The game
Game totals, win probability and the first inning are research only: in the backtest they don't beat the league-wide rate. Shown as projections, never as plays.
- Carry
- – vs neutral air
- Weather
- 61°F · Wind out · roof open
- Park factor
- Runs 94 · HR 81 100 = average
- Schedule
- LAD day-after-night; SF day-after-night
Air density from observed temperature, dew point and pressure. It shapes batted balls, not the run total directly.
| Date | Pitches | K% | Whiff% | Hard-hit% | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11 | 101 | 35% | 18% | 9% | .227 |
| Sep 4 | 101 | 30% | 14% | 17% | .287 |
| Aug 29 | 99 | 46% | 16% | 5% | .305 |
Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.
2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight
Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.
| Date | Pitches | K% | Whiff% | Hard-hit% | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | 76 | 33% | 12% | 6% | .189 |
| Sep 4 | 62 | 12% | 3% | 41% | .594 |
| Aug 29 | 90 | 18% | 6% | 32% | .186 |
Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.
3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight
Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.
Pitch-mix battles
each lineup against the starter it faces| Matt Wilkinson's pitches | LAD lineup vs that pitch | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | BTB Stuff | Whiff% | RV/100 | wOBA | Whiff% | Hard-hit% | Edge |
| Fastball | 55% | 90.3 | 82 | 7.5% | 0.46 | .379 | 8.9% | 30.5% | +1.99 |
| Changeup | 25% | 83.7 | 85 | 8.3% | 0.33 | .316 | 14.6% | 23.8% | -0.06 |
| Slider | 14% | 79.1 | 96 | 7.1% | -0.18 | .319 | 14.6% | 19.0% | -0.02 |
| Cutter | 7% | 83.6 | 86 | 5.3% | -14.56 | .400 | 8.0% | 31.9% | +1.26 |
| Blake Snell's pitches | SF lineup vs that pitch | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | BTB Stuff | Whiff% | RV/100 | wOBA | Whiff% | Hard-hit% | Edge |
| Fastball | 50% | 96.0 | 121 | 10.2% | 2.34 | .304 | 11.9% | 26.1% | -1.90 |
| Curveball | 22% | 79.7 | 105 | 16.0% | 2.75 | .319 | 9.4% | 25.7% | -0.38 |
| Changeup | 18% | 84.4 | 113 | 25.5% | 1.97 | .270 | 16.2% | 22.5% | -0.98 |
| Slider | 10% | 88.6 | 125 | 27.6% | 1.16 | .251 | 17.2% | 25.1% | -0.67 |
Bullpens
No one pitched yesterday.
Ranked on a blend of K-BB% (60%) and wOBA allowed (40%) over the bullpen window. Tired arms are context: in our tests bullpen rest didn't improve run totals.
No one pitched yesterday.
Ranked on a blend of K-BB% (60%) and wOBA allowed (40%) over the bullpen window. Tired arms are context: in our tests bullpen rest didn't improve run totals.
Two strikes
how each starter finishes hitters| Pitch | Overall | 2 strikes | Whiff% | Put-away | League put-away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 50% | 42% | 28.0% | 23.9% | 18.6% |
| Curveball | 22% | 36% | 33.3% | 22.4% | 21.3% |
| Changeup | 18% | 12% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 18.3% |
| Slider | 10% | 10% | 27.3% | 20.0% | 21.6% |
| Pitch | Overall | 2 strikes | Whiff% | Put-away | League put-away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 58% | 62% | 19.0% | 22.0% | 18.6% |
| Changeup | 23% | 20% | 27.3% | 15.8% | 18.3% |
| Slider | 14% | 14% | 16.7% | 7.7% | 21.6% |
| Cutter | 6% | 5% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 17.8% |
Dodgers lineup
Projected · facing Matt Wilkinson LHP| Spot | Hitter | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | Matchup (1+ hit) | wOBA vs hand | Talent grade | Type | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani DH · bats L | 67.0% | 45.1% | 19.5% | 4.0 | +0.2 | .391 | A | Power | Hot |
| 2 | Mookie Betts SS · bats R | 68.1% | 41.1% | 9.0% | 3.9 | +0.8 | .372 | B | Power | Hot |
| 3 | Freddie Freeman 1B · bats L | 66.7% | 37.9% | 7.4% | 3.8 | -0.4 | .320 | C | Balanced | Normal |
| 4 | Teoscar Hernández LF · bats R | 64.8% | 38.2% | 12.9% | 3.8 | +1.5 | .411 | C | Balanced | Normal |
| 5 | Kyle Tucker RF · bats L | 63.3% | 37.2% | 9.4% | 3.7 | +1.9 | .373 | B | Contact | Normal |
| 6 | Max Muncy 3B · bats L | 55.6% | 34.0% | 12.6% | 3.6 | +0.3 | .332 | B | Balanced | Normal |
| 7 | Andy Pages CF · bats R | 64.1% | 34.6% | 9.8% | 3.5 | +1.7 | .427 | C | Balanced | Normal |
| 8 | Hunter Feduccia C · bats L | 54.4% | 27.3% | 5.3% | 3.4 | -0.3 | .257 | F | Balanced | Normal |
| 9 | Tommy Edman 2B · bats S | 52.9% | 26.6% | 6.2% | 3.3 | -0.1 | .352 | F | Balanced | Cold |
Giants lineup
Projected · facing Blake Snell LHP| Spot | Hitter | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | Matchup (1+ hit) | wOBA vs hand | Talent grade | Type | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonah Cox 2B · bats R | 51.9% | 24.2% | 6.5% | 4.0 | -5.6 | .353 | F | Balanced | Cold |
| 2 | Turner Hill CF · bats L | 54.8% | 27.8% | 5.2% | 3.9 | -5.8 | .272 | D | Contact | Normal |
| 3 | Victor Bericoto LF · bats R | 56.5% | 30.5% | 8.4% | 3.8 | -5.2 | .314 | Avg | Power | Normal |
| 4 | Bo Davidson RF · bats L | 56.8% | 28.2% | 6.6% | 3.8 | -5.1 | .322 | Avg | Balanced | Normal |
| 5 | Andrew Knizner C · bats R | 52.4% | 26.5% | 6.2% | 3.7 | -4.8 | .279 | Avg | Balanced | Hot |
| 6 | Brett Harris 1B · bats R | 49.3% | 22.7% | 4.7% | 3.6 | -4.5 | .311 | F | Balanced | Normal |
| 7 | Marcelo Mayer DH · bats L | 47.1% | 22.1% | 5.3% | 3.5 | -5.6 | .308 | C | Balanced | Normal |
| 8 | Shay Whitcomb 3B · bats R | 50.5% | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.4 | -5.5 | .279 | F | Balanced | Normal |
| 9 | Christian Koss SS · bats R | 49.3% | 20.9% | 4.7% | 3.3 | -4.7 | .313 | F | Balanced | Cold |