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Elly De La Cruz

CIN · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Elly De La Cruz · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G412.333.5001.000.583.52825.0%25.0%33.3%98.3108.033.3%83.3%50.0%
Last 15 G1437.400.5141.000.618.54224.3%18.9%27.7%100.0117.435.0%80.0%55.0%
Last 30 G2980.414.488.857.561.49828.8%12.5%27.3%99.1117.428.3%71.7%52.2%
90 days75244.268.361.521.390.39226.6%12.7%27.7%94.5117.415.6%55.8%39.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 147 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G39.125.222.125.178.15933.3%11.1%35.3%82.096.60.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1025.217.280.391.294.31836.0%8.0%35.7%92.7114.714.3%50.0%28.6%
Last 30 G2351.356.431.556.449.39427.5%11.8%27.5%96.4115.219.4%54.8%35.5%
90 days49108.359.444.598.460.39425.0%13.9%23.3%95.5116.216.9%52.3%35.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 65 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 26%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.235.381.588.410.37028.6%19.0%34.5%90.9108.018.2%54.5%36.4%
Last 15 G1562.321.419.736.488.45329.0%14.5%31.5%97.0117.426.5%67.6%44.1%
Last 30 G30131.391.466.739.518.45828.2%12.2%27.4%98.0117.424.7%64.9%45.5%
90 days79352.295.386.544.411.39326.1%13.1%26.4%94.8117.416.0%54.7%38.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 212 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 23%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 6%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSplitter88.0108.0251.969Home run
Sep 24RHPFastball97.177.6-11.100Out
Sep 23LHPFastball95.696.652.016Out
Sep 23LHPSlider85.176.259.035Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball83.1100.924.835Home run
Sep 22RHPSlider87.099.7-15.197Single
Sep 22RHPFastball98.1105.714.740Out
Sep 20LHPCurveball77.988.2-12.167Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup84.976.1-3.084Single
Sep 20RHPFastball99.197.71.396Double play
Sep 19LHPChangeup81.973.132.429Out
Sep 18RHPChangeup88.3104.8-6.393Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24414102
Sep 23400002
Sep 22525120
Sep 20411001
Sep 19400021
Sep 18422020
Sep 17400003
Sep 16414110
Sep 15423010
Sep 14414102
FormNormal
Contact rating97Top tier
Last 100 pitches97steady
wOBA / xwOBA.410 / .395results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases8/12
Home run4/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.394
Barrel%9.2%
Hard-hit%32.3%
K%26.0%
BB%12.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Elly De La Cruz · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Elly De La Cruz · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Clay Holmes: 65.0% · 2 HSep 19 vs Matthew Boyd: 69.2% · no hitSep 20 vs David Peterson: 66.1% · 1 HSep 22 vs JR Ritchie: 64.5% · 2 HSep 23 vs Chris Sale: 66.6% · no hitSep 24 vs Tyler Mahle: 63.0% · 1 HSep 25 vs José Soriano: 62.4% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 6BTB expected 3.9
Games with 2+ TB3 of 6BTB expected 2.4
Games with a HR2 of 6BTB expected 0.9
Talent gradeAwOBA .394 · K% 26.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25José Soriano62.4%36.1%12.2%not settled
Sep 24Tyler Mahle63.0%32.9%14.2%4141
Sep 23Chris Sale66.6%37.2%13.6%4000
Sep 22JR Ritchie64.5%40.2%14.5%5251
Sep 20David Peterson66.1%44.3%13.8%4110
Sep 19Matthew Boyd69.2%47.2%15.8%4000
Sep 18Clay Holmes65.0%37.0%13.4%4220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.