← ATL at MIA, Sep 26, 2026
3:10 PM CT · loanDepot park · lineup projected
Hitter · MIA · batting 4Javier Sanoja
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · ATLTBD
Stable
4.4projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Javier Sanoja's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 88.2 mph at 21°Out: 85.1 mph at -12°Out: 73.5 mph at 77°Single: 44.2 mph at -21°Double: 93.8 mph at 20°Single: 71.6 mph at 22°Out: 55.2 mph at -17°Single: 79.4 mph at 10°Single: 78.5 mph at 20°Out: 71.1 mph at 11°Out: 79.0 mph at 30°Home run: 100.7 mph at 29°Out: 97.5 mph at -4°Out: 88.9 mph at 21°Out: 96.7 mph at 21°Out: 90.3 mph at 7°Out: 77.8 mph at 68°Out: 82.9 mph at 54°Single: 105.7 mph at 2°Out: 75.9 mph at 56°Double: 99.5 mph at 1°Out: 81.9 mph at 35°Single: 96.3 mph at -5°Out: 68.3 mph at 73°Out: 73.4 mph at 62°Out: 92.7 mph at 50°Single: 90.9 mph at 16°Out: 96.3 mph at 45°Out: 99.8 mph at -12°Home run: 103.9 mph at 23°Triple: 97.9 mph at 26°Out: 49.5 mph at -58°Out: 89.4 mph at -16°Out: 100.1 mph at -3°Double: 77.6 mph at 20°Out: 76.6 mph at 36°Out: 97.5 mph at 40°Out: 100.0 mph at 19°Out: 84.2 mph at -27°Single: 87.9 mph at 12°
33% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit69.0%69.7%-0.6
2+ total bases37.1%38.0%-0.9
Home run5.1%6.0%-0.9
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.7
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-0.9

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Javier Sanoja · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.286.375.571.410.39318.8%12.5%7.7%84.2100.79.1%27.3%63.6%
Last 15 G1549.326.367.609.416.34812.2%6.1%14.1%88.7105.75.0%42.5%37.5%
Last 30 G3090.341.378.576.418.3498.9%5.6%12.1%88.7106.53.9%40.3%41.6%
90 days75198.303.338.511.380.3076.1%5.1%10.0%86.7108.44.0%34.3%37.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 175 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 23%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.333.333.333.300.2180.0%0.0%0.0%74.388.20.0%0.0%50.0%
Last 15 G917.312.353.438.433.2920.0%5.9%4.0%80.799.80.0%13.3%33.3%
Last 30 G2038.286.342.400.364.3262.6%7.9%8.9%83.2106.70.0%18.2%36.4%
90 days4992.360.402.523.423.3507.6%6.5%11.0%85.2106.71.3%28.6%41.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 77 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 34%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.300.364.500.379.34313.6%9.1%5.7%80.7100.75.9%17.6%58.8%
Last 15 G1566.323.364.565.420.3359.1%6.1%12.0%86.5105.73.6%34.5%36.4%
Last 30 G30128.325.367.525.402.3427.0%6.2%11.4%87.0106.72.7%33.6%40.0%
90 days76290.321.359.515.394.3206.6%5.5%10.3%86.3108.43.2%32.5%38.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 252 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 27%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 12%
Javier Sanoja · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating62Average
Last 100 pitches29trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.382 / .329running 53 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPChangeup80.488.221.398Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup81.285.1-12.086Out
Sep 24RHPSplitter90.873.577.000Out
Sep 24LHPFastball92.344.2-21.205Single
Sep 23RHPFastball93.893.820.342Double
Sep 23RHPSplitter83.471.622.880Single
Sep 23RHPSinker93.155.2-17.076Out
Sep 22LHPSplitter84.479.410.341Single
Sep 22RHPSinker101.078.520.898Single
Sep 22LHPSplitter82.071.111.277Force out
Sep 22RHPSinker93.179.030.154Out
Sep 20RHPCutter90.9100.7291.134Home run
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411000
Sep 23423001
Sep 22622011
Sep 20314100
Sep 19500011
Sep 18423000
Sep 16411001
Sep 15511000
Sep 14427100
Sep 13412001

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameATL @ MIA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Javier Sanoja: every projection we've made →