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Elias Díaz

TEX · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Elias Díaz · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.000.143.000.100.11342.9%14.3%47.1%88.293.10.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1222.167.238.167.205.20831.8%9.1%34.0%87.7109.60.0%46.2%30.8%
Last 30 G2246.205.289.256.258.20730.4%8.7%33.0%88.7109.60.0%37.0%29.6%
90 days44102.176.232.242.223.21928.4%4.9%28.9%84.8109.61.5%36.4%30.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 66 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 14%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 17%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G410.222.200.333.381.30210.0%0.0%6.2%90.7105.80.0%28.6%14.3%
Last 15 G1228.269.259.462.368.30028.6%0.0%18.1%91.4107.116.7%50.0%33.3%
Last 30 G2551.213.220.383.285.33625.5%2.0%19.8%92.2109.220.0%54.3%40.0%
90 days4078.264.286.500.353.35721.8%3.8%21.2%90.7112.016.1%50.0%41.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 56 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 30%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.133.176.200.250.21323.5%5.9%20.4%90.0105.80.0%20.0%10.0%
Last 15 G1550.227.250.341.293.25830.0%4.0%24.4%89.8109.69.7%48.4%32.3%
Last 30 G3097.209.253.326.272.27327.8%5.2%25.9%90.7109.611.3%46.8%35.5%
90 days56180.215.256.356.279.27825.6%4.4%25.4%87.5112.08.2%42.6%35.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 122 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 21%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 16%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPSlider83.8102.7-4.302Out
Sep 24RHPSinker94.593.1-32.068Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper74.580.3-27.035Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.4105.842.783Sac fly
Sep 22LHPFastball91.788.654.005Out
Sep 18RHPFastball95.182.453.010Out
Sep 16LHPSweeper80.589.339.000Out
Sep 16LHPFastball92.185.2-8.070Single
Sep 16RHPFastball93.089.268.012Out
Sep 15LHPSweeper79.983.123.319Double
Sep 13LHPChangeup80.725.4-24–Sac bunt
Sep 13RHPSlider86.5109.68.746Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300001
Sep 22300000
Sep 18400012
Sep 16511000
Sep 15212001
Sep 13400002
Sep 12433001
Sep 9300001
Sep 6411001
Sep 5100001
FormCold
Contact rating19Poor
Last 100 pitches2trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.269 / .281results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.281
Barrel%4.9%
Hard-hit%27.9%
K%25.5%
BB%5.6%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Elias Díaz · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Elias Díaz · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Dylan Cease: 39.3% · no hitSep 24 vs Zac Thornton: 54.1% · no hitSep 18Sep 24

Hits in 0 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 0.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit0 of 2BTB expected 0.9
Games with 2+ TB0 of 2BTB expected 0.4
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .281 · K% 25.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Zac Thornton54.1%26.1%10.2%3000
Sep 18Dylan Cease39.3%15.0%6.1%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.