grade AvgBalancedHot
.325wOBA vs LHP.340xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · NYMJefry Yan
Throws leftBTB Stuff 122Stable
2.6projected K29%K%1.0trips vs this hitter
Jefry Yan's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sinker: 44% usage, 97.6 mph, +14.6″ arm side, +11.5″ rise. Dylan Crews: wOBA .356 vs league .356 (about even).Sinker 44%Fastball: 26% usage, 97.5 mph, +4.1″ arm side, +17.2″ rise. Dylan Crews: wOBA .313 vs league .313 (about even).Fastball 26%Slider: 21% usage, 86.4 mph, -4.6″ arm side, -3.2″ rise. Dylan Crews: wOBA .297 vs league .296 (about even).Slider 21%Changeup: 9% usage, 89.5 mph, +13.1″ arm side, +7.1″ rise. Dylan Crews: wOBA .314 vs league .314 (about even).Changeup 9%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Dylan Crews's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Dylan Crews's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Home run: 104.9 mph at 32°Out: 57.2 mph at 3°Out: 93.5 mph at 30°Out: 101.8 mph at -34°Out: 105.4 mph at -7°Out: 81.2 mph at 68°Out: 88.0 mph at 61°Single: 93.3 mph at -6°Out: 109.3 mph at 14°Single: 81.3 mph at 16°Single: 76.9 mph at 16°Out: 53.7 mph at -15°Out: 83.9 mph at 3°Out: 90.7 mph at 53°Out: 101.4 mph at 37°Out: 102.5 mph at 22°Out: 81.7 mph at 14°Out: 106.0 mph at 16°Out: 98.9 mph at -12°Single: 59.6 mph at 28°Out: 80.7 mph at 13°Home run: 100.3 mph at 33°Out: 101.4 mph at -15°Out: 63.7 mph at 40°Single: 88.6 mph at 13°Out: 97.3 mph at 38°Single: 61.0 mph at -17°Out: 100.0 mph at 53°Out: 73.7 mph at -16°Out: 105.3 mph at 31°Single: 74.5 mph at 19°Out: 80.6 mph at -5°Out: 106.1 mph at -6°Out: 100.9 mph at 30°Out: 89.7 mph at 34°Out: 79.6 mph at -39°Out: 80.1 mph at 27°Single: 31.1 mph at -56°Out: 86.0 mph at 33°Single: 94.0 mph at 21°
38% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit59.9%59.6%+0.3
2+ total bases35.4%34.5%+0.9
Home run12.7%11.6%+1.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-0.6
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
+0.5
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.1
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
+0.6
Home run
Starter
+0.5
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
+0.4

