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Freddie Freeman

LAD · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Freddie Freeman · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.429.429.429.386.35528.6%0.0%29.4%91.6101.00.0%60.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1126.120.154.120.131.17534.6%3.8%33.3%87.0104.20.0%37.5%18.8%
Last 30 G2246.227.261.318.258.27128.3%4.3%27.7%89.3105.23.2%38.7%41.9%
90 days51113.274.319.358.317.33618.6%6.2%23.2%88.1105.52.4%38.1%38.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 84 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 25%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 2%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.200.200.200.180.34226.7%0.0%28.6%88.1104.118.2%45.5%45.5%
Last 15 G1540.250.300.250.255.34422.5%2.5%30.1%87.1104.110.7%35.7%46.4%
Last 30 G2987.292.379.347.330.37719.5%11.5%26.6%87.7107.36.9%34.5%50.0%
90 days65192.314.375.385.342.36118.2%8.9%23.0%87.8109.65.1%35.0%48.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 137 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 37%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.273.273.273.245.34627.3%0.0%28.9%89.2104.112.5%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1566.197.242.197.206.27827.3%3.0%31.4%87.1104.26.8%36.4%36.4%
Last 30 G30133.267.338.336.305.34022.6%9.0%26.9%88.2107.35.6%36.0%47.2%
90 days72305.298.354.375.333.35218.4%7.9%23.1%87.9109.64.1%36.2%44.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 221 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 33%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 5%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball80.178.5-17.060Out
Sep 24LHPSlider89.199.82.432Single
Sep 24LHPSlider86.099.113.902Single
Sep 23LHPSlider88.585.022.410Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup91.880.331.064Out
Sep 23RHPFastball102.2101.324.835Out
Sep 23LHPFastball92.2101.04.489Double play
Sep 22RHPSlider84.377.821.860Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper84.392.51.317Single
Sep 20LHPFastball90.173.19.252Single
Sep 20RHPSinker96.597.7-9.224Double play
Sep 20RHPCutter97.095.13.449Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24422001
Sep 23500001
Sep 22422002
Sep 20422001
Sep 19500001
Sep 18400002
Sep 17522010
Sep 16500003
Sep 15533000
Sep 13500001
FormNormal
Contact rating81Excellent
Last 100 pitches31trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.327 / .351running 24 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.343
Barrel%3.8%
Hard-hit%26.2%
K%19.0%
BB%8.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Freddie Freeman · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Freddie Freeman · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cesar Perdomo: 64.2% · no hitSep 19 vs Yunior Marte: 64.5% · no hitSep 22 vs Michael King: 63.9% · 2 HSep 23 vs Robbie Ray: 65.2% · no hitSep 24 vs Nick Pivetta: 63.6% · 2 HSep 25 vs Yunior Marte: 70.0% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 5BTB expected 3.2
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 2.0
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeCwOBA .343 · K% 19.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Yunior Marte70.0%42.7%11.8%not settled
Sep 24Nick Pivetta63.6%36.5%12.9%4220
Sep 23Robbie Ray65.2%36.0%9.2%5000
Sep 22Michael King63.9%41.3%12.3%4220
Sep 19Yunior Marte64.5%43.5%11.9%5000
Sep 18Cesar Perdomo64.2%38.2%10.3%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.