Tomoyuki Sugano

COL · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 6:40 PM CT

Tomoyuki SuganoRHP · COL vs CWS

4.1projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 22.6 batters over 5.3 innings

Over 3.5: 59% (red bars) · under: 41%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%15.8%

BB%4.8%

Whiff%8.9%

Velo88.4

BTB Stuff85

Location101

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Splitter22%7386.915.5%

Fastball20%9493.08.3%

Sinker19%7492.93.5%

Cutter12%11489.15.0%

Sweeper11%8583.79.6%

Curveball10%7980.011.8%

Slider8%8886.06.3%

Other0%––0.0%

Last 3 startsTrending Up

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 20	72	29%	13%	41%	.135
Sep 14	88	9%	8%	39%	.454
Sep 9	99	20%	15%	24%	.330

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameCOL @ CWS →Rate Field

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Splitter	Offspeed	22%	86.9	+10.0″	+4.8″
Fastball	Hard	20%	93.1	+5.5″	+14.2″
Sinker	Hard	19%	93.0	+12.5″	+9.6″
Cutter	Hard	12%	89.0	-1.4″	+4.7″
Sweeper	Breaking	11%	83.7	-9.3″	+1.1″
Curveball	Breaking	10%	79.9	-6.2″	-9.4″
Slider	Breaking	8%	86.2	-3.5″	+0.6″

The lineup he faces

Tomoyuki Sugano COL · RHPvsCWS lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Sam Antonacci14%

2Kyle Teel35%

3Miguel Vargas19%

4Munetaka Murakami38%

5Andrew Benintendi21%

6Tristan Peters20%

7Randal Grichuk24%

8Colson Montgomery42%

9Braden Montgomery16%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Tomoyuki Sugano COL · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Splitter+6 pts

Fastball+2 pts

Sinker-4 pts

Curveball+2 pts

Slider+4 pts

Cutter-5 pts

Sweeper-5 pts

Tomoyuki Sugano with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Splitter	22%	28%	24.1%	16.5%	19.0%
Fastball	20%	22%	19.4%	16.9%	18.0%
Sinker	19%	15%	11.8%	11.1%	17.0%
Curveball	10%	12%	20.8%	13.9%	20.0%
Slider	8%	12%	15.0%	14.3%	21.1%
Cutter	12%	6%	12.5%	10.5%	17.9%
Sweeper	11%	6%	12.5%	5.6%	19.3%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts5BTB expected 3.6 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line0 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	CWS	4.0	3.5	56.2%	50.0%	not settled
Sep 20	SEA	3.6	3.5	48.9%	46.3%	5