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Dylan Crews hits
Dylan Crews · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .312 shrunk (raw .451 on 6 PA) · league .243 · 10 pitches seen.312xwOBA .261 shrunk (raw .223 on 11 PA) · league .296 · 21 pitches seen.261xwOBA .291 shrunk (raw .515 on 2 PA) · league .254 · 13 pitches seen.291xwOBA .237 shrunk (raw .096 on 6 PA) · league .308 · 20 pitches seen.237xwOBA .436 shrunk (raw .503 on 9 PA) · league .385 · 29 pitches seen.436xwOBA .358 shrunk (raw .412 on 4 PA) · league .340 · 13 pitches seen.358xwOBA .264 shrunk (raw .248 on 7 PA) · league .273 · 14 pitches seen.264xwOBA .309 shrunk (raw .265 on 11 PA) · league .350 · 19 pitches seen.309xwOBA .342 shrunk (raw .417 on 7 PA) · league .299 · 15 pitches seen.342xwOBA .322 shrunk (raw .357 on 7 PA) · league .302 · 31 pitches seen.322xwOBA .367 shrunk (raw .403 on 7 PA) · league .346 · 47 pitches seen.367xwOBA .342 shrunk (raw .413 on 9 PA) · league .289 · 81 pitches seen.342xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .317 on 8 PA) · league .257 · 40 pitches seen.281
vs LHP · 353 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 19%13%Whiff 41% of 17 swings · league 21%41%Whiff 44% of 9 swings · league 23%44%Whiff 7% of 15 swings · league 9%7%Whiff 10% of 20 swings · league 10%10%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 20% of 10 swings · league 17%20%Whiff 0% of 15 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 16%11%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 25%13%Whiff 25% of 12 swings · league 29%25%Whiff 73% of 22 swings · league 48%73%Whiff 50% of 12 swings · league 34%50%
vs LHP · 353 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 80% of 10 pitches · league 63%80%Swings at 81% of 21 pitches · league 71%81%Swings at 69% of 13 pitches · league 64%69%Swings at 75% of 20 pitches · league 67%75%Swings at 69% of 29 pitches · league 76%69%Swings at 85% of 13 pitches · league 72%85%Swings at 71% of 14 pitches · league 59%71%Swings at 79% of 19 pitches · league 68%79%Swings at 60% of 15 pitches · league 66%60%Swings at 26% of 31 pitches · league 30%26%Swings at 26% of 47 pitches · league 26%26%Swings at 27% of 81 pitches · league 31%27%Swings at 30% of 40 pitches · league 41%30%
vs LHP · 353 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Dylan Crews against each of Jefry Yan's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sinker44%97.6+15″ / +12″.356.35620.1%18.3%25About league average vs these
Fastball26%97.5+4″ / +17″.313.31321.9%20.1%20About league average vs these
Slider21%86.4-5″ / -3″.297.29639.4%33.5%11About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Changeup9%89.5+13″ / +7″.314.31429.2%26.8%15About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Dylan Crews · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.000.000.000.000.1700.0%0.0%0.0%86.0101.80.0%33.3%0.0%
Last 15 G1221.238.238.429.283.4254.8%0.0%9.1%83.6111.710.0%35.0%40.0%
Last 30 G2034.212.235.364.267.34017.6%2.9%18.6%84.7111.77.4%29.6%33.3%
90 days4595.224.305.424.322.34123.2%9.5%26.2%88.9112.311.1%34.9%39.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 63 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 21%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.333.429.583.436.50414.3%14.3%14.8%90.9109.320.0%40.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1439.286.333.486.373.38420.5%7.7%24.4%90.4109.310.7%46.4%42.9%
Last 30 G2991.280.341.451.354.32624.2%7.7%27.0%89.9109.36.6%44.3%36.1%
90 days67203.225.300.352.308.31525.6%8.4%29.2%89.6109.37.8%45.0%34.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 129 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 22%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.222.300.389.305.40410.0%10.0%11.1%89.1109.312.5%37.5%37.5%
Last 15 G1560.268.300.464.342.39915.0%5.0%20.0%87.6111.710.4%41.7%41.7%
Last 30 G30125.261.312.426.331.32922.4%6.4%25.0%88.3111.76.8%39.8%35.2%
90 days72298.225.302.375.312.32424.8%8.7%28.3%89.3112.38.9%41.7%36.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 192 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 21%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 11%
Dylan Crews · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating57Average
Last 100 pitches99trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.303 / .324running 21 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPFastball87.7104.9321.566Home run
Sep 25LHPFastball97.257.23.129Force out
Sep 25RHPFastball89.393.530.189Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup90.3101.8-34.090Out
Sep 23RHPCutter87.6105.4-7.356Double play
Sep 23LHPCurveball77.381.268.007Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball83.888.061.008Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball79.293.3-6.202Single
Sep 22RHPFastball93.7109.314.834Out
Sep 22RHPSinker95.881.316.898Single
Sep 21RHPSinker95.876.916.765Single
Sep 21RHPSinker96.053.7-15.089Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25414110
Sep 23400000
Sep 22422001
Sep 21411011
Sep 20400000
Sep 19611001
Sep 18525101
Sep 16311001
Sep 15300000
Sep 13211001

Two strikes

Jefry Yan NYM · LHPwith two strikes
Jefry Yan with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider21%40%42.1%27.8%21.6%
Fastball26%22%25.0%30.0%18.6%
Sinker44%22%9.1%10.0%17.7%
Changeup9%17%66.7%46.7%18.3%
Dylan Crews bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Dylan Crews with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%43.4%41.5%
Whiff%21.7%21.6%
Contact%78.3%78.4%
Chase%35.4%39.9%
wOBA.229.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes24.7%24.6%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.301
K%25.1%
BB%8.5%
Whiff%13.9%
Barrel%5.5%
Hard-hit%26.7%
Avg EV89.4

Against left-handers, last 90 days

95 PA
wOBA.325
xwOBA vs this mix.340against pitches like his
RV/1000.53
Hard-hit%23.8%
K%23.4%
BB%8.7%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Jefry YanLHP · NYM vs WSH
2.6projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 10.4 batters over 2.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 74.0%74%≤34 strikeouts: 14.0%14%45 strikeouts: 7.2%7%56 strikeouts: 3.1%3%67 strikeouts: 1.2%1%78 strikeouts: 0.4%0%89+ strikeouts: 0.1%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 48% (red bars) · under: 52%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%28.7%
BB%14.9%
Whiff%14.8%
Velo94.5
BTB Stuff122
Location94
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Sinker44%12797.77.5%
Fastball26%12597.513.1%
Slider21%11786.423.2%
Changeup9%9889.035.5%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Jefry Yan NYM · LHPvsWSH lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameNYM @ WSH →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Dylan Crews: every projection we've made →