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Robert Gasser

MIL · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 6:40 PM CT
Robert GasserLHP · MIL vs STL
4.5projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 22.1 batters over 5.2 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 35.1%35%≤34 strikeouts: 19.0%19%45 strikeouts: 16.9%17%56 strikeouts: 12.5%12%67 strikeouts: 8.1%8%78 strikeouts: 4.5%5%89+ strikeouts: 3.9%4%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%20.2%
BB%6.7%
Whiff%9.1%
Velo88.6
BTB Stuff94
Location98
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Sweeper24%10180.712.7%
Fastball24%9993.110.7%
Cutter20%8088.87.1%
Sinker20%9593.13.4%
Changeup11%8888.512.5%
Slider1%9883.90.0%
Last 3 startsStable
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 191078%8%27%.238
Sep 138925%11%25%.222
Sep 78325%12%10%.312

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameSTL @ MIL →American Family Field

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves
PitchFamilyUsageVeloHorizontal breakInduced vertical break
SweeperBreaking24%80.7-15.2″+4.3″
FastballHard24%93.2+7.3″+14.4″
CutterHard20%88.9-2.5″+6.7″
SinkerHard20%93.1+15.7″+6.7″
ChangeupOffspeed11%88.7+17.5″+0.5″
Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.

The lineup he faces

Robert Gasser MIL · LHPvsSTL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters
Robert Gasser MIL · LHPwith two strikes
Robert Gasser with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Sweeper24%36%28.0%20.3%20.5%
Fastball24%30%15.2%15.5%18.6%
Sinker20%16%0.0%15.9%17.7%
Changeup11%9%21.7%17.1%18.3%
Cutter20%7%0.0%3.7%17.9%
Slider1%1%0.0%0.0%21.6%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts2BTB expected 5.5 over 1 starts
BTB's side at the line1 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

DateOpponentProjected KBook lineBTB overBook overStrikeouts
Sep 25STL4.54.546.1%56.2%not settled
Sep 19BAL5.55.546.5%48.1%2
Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.