Tanner Bibee

CLE · Starting pitcher · 1 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 26 · 6:10 PM CT

Tanner BibeeRHP · CLE vs KC

3.7projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 6 · 24.3 batters over 5.7 innings

Over 3.5: 51% (red bars) · under: 49%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%16.5%

BB%6.8%

Whiff%8.7%

Velo87.0

BTB Stuff96

Location101

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball25%7693.96.0%

Cutter23%12185.212.4%

Sinker19%9492.74.3%

Changeup14%10580.616.7%

Curveball12%7878.25.5%

Sweeper8%9881.97.4%

Last 3 startsTrending Down

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 19	95	8%	7%	40%	.518
Sep 13	96	27%	16%	31%	.248
Sep 8	62	5%	2%	30%	.412

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameCLE @ KC →Kauffman Stadium

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	25%	93.9	+4.2″	+14.8″
Cutter	Hard	23%	85.1	-7.0″	+0.1″
Sinker	Hard	19%	92.7	+14.5″	+7.9″
Changeup	Offspeed	14%	80.6	+11.5″	+11.5″
Curveball	Breaking	12%	78.1	-13.8″	-8.2″
Sweeper	Breaking	8%	82.0	-16.6″	-1.7″

The lineup he faces

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Carter Jensen26%

2Bobby Witt Jr.17%

3Vinnie Pasquantino13%

4Salvador Perez19%

5Michael Massey16%

6Nick Loftin20%

7John Rave20%

8Kyle Isbel24%

9Isaac Collins24%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball-0 pts

Cutter-2 pts

Changeup+6 pts

Sinker-3 pts

Sweeper+3 pts

Curveball-4 pts

Tanner Bibee with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	25%	24%	11.5%	11.3%	18.0%
Cutter	23%	21%	25.5%	23.5%	17.9%
Changeup	14%	20%	20.9%	17.7%	18.6%
Sinker	19%	16%	3.1%	14.5%	16.9%
Sweeper	8%	11%	8.0%	6.8%	19.3%
Curveball	12%	8%	10.5%	12.5%	20.1%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts2BTB expected 4.6 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line1 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 19	OAK	4.6	4.5	48.3%	52.4%	2