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Jakob Marsee

MIA · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Jakob Marsee · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.182.308.182.246.23123.1%15.4%24.0%79.194.70.0%0.0%12.5%
Last 15 G1542.378.452.649.469.34314.3%11.9%14.9%83.9103.93.2%32.3%45.2%
Last 30 G3083.348.458.609.467.37714.5%15.7%13.7%87.0108.75.3%36.8%50.9%
90 days69209.271.368.453.369.32314.8%12.4%12.5%86.5108.74.1%33.8%39.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 148 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 28%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.500.571.500.486.44828.6%14.3%6.2%93.199.70.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1121.412.500.412.430.37228.6%4.8%13.2%78.399.70.0%16.7%33.3%
Last 30 G1939.290.421.387.375.33528.2%7.7%17.6%82.9100.10.0%28.6%42.9%
90 days3969.250.409.308.351.34526.1%13.0%19.3%82.5104.10.0%36.1%38.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 36 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 33%Fly ball 11%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.294.400.294.330.30725.0%15.0%17.1%83.899.70.0%8.3%25.0%
Last 15 G1563.389.468.574.456.35319.0%9.5%14.3%82.3103.92.3%27.9%41.9%
Last 30 G30122.330.446.540.438.36418.9%13.1%15.1%85.9108.73.8%34.6%48.7%
90 days71278.266.378.421.365.32817.6%12.6%14.3%85.8108.73.3%34.2%39.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 184 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 29%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 13%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball94.385.218.855Single
Sep 24RHPFastball100.475.047.144Out
Sep 24LHPFastball93.794.4-1.316Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup85.578.160.008Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball79.592.340.019Out
Sep 22LHPSlider85.793.212.836Single
Sep 20RHPCutter88.160.678.003Out
Sep 20RHPFastball99.890.082.003Out
Sep 19RHPFastball95.994.711.802Single
Sep 19RHPSplitter85.771.237.572Single
Sep 19RHPSlider88.470.8-19.050Out
Sep 19LHPSlider85.499.72.432Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411010
Sep 23400003
Sep 22311001
Sep 20400011
Sep 19533010
Sep 18411011
Sep 16426110
Sep 15400002
Sep 14438100
Sep 13411000
FormNormal
Contact rating67Above average
Last 100 pitches37trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.358 / .333running 25 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Jakob Marsee · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Jakob Marsee · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Nick Pivetta: 57.9% · 1 HSep 19 vs Casey Mize: 57.8% · 3 HSep 23 vs Kevin Gausman: 63.3% · no hitSep 24 vs Matthew Boyd: 61.0% · 1 HSep 25 vs Ray Kerr: 62.3% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 4BTB expected 2.4
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.2
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.3
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Ray Kerr62.3%33.4%6.6%not settled
Sep 24Matthew Boyd61.0%29.5%8.1%4110
Sep 23Kevin Gausman63.3%32.9%9.6%4000
Sep 19Casey Mize57.8%31.4%8.3%5330
Sep 18Nick Pivetta57.9%30.3%8.8%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.