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CJ Abrams

WSH · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
CJ Abrams · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.182.308.727.425.43830.8%15.4%37.0%94.3106.428.6%28.6%71.4%
Last 15 G1541.250.341.500.364.36922.0%12.2%30.1%91.5110.511.1%40.7%44.4%
Last 30 G2889.195.303.338.290.28725.8%12.4%27.7%89.5110.57.4%33.3%31.5%
90 days65202.263.351.509.371.36122.8%11.4%25.3%90.1110.510.0%41.5%36.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 130 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 23%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.286.375.714.450.4580.0%12.5%31.6%80.8101.214.3%14.3%42.9%
Last 15 G1123.227.261.545.337.39130.4%4.3%32.1%87.6107.020.0%33.3%66.7%
Last 30 G2141.150.171.350.220.29531.7%2.4%31.5%88.7107.014.8%37.0%40.7%
90 days49104.200.221.420.278.24437.5%2.9%33.2%87.0107.09.7%33.9%35.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 26%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.222.333.722.435.44619.0%14.3%34.8%87.6106.421.4%21.4%57.1%
Last 15 G1564.241.312.517.354.37725.0%9.4%31.0%90.1110.514.3%38.1%52.4%
Last 30 G30130.179.262.342.268.29027.7%9.2%28.9%89.2110.59.9%34.6%34.6%
90 days69306.240.307.476.339.32127.8%8.5%28.1%89.1110.59.9%39.1%35.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 192 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 24%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 13%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPCurveball78.283.014.855Single
Sep 23LHPSlider83.772.6-1.117Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup86.9104.2301.594Home run
Sep 22RHPFastball94.8106.4261.860Home run
Sep 22RHPFastball96.591.970.007Out
Sep 21RHPSlider90.694.121.222Out
Sep 20LHPSlider84.1101.2301.090Home run
Sep 20LHPCurveball75.189.1-2.239Force out
Sep 20LHPFastball92.676.557.063Out
Sep 19RHPFastball93.592.3-21.122Out
Sep 19RHPFastball94.594.328.215Out
Sep 19LHPSinker92.769.3-44.192Force out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411020
Sep 22428201
Sep 21300002
Sep 20414101
Sep 19600010
Sep 18411001
Sep 16412000
Sep 13423000
Sep 12523000
Sep 11423001
FormHot
Contact rating59Average
Last 100 pitches99trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.345 / .326running 18 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.338
Barrel%6.0%
Hard-hit%25.3%
K%26.3%
BB%8.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

CJ Abrams · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

CJ Abrams · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Kyle Leahy: 52.3% · 1 HSep 19 vs Michael McGreevy: 56.1% · no hitSep 20 vs Quinn Mathews: 48.0% · 1 HSep 22 vs Drew Anderson: 53.5% · 2 HSep 25 vs TBD: 59.5% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.1. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 4BTB expected 2.1
Games with 2+ TB2 of 4BTB expected 1.3
Games with a HR2 of 4BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeCwOBA .338 · K% 26.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25TBD59.5%36.6%14.0%not settled
Sep 22Drew Anderson53.5%35.8%12.7%4282
Sep 20Quinn Mathews48.0%26.7%7.1%4141
Sep 19Michael McGreevy56.1%36.1%11.1%6000
Sep 18Kyle Leahy52.3%29.7%9.9%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.