← All players

Connor Norby

COL · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Connor Norby · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.167.250.167.200.22925.0%12.5%11.8%85.888.30.0%0.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1228.280.321.480.352.33728.6%7.1%21.3%91.2106.817.6%29.4%52.9%
Last 30 G2665.288.338.475.356.33229.2%6.2%25.5%88.2106.810.0%32.5%45.0%
90 days3381.278.346.472.358.34328.4%8.6%26.5%88.5106.88.2%34.7%46.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 49 balls in play
Ground 31%Line drive 33%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.375.375.500.381.35437.5%0.0%11.8%93.9102.620.0%60.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1226.435.500.609.550.34823.1%7.7%17.4%89.8102.611.8%52.9%35.3%
Last 30 G2451.349.451.465.453.36421.6%13.7%15.7%87.1102.69.7%38.7%41.9%
90 days3062.340.435.453.448.35622.6%12.9%16.5%87.1102.67.9%36.8%39.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 38 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 24%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.286.312.357.291.29131.2%6.2%11.8%89.8102.610.0%30.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1554.354.407.542.449.34325.9%7.4%19.6%90.5106.814.7%41.2%44.1%
Last 30 G30116.314.388.471.399.34625.9%9.5%21.4%87.8106.89.9%35.2%43.7%
90 days38143.304.385.464.397.34925.9%10.5%22.3%87.9106.88.0%35.6%43.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 87 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 29%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball90.3102.023.859Double
Sep 24LHPFastball91.976.627.433Single
Sep 24LHPChangeup83.8102.620.713Out
Sep 22RHPFastball92.988.324.173Sac fly
Sep 22RHPFastball91.883.977.010Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup84.799.635.688Out
Sep 20RHPFastball99.086.542.007Out
Sep 19RHPSlider85.683.454.016Out
Sep 19RHPFastball95.586.915.927Single
Sep 19LHPSlider90.088.7-8.138Single
Sep 18RHPSweeper85.074.317.786Single
Sep 18LHPSinker98.585.3-28.057Error
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24323000
Sep 23100001
Sep 22400011
Sep 20400002
Sep 19422001
Sep 18533010
Sep 17411001
Sep 16412000
Sep 14524000
Sep 12534001
FormNormal
Contact rating83Excellent
Last 100 pitches47trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.395 / .355running 40 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.355
Barrel%5.4%
Hard-hit%23.0%
K%25.9%
BB%8.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Connor Norby · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Connor Norby · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Bryan Woo: 56.7% · 3 HSep 19 vs Bryce Miller: 59.6% · 2 HSep 20 vs Kade Anderson: 61.2% · no hitSep 22 vs Michael Soroka: 57.1% · no hitSep 24 vs Eduardo Rodriguez: 60.8% · 2 HSep 18Sep 24

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 3.0
Games with 2+ TB3 of 5BTB expected 1.8
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeCwOBA .355 · K% 25.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Eduardo Rodriguez60.8%33.2%13.1%3230
Sep 22Michael Soroka57.1%32.9%10.3%4000
Sep 20Kade Anderson61.2%40.9%11.7%4000
Sep 19Bryce Miller59.6%38.3%11.8%4220
Sep 18Bryan Woo56.7%31.2%10.3%5330
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.