MLBengine v14
← ATL at MIA, Sep 26, 2026
3:10 PM CT · loanDepot park · lineup projected
Hitter · MIA · batting 6Esteury Ruiz
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · ATLTBD
Stable
4.4projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Esteury Ruiz's last 40 balls in playHit (9)Out (31)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 80.4 mph at -15°Out: 56.6 mph at -18°Single: 55.1 mph at 23°Out: 93.0 mph at 22°Out: 58.8 mph at 22°Out: 76.2 mph at 63°Single: 67.8 mph at 15°Out: 31.8 mph at -29°Out: 94.5 mph at 46°Out: 60.3 mph at 22°Out: 83.3 mph at 84°Out: 48.3 mph at 29°Double: 101.5 mph at 30°Out: 69.3 mph at 46°Out: 60.8 mph at -26°Out: 62.9 mph at 72°Out: 71.9 mph at 2°Single: 50.7 mph at -3°Out: 69.0 mph at 42°Out: 76.6 mph at 57°Out: 53.0 mph at 30°Out: 86.1 mph at 0°Out: 80.9 mph at 31°Double: 100.7 mph at 33°Out: 78.9 mph at -17°Out: 97.5 mph at 47°Out: 70.2 mph at 0°Single: 78.7 mph at 27°Out: 72.2 mph at -14°Out: 61.6 mph at 27°Single: 24.3 mph at -9°Out: 100.7 mph at 21°Out: 87.9 mph at 34°Out: 83.8 mph at 50°Out: 88.7 mph at 55°Single: 41.1 mph at -73°Out: 105.4 mph at 14°Out: 87.7 mph at 71°Out: 87.9 mph at -6°Single: 26.1 mph at -24°
13% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot23% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit45.9%46.9%-1.0
2+ total bases23.7%24.9%-1.2
Home run7.4%8.7%-1.3
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.4
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.3

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Esteury Ruiz · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G26.200.200.200.220.11350.0%0.0%27.3%64.794.50.0%0.0%33.3%
Last 15 G921.158.200.211.242.17933.3%4.8%16.2%69.1101.57.7%7.7%30.8%
Last 30 G1946.122.200.146.214.17939.1%4.3%25.3%69.9105.44.2%8.3%25.0%
90 days3479.182.299.273.297.24734.2%7.6%23.0%73.0105.84.9%14.6%31.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 41 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 20%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.125.300.125.320.22420.0%20.0%16.7%70.093.00.0%0.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1222.100.182.150.202.18631.8%9.1%32.0%74.4100.77.7%15.4%38.5%
Last 30 G2344.158.273.184.247.24131.8%11.4%30.5%78.4102.34.2%20.8%41.7%
90 days4175.190.320.270.292.26534.7%13.3%31.8%79.6108.08.1%24.3%37.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 37 balls in play
Ground 19%Line drive 24%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 22%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.154.267.154.287.18731.2%12.5%20.0%68.294.50.0%0.0%44.4%
Last 15 G1543.128.190.179.221.18232.6%7.0%25.3%71.8101.57.7%11.5%34.6%
Last 30 G3090.139.236.165.230.21035.6%7.8%28.1%74.1105.44.2%14.6%33.3%
90 days54154.186.309.271.294.25634.4%10.4%27.6%76.1108.06.4%19.2%34.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 78 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 22%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 15%
Esteury Ruiz · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating14Poor
Last 100 pitches47trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.289 / .271running 18 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPCurveball71.180.4-15.067Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup80.056.6-18.097Error
Sep 23LHPFastball94.755.123.198Single
Sep 22LHPCurveball76.293.022.205Out
Sep 22LHPFastball94.258.822.255Out
Sep 20LHPSweeper82.876.263.017Out
Sep 19RHPSlider86.867.815.363Single
Sep 19RHPSinker92.831.8-29–Sac bunt
Sep 19RHPChangeup91.294.546.003Out
Sep 16RHPFastball92.160.322.288Out
Sep 16RHPChangeup89.183.384.005Out
Sep 16RHPSlider85.548.329.100Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300010
Sep 23111000
Sep 22600004
Sep 20100000
Sep 19511011
Sep 16400010
Sep 15312000
Sep 14100001
Sep 13311000
Sep 12300002

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Esteury Ruiz: every projection we've made →