Hitter · DET · batting 7Spencer Torkelson
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
1+ hit-0.4 pts matchup
2+ total bases-0.4 pts matchup
Home run-0.1 pts matchup
48% hit 95+ mph43% in the sweet spot45% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 53.5% | 53.9% | -0.4 |
| 2+ total bases | 31.1% | 31.4% | -0.4 |
| Home run | 13.6% | 13.7% | -0.1 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.5
Park+0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.5
Park+0.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.3
Park+0.1
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightSpencer Torkelson · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 12 | .250 | .500 | .750 | .504 | .295 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 50.0% | 94.7 | 101.7 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 38 | .370 | .553 | .815 | .554 | .390 | 26.3% | 23.7% | 37.1% | 91.3 | 103.9 | 5.9% | 52.9% | 35.3% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 66 | .300 | .470 | .700 | .484 | .352 | 33.3% | 18.2% | 42.1% | 91.5 | 106.5 | 10.7% | 53.6% | 39.3% |
| 90 days | 71 | 186 | .248 | .360 | .503 | .372 | .330 | 30.1% | 12.4% | 34.5% | 89.6 | 106.5 | 13.7% | 44.1% | 33.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 102 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 20%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 16%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 6 | .000 | .333 | .000 | .233 | .233 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 66.7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Last 15 G | 11 | 16 | .231 | .375 | .231 | .300 | .286 | 50.0% | 18.8% | 44.4% | 94.9 | 106.0 | 20.0% | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Last 30 G | 22 | 40 | .171 | .275 | .200 | .231 | .238 | 35.0% | 12.5% | 26.1% | 89.6 | 106.0 | 4.8% | 38.1% | 47.6% |
| 90 days | 58 | 102 | .256 | .333 | .356 | .310 | .275 | 30.4% | 10.8% | 26.3% | 87.4 | 107.5 | 5.0% | 31.7% | 43.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 17%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 12%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 18 | .167 | .444 | .500 | .414 | .274 | 44.4% | 22.2% | 55.2% | 94.7 | 101.7 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 54 | .325 | .500 | .625 | .479 | .360 | 33.3% | 22.2% | 39.3% | 92.1 | 106.0 | 9.1% | 54.5% | 36.4% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 106 | .247 | .396 | .494 | .389 | .309 | 34.0% | 16.0% | 35.8% | 90.7 | 106.5 | 8.2% | 46.9% | 42.9% |
| 90 days | 75 | 288 | .251 | .351 | .449 | .350 | .310 | 30.2% | 11.8% | 31.5% | 88.8 | 107.5 | 10.5% | 39.5% | 37.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 162 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 19%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 14%
xwOBA44.310
Avg EV6088.8
Max EV25107.5
Barrel%8110.5%
Hard-hit%5539.5%
Sweet-spot%6437.0%
K%1030.2%
BB%8511.8%
Whiff%631.5%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating48Average
Last 100 pitches29trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.351 / .314running 37 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run3/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | RHP | Fastball | 98.6 | 97.1 | 36 | .261 | Home run |
| Sep 21 | RHP | Slider | 86.2 | 87.2 | -4 | .172 | Double play |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 95.3 | 92.6 | 23 | .220 | Double |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Slider | 88.3 | 101.7 | 52 | .028 | Out |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Sinker | 96.8 | 75.4 | 41 | .203 | Single |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Sinker | 95.9 | 73.5 | 8 | .236 | Out |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Fastball | 91.4 | 103.2 | 8 | .666 | Single |
| Sep 17 | RHP | Sweeper | 82.5 | 93.3 | 12 | .836 | Out |
| Sep 17 | LHP | Fastball | 89.5 | 106.0 | 19 | .835 | Single |
| Sep 16 | RHP | Sinker | 98.6 | 97.2 | 16 | .679 | Single |
| Sep 15 | RHP | Sinker | 92.0 | 103.9 | 22 | 1.071 | Double |
| Sep 15 | RHP | Sweeper | 84.5 | 102.7 | 38 | .818 | Home run |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Sep 21 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gamePIT @ DET →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Spencer Torkelson: every projection we've made →