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John Rave

KC · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
John Rave · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.286.333.357.310.37633.3%6.7%26.1%81.9105.322.2%55.6%44.4%
Last 15 G1339.294.385.559.414.38823.1%12.8%20.9%85.6105.38.3%41.7%41.7%
Last 30 G2876.224.316.403.334.33221.1%11.8%19.7%87.9105.36.0%42.0%34.0%
90 days38101.233.317.422.336.33919.8%10.9%18.9%87.0105.37.2%39.1%37.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 69 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 22%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G44.250.250.250.225.01250.0%0.0%42.9%71.287.00.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1013.083.154.083.123.13453.8%7.7%36.0%68.897.80.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 30 G1929.192.250.346.302.22141.4%6.9%25.0%73.4106.56.7%26.7%33.3%
90 days2336.188.235.312.289.20833.3%5.6%22.6%71.3106.54.8%19.0%23.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 21 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 10%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.278.316.333.292.30036.8%5.3%30.0%79.9105.318.2%45.5%36.4%
Last 15 G1552.239.327.435.340.32330.8%11.5%25.0%82.7105.36.9%37.9%37.9%
Last 30 G30105.215.298.387.325.30226.7%10.5%21.3%84.6106.56.2%38.5%33.8%
90 days41137.221.296.393.325.30723.4%9.5%19.9%83.3106.56.7%34.4%34.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 90 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 19%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSweeper86.188.314.903Single
Sep 24RHPChangeup79.766.7-28.052Out
Sep 24RHPFastball97.2103.8231.245Double
Sep 23RHPSinker95.197.7-13.192Double play
Sep 23RHPFastball98.343.237.141Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper82.6100.231.864Out
Sep 20RHPFastball93.135.1-48.282Single
Sep 20RHPCutter92.8105.3-3.430Out
Sep 19RHPChangeup89.096.611.838Single
Sep 19LHPFastball89.387.038.014Out
Sep 18LHPFastball90.755.548.036Single
Sep 17RHPFastball93.4105.210.869Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24423001
Sep 23400001
Sep 20411002
Sep 19411002
Sep 18311011
Sep 17312001
Sep 16414101
Sep 15300011
Sep 13100010
Sep 12300001
FormHot
Contact rating47Average
Last 100 pitches33trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.313 / .313results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.302
Barrel%4.0%
Hard-hit%24.0%
K%24.0%
BB%9.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

John Rave · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

John Rave · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Paul Skenes: 47.8% · 1 HSep 19 vs Bubba Chandler: 50.1% · 1 HSep 20 vs Lake Bachar: 50.8% · 1 HSep 23 vs Bryan Hudson: 59.2% · no hitSep 24 vs David Sandlin: 56.5% · 2 HSep 25 vs Gavin Williams: 52.2% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.6. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 2.6
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.3
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeFwOBA .302 · K% 24.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Gavin Williams52.2%26.0%8.0%not settled
Sep 24David Sandlin56.5%25.6%8.1%4230
Sep 23Bryan Hudson59.2%29.4%7.4%4000
Sep 20Lake Bachar50.8%30.1%8.3%4110
Sep 19Bubba Chandler50.1%27.4%8.5%4110
Sep 18Paul Skenes47.8%22.2%7.7%3110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.