Andrew Benintendi vs Jose Quintana, Sep 26, 2026

← COL at CWS, Sep 26, 2026

6:10 PM CT · Rate Field · lineup projected

Hitter · CWS · batting 5Andrew Benintendi

Bats leftTalent grade CBalancedCold

.310wOBA vs LHP.289xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA

Starter · COLJose Quintana

Throws leftBTB Stuff 83Stable

3.1projected K11%K%1.9trips vs this hitter

1+ hit+2.1 pts matchup

2+ total bases+1.4 pts matchup

Home run-0.0 pts matchup

Jose Quintana's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Andrew Benintendi's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Andrew Benintendi's last 40 balls in playHit (9)Out (31)Barrel zone

53% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot23% fell for hits

Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
Market	BTB	Without the matchup	Matchup
1+ hit	61.5%	59.4%	+2.1
2+ total bases	35.2%	33.7%	+1.4
Home run	10.1%	10.2%	-0.0

What moves the number

1+ hit

Starter

+1.6

Pitch mix

+0.0

Bullpen

+0.7

Park

-0.2

2+ total bases

Starter

+0.7

Pitch mix

+0.0

Bullpen

+0.9

Park

-0.2

Home run

Starter

-0.7

Pitch mix

0.0

Bullpen

+0.5

Park

+0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Andrew Benintendi against each of Jose Quintana's pitches

Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.
His pitch	Usage	Velo	Movement	His wOBA	League	His whiff%	League	Sample	Read
Fastball	26%	88.4	+4″ / +13″	.365	.366	22.8%	19.5%	2	Little history vs this shape
Sinker	26%	88.8	+11″ / +10″	.352	.353	12.7%	10.7%	2	Little history vs this shape

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight

Andrew Benintendi · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games

vs LHPvs RHPAll

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	1	1	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	100.0%	0.0%	66.7%	–	–	–	–	–
Last 15 G	2	2	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	100.0%	0.0%	42.9%	–	–	–	–	–
Last 30 G	4	4	.000	.000	.000	.000	.010	75.0%	0.0%	40.0%	79.4	79.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
90 days	12	13	.308	.308	.308	.277	.182	30.8%	0.0%	29.0%	82.6	98.0	0.0%	11.1%	33.3%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 9 balls in play

Ground 56%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 0%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	13	.100	.231	.100	.177	.249	46.2%	15.4%	34.8%	94.8	101.7	0.0%	60.0%	40.0%
Last 15 G	15	37	.242	.297	.333	.280	.316	21.6%	8.1%	29.2%	92.7	104.9	3.8%	53.8%	42.3%
Last 30 G	30	89	.238	.292	.388	.306	.309	21.3%	7.9%	23.3%	91.3	109.9	7.9%	50.8%	42.9%
90 days	67	201	.242	.313	.382	.323	.304	20.4%	9.5%	24.9%	89.3	109.9	6.5%	43.5%	37.0%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 138 balls in play

Ground 35%Line drive 25%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 14%

Window	G	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Avg EV	Max EV	Barrel%	Hard-hit%	Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G	5	14	.091	.214	.091	.164	.231	50.0%	14.3%	38.5%	94.8	101.7	0.0%	60.0%	40.0%
Last 15 G	15	39	.229	.282	.314	.265	.300	25.6%	7.7%	30.4%	92.7	104.9	3.8%	53.8%	42.3%
Last 30 G	30	93	.226	.280	.369	.292	.296	23.7%	7.5%	24.6%	91.1	109.9	7.8%	50.0%	42.2%
90 days	67	214	.246	.313	.377	.321	.296	21.0%	8.9%	25.2%	88.9	109.9	6.1%	41.5%	36.7%

Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 147 balls in play

Ground 36%Line drive 25%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 13%

Andrew Benintendi · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

xwOBA33.296

Avg EV6188.9

Max EV54109.9

Barrel%466.1%

Hard-hit%6441.5%

Sweet-spot%6136.7%

K%5821.0%

BB%568.9%

Whiff%3025.2%

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormCold

Contact rating45Average

Last 100 pitches17trending down

wOBA / xwOBA.320 / .310results in line with his contact

Last 12 games, oldest to newest

Hit4/12

2+ total bases2/12

Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
Date	Pitcher	Pitch	Velo	EV	LA	xwOBA	Result
Sep 24	RHP	Changeup	83.5	96.1	22	.247	Sac fly
Sep 23	RHP	Sinker	91.6	88.0	-18	.081	Fielder's choice
Sep 23	RHP	Curveball	75.4	87.4	40	.005	Out
Sep 22	RHP	Cutter	88.8	100.7	13	.915	Single
Sep 20	RHP	Fastball	96.5	101.7	6	.593	Out
Sep 17	RHP	Slider	86.5	65.9	39	.473	Out
Sep 14	RHP	Fastball	96.7	92.8	-8	.174	Single
Sep 14	RHP	Curveball	81.5	101.1	12	.927	Single
Sep 14	RHP	Curveball	84.4	78.3	31	.125	Out
Sep 14	RHP	Changeup	82.7	99.3	-3	.312	Single
Sep 14	RHP	Sinker	96.3	100.0	23	.683	Out
Sep 13	RHP	Changeup	86.3	76.8	-21	.048	Out

Total bases, last 10 games★ home run

011

012

113

314

017

019

020

122

023

024

Last 10 games.
Date	PA	H	TB	BB	K
Sep 24	5	0	0	2	2
Sep 23	2	0	0	0	0
Sep 22	2	1	1	0	1
Sep 20	2	0	0	0	1
Sep 19	3	0	0	0	3
Sep 17	1	0	0	0	0
Sep 14	5	3	3	0	0
Sep 13	4	1	1	0	1
Sep 12	1	0	0	0	0
Sep 11	1	0	0	0	0

Two strikes

Jose Quintana COL · LHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball+5 pts

Sweeper+8 pts

Sinker-4 pts

Curveball-6 pts

Changeup-3 pts

Jose Quintana with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	26%	30%	0.0%	0.0%	18.6%
Sweeper	19%	26%	66.7%	33.3%	20.5%
Sinker	26%	22%	0.0%	0.0%	17.7%
Curveball	19%	13%	–	0.0%	21.3%
Changeup	11%	9%	0.0%	0.0%	18.3%

Andrew Benintendi bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand

Andrew Benintendi with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikes	Him	League
K%	45.5%	44.1%
Whiff%	23.6%	22.7%
Contact%	76.4%	77.3%
Chase%	39.1%	38.1%
wOBA	.216	.224
Whiff vs his put-away shapes	15.4%	14.7%

The hitter

season-level talent read

Talent gradeCBalanced type

wOBA.325

K%20.9%

BB%8.8%

Whiff%12.8%

Barrel%5.2%

Hard-hit%27.7%

Avg EV88.6

Against left-handers, last 90 days

13 PA

wOBA.310

xwOBA vs this mix.289against pitches like his

RV/100-0.19

Hard-hit%23.3%

K%24.0%

BB%9.0%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Jose QuintanaLHP · COL vs CWS

3.1projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 16.8 batters over 3.9 innings

Over 3.5: 38% (red bars) · under: 62%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%11.1%

BB%5.6%

Whiff%7.1%

Velo84.5

BTB Stuff83

Location100

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball26%7789.15.6%

Sinker26%8888.80.0%

Curveball19%7778.47.7%

Sweeper19%9278.923.1%

Changeup11%8183.60.0%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Jose Quintana COL · LHPvsCWS lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

4 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Sam Antonacci20%

2Kyle Teel31%

3Miguel Vargas21%

4Munetaka Murakami33%

5Andrew Benintendi24%

6Tristan Peters21%

7Chase Meidroth13%

8Colson Montgomery29%

9Braden Montgomery27%

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCOL @ CWS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Andrew Benintendi: every projection we've made →