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Garrett Mitchell

MIL · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Garrett Mitchell · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.000.250.000.175.31425.0%25.0%28.6%79.895.80.0%50.0%0.0%
Last 15 G817.154.312.154.256.31435.3%11.8%25.0%85.4111.00.0%50.0%12.5%
Last 30 G1734.207.303.310.288.35726.5%8.8%26.9%92.7111.04.8%57.1%14.3%
90 days3765.278.391.426.368.39324.6%12.3%26.8%91.6111.07.7%56.4%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 39 balls in play
Ground 67%Line drive 23%Fly ball 8%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.176.222.176.200.24150.0%5.6%40.6%87.1109.40.0%42.9%28.6%
Last 15 G1343.325.372.600.448.42732.6%7.0%32.9%94.9110.516.0%56.0%40.0%
Last 30 G2473.353.397.559.445.38832.9%5.5%32.6%94.6112.39.3%58.1%37.2%
90 days63205.272.346.418.353.36430.7%9.3%32.2%93.9112.310.2%55.9%34.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 118 balls in play
Ground 61%Line drive 25%Fly ball 9%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.150.227.150.195.25545.5%9.1%38.5%85.5109.40.0%44.4%22.2%
Last 15 G1560.283.356.491.394.39533.3%8.3%30.7%92.6111.012.1%54.5%33.3%
Last 30 G30107.309.368.485.395.37830.8%6.5%30.9%94.0112.37.8%57.8%29.7%
90 days72270.273.357.420.356.37129.3%10.0%31.1%93.3112.39.6%56.1%34.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 157 balls in play
Ground 62%Line drive 25%Fly ball 9%Pop-up 4%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPChangeup89.387.314.864Single
Sep 23RHPCurveball79.0101.82.515Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup84.167.1-46.263Force out
Sep 23LHPSlider86.563.7-66.272Out
Sep 22RHPFastball92.899.221.409Out
Sep 22RHPFastball95.858.035.252Single
Sep 20RHPFastball92.9109.46.648Single
Sep 20RHPSlider84.687.04.441Force out
Sep 19LHPFastball95.395.833.285Out
Sep 18LHPSlider88.776.3-24.042Out
Sep 18LHPSinker97.093.9-8.264Force out
Sep 18LHPSinker95.238.0-23–Sac bunt
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24511004
Sep 23400001
Sep 22411002
Sep 20511011
Sep 19400012
Sep 18500002
Sep 17212001
Sep 15512011
Sep 13200011
Sep 12548100
FormCold
Contact rating92Top tier
Last 100 pitches2trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.353 / .370running 17 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.332
Barrel%5.3%
Hard-hit%31.3%
K%29.0%
BB%9.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Garrett Mitchell · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Garrett Mitchell · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cade Povich: 45.9% · no hitSep 19 vs Trevor Rogers: 47.2% · no hitSep 20 vs Brandon Young: 44.4% · 1 HSep 22 vs Zack Wheeler: 46.2% · 1 HSep 23 vs Aaron Nola: 57.5% · no hitSep 24 vs Andrew Painter: 52.7% · 1 HSep 25 vs Michael McGreevy: 58.4% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 6BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB0 of 6BTB expected 1.9
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeBwOBA .332 · K% 29.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Michael McGreevy58.4%34.4%11.0%not settled
Sep 24Andrew Painter52.7%28.7%12.3%5110
Sep 23Aaron Nola57.5%37.3%15.0%4000
Sep 22Zack Wheeler46.2%32.0%12.2%4110
Sep 20Brandon Young44.4%32.4%11.7%4110
Sep 19Trevor Rogers47.2%32.6%9.1%4000
Sep 18Cade Povich45.9%28.0%9.7%5000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.