Brendan Beck

NYY · Starting pitcher · 1 starts projected since Sep 25, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 3:05 PM CT

Brendan BeckRHP · NYY vs BAL

3.0projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 11.5 batters over 2.7 innings

Over 2.5: 57% (red bars) · under: 43%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%19.0%

BB%9.5%

Whiff%16.5%

Velo88.1

BTB Stuff88

Location99

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball44%9592.713.2%

Slider33%7984.131.0%

Splitter10%9282.911.1%

Sinker7%8592.316.7%

Curveball6%7676.60.0%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameBAL @ NYY →Yankee Stadium

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	43%	92.8	+7.8″	+17.1″
Slider	Breaking	33%	84.3	-1.6″	+1.0″

The lineup he faces

Brendan Beck NYY · RHPvsBAL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

5 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Dylan Beavers28%

2Pete Alonso25%

3Gunnar Henderson19%

4Coby Mayo27%

5Christian Encarnacion-Strand24%

6Colton Cowser31%

7Jeremiah Jackson26%

8Christian Franklin22%

9Carlos Narváez31%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Brendan Beck NYY · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Slider+8 pts

Fastball-12 pts

Splitter+8 pts

Sinker-1 pts

Curveball-3 pts

Brendan Beck with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Slider	33%	41%	22.2%	16.7%	21.1%
Fastball	43%	31%	0.0%	0.0%	18.0%
Splitter	9%	17%	33.3%	20.0%	19.0%
Sinker	8%	7%	0.0%	50.0%	17.0%
Curveball	6%	3%	–	0.0%	20.0%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts8BTB expected 2.5 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line0 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	BAL	2.5	4.5	8.3%	57.2%	8