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Braden Montgomery

CWS · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Braden Montgomery · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G34.000.000.000.000.22250.0%0.0%33.3%91.492.60.0%0.0%50.0%
Last 15 G915.000.000.000.060.22046.7%0.0%39.5%93.1108.512.5%12.5%50.0%
Last 30 G1828.036.036.071.077.23032.1%0.0%31.9%91.0108.55.3%26.3%26.3%
90 days5184.105.190.197.193.27628.6%8.3%29.1%86.4108.53.8%32.7%28.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 17%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.562.562.750.572.3810.0%0.0%8.3%90.4109.76.2%62.5%25.0%
Last 15 G1435.355.429.484.403.3428.6%11.4%30.3%90.9109.73.6%53.6%21.4%
Last 30 G2985.247.353.384.332.3979.4%14.1%25.0%87.8109.76.2%43.1%30.8%
90 days72214.269.364.387.340.35114.5%12.1%25.5%89.1109.73.9%43.5%27.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 154 balls in play
Ground 63%Line drive 20%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.450.450.600.458.34910.0%0.0%15.2%90.5109.75.6%55.6%27.8%
Last 15 G1550.239.300.326.300.30520.0%8.0%33.7%91.4109.75.6%44.4%27.8%
Last 30 G30113.188.274.297.269.35615.0%10.6%27.1%88.5109.76.0%39.3%29.8%
90 days74298.221.315.332.298.32918.5%11.1%26.6%88.4109.73.9%40.8%27.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 206 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 19%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 5%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker90.672.0-22.050Out
Sep 24RHPChangeup83.396.315.803Single
Sep 24RHPFastball92.2100.123.683Double
Sep 24RHPFastball91.6100.90.386Out
Sep 23RHPFastball93.1103.1-32.088Single
Sep 23RHPCutter91.1109.73.566Single
Sep 23RHPFastball98.9104.27.597Single
Sep 23LHPFastball91.690.2-25.054Out
Sep 22LHPCurveball82.092.612.836Out
Sep 22RHPFastball91.175.4-43.147Single
Sep 22RHPFastball91.649.9-67.202Out
Sep 20RHPFastball95.075.0-1.117Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24523001
Sep 23433000
Sep 22411001
Sep 20423000
Sep 19312000
Sep 18200001
Sep 17300001
Sep 15200001
Sep 14400013
Sep 13100000
FormNormal
Contact rating66Above average
Last 100 pitches21trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.295 / .331running 37 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.303
Barrel%3.3%
Hard-hit%27.6%
K%19.3%
BB%10.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Braden Montgomery · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Braden Montgomery · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Jackson Jobe: 47.0% · 1 HSep 20 vs Troy Melton: 47.7% · 2 HSep 22 vs Daniel Lynch IV: 49.1% · 1 HSep 23 vs Seth Lugo: 56.7% · 3 HSep 24 vs Randy Dobnak: 54.4% · 2 HSep 25 vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 57.6% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 5BTB expected 2.5
Games with 2+ TB4 of 5BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .303 · K% 19.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Tomoyuki Sugano57.6%30.5%8.8%not settled
Sep 24Randy Dobnak54.4%23.9%5.5%5230
Sep 23Seth Lugo56.7%29.8%8.0%4330
Sep 22Daniel Lynch IV49.1%28.2%7.9%4110
Sep 20Troy Melton47.7%29.9%8.5%4230
Sep 19Jackson Jobe47.0%29.2%8.9%3120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.