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Ezequiel Tovar
COL · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handEzequiel Tovar · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 10 | .300 | .300 | .400 | .339 | .261 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 34.5% | 78.4 | 106.6 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Last 15 G | 12 | 22 | .381 | .381 | .571 | .442 | .343 | 27.3% | 0.0% | 27.5% | 78.8 | 107.3 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 53.3% |
| Last 30 G | 23 | 47 | .395 | .413 | .581 | .450 | .385 | 25.5% | 4.3% | 26.2% | 84.7 | 107.3 | 9.7% | 32.3% | 48.4% |
| 90 days | 55 | 120 | .257 | .286 | .376 | .301 | .294 | 18.3% | 5.0% | 22.3% | 83.6 | 107.3 | 4.4% | 30.0% | 33.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 90 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 22%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 17%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 7 | .143 | .143 | .571 | .286 | .198 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 80.5 | 101.5 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 16.7% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 26 | .167 | .231 | .292 | .235 | .238 | 30.8% | 7.7% | 29.3% | 82.5 | 106.7 | 6.2% | 25.0% | 37.5% |
| Last 30 G | 23 | 45 | .098 | .178 | .171 | .167 | .220 | 28.9% | 8.9% | 29.0% | 84.1 | 109.4 | 7.1% | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| 90 days | 48 | 88 | .179 | .253 | .333 | .261 | .266 | 26.1% | 9.1% | 28.3% | 84.5 | 109.4 | 8.8% | 31.6% | 35.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 57 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 19%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 18%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 17 | .235 | .235 | .471 | .316 | .233 | 29.4% | 0.0% | 27.9% | 79.5 | 106.6 | 18.2% | 36.4% | 27.3% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 48 | .267 | .298 | .422 | .325 | .284 | 29.2% | 4.2% | 28.4% | 80.7 | 107.3 | 9.7% | 22.6% | 45.2% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 92 | .250 | .297 | .381 | .307 | .302 | 27.2% | 6.5% | 27.6% | 84.4 | 109.4 | 8.5% | 30.5% | 39.0% |
| 90 days | 65 | 208 | .225 | .272 | .358 | .284 | .282 | 21.6% | 6.7% | 24.8% | 83.9 | 109.4 | 6.1% | 30.6% | 34.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 147 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 21%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 17%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | LHP | Changeup | 85.6 | 49.2 | -48 | .211 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Changeup | 86.7 | 73.3 | 53 | .102 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Fastball | 90.8 | 97.7 | 64 | .013 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Slider | 86.1 | 47.8 | -77 | .154 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Slider | 85.6 | 66.5 | 24 | .819 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Curveball | 90.9 | 67.1 | 71 | .000 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sinker | 97.9 | 101.5 | 25 | .972 | Home run |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Changeup | 83.5 | 72.5 | -18 | .054 | Out |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Fastball | 97.1 | 106.6 | -2 | .426 | Single |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Fastball | 97.1 | 103.9 | 21 | .954 | Double |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Changeup | 87.7 | 88.9 | 59 | .031 | Out |
| Sep 16 | LHP | Curveball | 82.2 | 72.2 | 60 | .008 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 12 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
FormNormal
Contact rating21Poor
Last 100 pitches51trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.276 / .285results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.294
Barrel%4.9%
Hard-hit%23.0%
K%22.3%
BB%6.1%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA20.282
Avg EV1283.9
Max EV47109.4
Barrel%466.1%
Hard-hit%1830.6%
Sweet-spot%4134.0%
K%5321.6%
BB%296.7%
Whiff%3224.8%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 2 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.7. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
5 settled gamesGames with a hit2 of 5BTB expected 2.7
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 1.5
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeFwOBA .294 · K% 22.3%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Sean Burke | 54.6% | 29.2% | 9.9% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 57.6% | 29.6% | 11.1% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | Merrill Kelly | 58.9% | 32.3% | 9.3% | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | Kade Anderson | 51.6% | 32.4% | 8.7% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Bryce Miller | 53.3% | 32.7% | 9.4% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Bryan Woo | 50.9% | 26.6% | 8.3% | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |