MLBengine v14
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Jazz Chisholm Jr.

NYY · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 22, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

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Sep 25 · 3:10 PM CTvs Brandon Young RHPBAL @ NYY1+ hit 59.1%2+ TB 36.8%HR 17.0%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.312.389.312.328.27516.7%11.1%25.0%82.2104.80.0%38.5%30.8%
Last 15 G1544.389.477.472.433.34118.2%15.9%27.3%84.5104.80.0%50.0%32.1%
Last 30 G3093.300.387.412.361.31124.7%12.9%26.6%87.5104.83.5%47.4%36.8%
90 days57162.252.333.392.325.31029.0%11.1%24.8%89.6112.47.3%52.1%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 96 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 22%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11–1.000–.700.6980.0%100.0%0.0%–––––
Last 15 G915.308.400.615.430.32426.7%13.3%25.9%91.3103.211.1%44.4%44.4%
Last 30 G1319.267.421.533.413.34221.1%21.1%27.3%89.4103.29.1%36.4%45.5%
90 days3251.217.275.413.295.24439.2%7.8%29.8%86.0106.47.4%33.3%37.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 27 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 26%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.312.421.312.347.29715.8%15.8%24.4%82.2104.80.0%38.5%30.8%
Last 15 G1559.367.458.510.432.33620.3%15.3%27.0%86.2104.82.7%48.6%35.1%
Last 30 G30112.295.393.432.370.31624.1%14.3%26.7%87.8104.84.4%45.6%38.2%
90 days57213.243.319.397.318.29431.5%10.3%26.1%88.8112.47.3%48.0%34.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 123 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPOffspeed64.797.20.397Single
Sep 23RHPFastball91.4104.848.107Out
Sep 22RHPFastball96.173.0-35.072Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup84.270.448.165Single
Sep 8RHPFastball93.333.942.215Out
Sep 8RHPFastball93.871.023.895Single
Sep 8RHPFastball96.786.851.003Out
Sep 8RHPFastball94.8100.621.492Single
Sep 6RHPFastball94.580.429.162Out
Sep 6RHPChangeup86.898.24.460Double play
Sep 6RHPSinker94.897.617.494Single
Sep 4RHPFastball95.290.839.028Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411011
Sep 22411011
Sep 8422000
Sep 6311000
Sep 4400011
Sep 2400011
Sep 1536102
Aug 31311001
Aug 30522020
Aug 29400001
FormNormal
Contact rating41Below average
Last 100 pitches64trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.319 / .308results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.334
Barrel%5.7%
Hard-hit%27.3%
K%30.6%
BB%10.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 22 vs Drew Rasmussen: 51.7% · 1 HSep 23 vs Mason Englert: 58.9% · 1 HSep 22Sep 23

Hits in 2 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.1. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 2BTB expected 1.1
Games with 2+ TB0 of 2BTB expected 0.7
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .334 · K% 30.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 23Mason Englert58.9%35.4%17.1%4110
Sep 22Drew Rasmussen51.7%31.6%13.0%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.