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Carlos Narváez

BAL · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Carlos Narváez · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G58.143.143.143.157.17637.5%0.0%50.0%63.294.50.0%0.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1221.235.316.294.303.22633.3%4.8%40.0%72.1103.90.0%16.7%25.0%
Last 30 G2750.140.229.163.201.24534.0%4.0%33.8%82.2103.90.0%35.7%32.1%
90 days4082.145.208.203.203.25731.7%3.7%34.4%81.5106.92.0%36.0%34.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 50 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 14%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 20%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G22.000.000.000.000.1290.0%0.0%0.0%93.293.90.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G920.056.150.056.168.17425.0%5.0%24.4%87.9102.70.0%33.3%8.3%
Last 30 G2036.062.167.062.157.21125.0%8.3%30.3%89.1104.84.5%31.8%22.7%
90 days2849.070.184.070.162.19434.7%8.2%35.2%89.2104.84.0%28.0%24.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 25 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 8%Fly ball 40%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.111.111.111.122.16530.0%0.0%41.7%71.894.50.0%0.0%14.3%
Last 15 G1541.143.231.171.236.20029.3%4.9%31.0%80.0103.90.0%25.0%16.7%
Last 30 G3086.107.202.120.183.23030.2%5.8%32.1%85.2104.82.0%34.0%28.0%
90 days44131.116.198.152.188.23332.8%5.3%34.8%84.0106.92.7%33.3%30.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 75 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 12%Fly ball 36%Pop-up 17%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPFastball90.694.559.033Out
Sep 23RHPSlider83.990.157.005Out
Sep 23LHPSlider88.492.433.101Out
Sep 21RHPFastball95.225.462.100Out
Sep 20RHPCutter95.574.121.892Single
Sep 20LHPSinker93.293.9-9.157Force out
Sep 14RHPFastball93.531.9-68–Sac bunt
Sep 9LHPCutter87.586.8-22.066Single
Sep 9RHPSlider92.276.74.179Single
Sep 9RHPFastball95.094.748.003Out
Sep 6LHPFastball99.1102.716.596Out
Sep 4LHPFastball91.293.066.010Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23300000
Sep 21100000
Sep 20211000
Sep 14200001
Sep 12200002
Sep 9422001
Sep 6300001
Sep 4300000
Sep 3300000
Sep 1211010
FormCold
Contact rating4Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches0steady
wOBA / xwOBA.174 / .247running 74 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit3/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.267
Barrel%3.4%
Hard-hit%23.7%
K%29.2%
BB%6.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Carlos Narváez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Carlos Narváez · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 20 vs Jacob Misiorowski: 24.5% · 1 HSep 25 vs Brendan Beck: 45.8% · no hitSep 20Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 0.7. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 2BTB expected 0.7
Games with 2+ TB0 of 2BTB expected 0.5
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .267 · K% 29.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brendan Beck45.8%28.1%10.9%5000
Sep 20Jacob Misiorowski24.5%21.0%7.6%2110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.