MLBengine v14
← ATL at MIA, Sep 26, 2026
3:10 PM CT · loanDepot park · lineup projected
Hitter · MIA · batting 5Agustín Ramírez
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · ATLTBD
Stable
4.4projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Agustín Ramírez's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 94.4 mph at -2°Out: 99.5 mph at 23°Out: 63.6 mph at 85°Out: 100.4 mph at -14°Single: 80.3 mph at -50°Out: 95.8 mph at 42°Single: 107.9 mph at 8°Out: 102.6 mph at 16°Out: 85.5 mph at 64°Double: 94.7 mph at -1°Single: 91.2 mph at 11°Out: 94.0 mph at 5°Home run: 112.5 mph at 18°Single: 100.0 mph at -10°Single: 98.4 mph at 9°Out: 109.7 mph at -11°Out: 72.8 mph at 38°Out: 71.9 mph at 53°Single: 70.9 mph at -58°Home run: 108.6 mph at 32°Out: 109.9 mph at 4°Double: 107.5 mph at 12°Out: 103.1 mph at -7°Out: 85.1 mph at -37°Out: 83.9 mph at 49°Out: 79.0 mph at 3°Out: 93.4 mph at 59°Out: 103.4 mph at 14°Out: 64.4 mph at 15°Home run: 108.3 mph at 21°Out: 78.4 mph at -5°Out: 92.9 mph at 52°Out: 94.7 mph at 39°Out: 59.0 mph at 28°Out: 92.3 mph at -26°Single: 99.5 mph at -1°Out: 88.2 mph at -9°Single: 111.6 mph at 4°Out: 79.8 mph at 38°Out: 108.6 mph at -19°
45% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit56.5%57.5%-1.0
2+ total bases30.9%32.2%-1.4
Home run8.9%10.3%-1.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.5
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.5

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Agustín Ramírez · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G410.200.200.300.239.12930.0%0.0%47.6%88.5100.40.0%33.3%16.7%
Last 15 G1231.290.290.645.403.31125.8%0.0%29.2%90.6112.513.6%40.9%31.8%
Last 30 G2149.255.286.511.364.29222.4%4.1%25.0%88.4112.58.6%37.1%28.6%
90 days2762.271.306.492.362.27324.2%4.8%25.4%89.3112.57.0%37.2%25.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 16%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G58.429.500.429.425.38625.0%12.5%36.8%96.9107.90.0%60.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1118.188.278.188.241.33427.8%11.1%31.4%97.1109.90.0%60.0%40.0%
Last 30 G2548.200.333.225.299.29827.1%16.7%26.4%94.0111.60.0%50.0%26.9%
90 days2954.200.333.222.295.29729.6%16.7%29.7%92.7111.60.0%46.4%28.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 28 balls in play
Ground 57%Line drive 25%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.294.333.353.326.25027.8%5.6%42.5%92.4107.90.0%45.5%36.4%
Last 15 G1549.255.286.489.345.32026.5%4.1%30.0%92.6112.59.4%46.9%34.4%
Last 30 G3097.230.309.379.332.29524.7%10.3%25.8%90.8112.54.9%42.6%27.9%
90 days37116.240.319.375.331.28426.7%10.3%27.5%90.6112.54.2%40.8%26.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 71 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 20%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 11%
Agustín Ramírez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating37Below average
Last 100 pitches37steady
wOBA / xwOBA.333 / .302running 30 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball93.694.4-2.286Single
Sep 24LHPFastball94.099.523.683Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper85.763.685.000Out
Sep 23RHPSplitter82.2100.4-14.209Out
Sep 23LHPFastball93.880.3-50.164Single
Sep 23RHPCurveball81.495.842.023Out
Sep 22LHPSplitter83.8107.98.661Single
Sep 22LHPFastball90.1102.616.596Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball77.685.564.009Out
Sep 19RHPSlider84.894.7-1.271Double
Sep 19RHPFastball93.391.211.646Single
Sep 18RHPCutter88.994.05.458Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411001
Sep 23511001
Sep 22311000
Sep 20100010
Sep 19523003
Sep 18436100
Sep 15500002
Sep 14411002
Sep 13114100
Sep 12100000

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Agustín Ramírez: every projection we've made →