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Brett Harris

SF · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Brett Harris · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.143.250.286.244.22237.5%12.5%21.4%91.2103.60.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1019.250.333.375.328.29221.1%5.3%19.4%87.4103.67.7%38.5%30.8%
Last 30 G1019.250.333.375.328.29221.1%5.3%19.4%87.4103.67.7%38.5%30.8%
90 days1019.250.333.375.328.29221.1%5.3%19.4%87.4103.67.7%38.5%30.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 13 balls in play
Ground 62%Line drive 31%Fly ball 0%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.286.375.286.312.24850.0%12.5%23.1%81.891.50.0%0.0%66.7%
Last 15 G1018.125.222.125.188.20444.4%5.6%26.9%83.897.10.0%28.6%57.1%
Last 30 G1018.125.222.125.188.20444.4%5.6%26.9%83.897.10.0%28.6%57.1%
90 days1018.125.222.125.188.20444.4%5.6%26.9%83.897.10.0%28.6%57.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 7 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 14%Fly ball 43%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.214.312.286.278.23543.8%12.5%22.2%87.2103.60.0%14.3%57.1%
Last 15 G1237.188.278.250.260.24932.4%5.4%22.8%86.1103.65.0%35.0%40.0%
Last 30 G1237.188.278.250.260.24932.4%5.4%22.8%86.1103.65.0%35.0%40.0%
90 days1237.188.278.250.260.24932.4%5.4%22.8%86.1103.65.0%35.0%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 20 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 25%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 5%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPSlider90.278.2-39.076Out
Sep 21RHPCutter90.886.228.087Out
Sep 21RHPFastball95.691.50.301Single
Sep 21RHPCutter91.767.726.900Single
Sep 20LHPFastball94.4103.614.711Out
Sep 19LHPSlider88.591.2-17.109Out
Sep 19LHPFastball95.891.924.183Double
Sep 18RHPSinker95.970.7-3.055Out
Sep 18LHPSlider86.198.5-11.199Single
Sep 16LHPChangeup85.789.27.519Single
Sep 16LHPSlider89.3100.9-9.252Double play
Sep 16LHPFastball93.484.566.003Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23300002
Sep 22200011
Sep 21422001
Sep 20400012
Sep 19312001
Sep 18411002
Sep 16411001
Sep 15212001
Sep 14300000
Sep 13200000
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.249 / .255results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.314
Barrel%3.6%
Hard-hit%21.8%
K%25.3%
BB%7.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Brett Harris · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Tarik Skubal: 46.7% · 1 HSep 21 vs Zebby Matthews: 45.5% · 2 HSep 23 vs Connor Prielipp: 55.4% · no hitSep 25 vs Tarik Skubal: 53.7% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 3BTB expected 1.5
Games with 2+ TB2 of 3BTB expected 0.8
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .314 · K% 25.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Tarik Skubal53.7%25.2%4.8%not settled
Sep 23Connor Prielipp55.4%26.9%7.0%3000
Sep 21Zebby Matthews45.5%22.5%6.0%4220
Sep 19Tarik Skubal46.7%26.5%8.2%3120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.