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Jordan Lawlar

ARI · Hitter · 3 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Jordan Lawlar · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G410.300.300.600.375.18350.0%0.0%30.8%80.4103.90.0%40.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1329.222.276.444.309.25437.9%0.0%30.4%87.9105.56.2%43.8%50.0%
Last 30 G2146.186.239.326.249.24237.0%0.0%27.7%88.1105.53.8%30.8%42.3%
90 days2146.186.239.326.249.24237.0%0.0%27.7%88.1105.53.8%30.8%42.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 26 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 15%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G56.000.000.000.000.21333.3%0.0%27.3%80.7101.60.0%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1118.176.222.294.228.36533.3%5.6%32.3%85.4104.618.2%45.5%54.5%
Last 30 G2139.278.316.583.384.37128.2%5.1%22.4%82.8104.615.4%34.6%46.2%
90 days2139.278.316.583.384.37128.2%5.1%22.4%82.8104.615.4%34.6%46.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 26 balls in play
Ground 27%Line drive 31%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.188.188.375.234.19443.8%0.0%29.7%80.5103.90.0%44.4%44.4%
Last 15 G1547.205.255.386.278.29736.2%2.1%31.0%86.9105.511.1%44.4%51.9%
Last 30 G2785.228.274.443.310.30032.9%2.4%25.3%85.5105.59.6%32.7%44.2%
90 days2785.228.274.443.310.30032.9%2.4%25.3%85.5105.59.6%32.7%44.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 23%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 10%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPSlider85.9101.617.459Out
Sep 22LHPFastball89.998.4-1.437Out
Sep 22RHPFastball93.197.832.529Out
Sep 22RHPCutter90.689.91.303Double
Sep 20LHPSinker88.793.3-26.102Out
Sep 19RHPFastball99.3103.916.591Triple
Sep 19RHPSinker99.155.927.219Out
Sep 19LHPFastball92.729.333.280Out
Sep 15RHPSinker94.454.735.186Single
Sep 14RHPSinker98.5105.5-23.161Single
Sep 14RHPSlider89.6104.0271.646Home run
Sep 14RHPSweeper86.780.244.013Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23100000
Sep 22412001
Sep 20200001
Sep 19413001
Sep 15511004
Sep 14425101
Sep 13412010
Sep 12200001
Sep 11412000
Sep 9422000
FormHot
Contact rating38Below average
Last 100 pitches70trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.306 / .304results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.290
Barrel%4.5%
Hard-hit%22.0%
K%29.7%
BB%6.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Jordan Lawlar · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Jordan Lawlar · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Cam Schlittler: 39.9% · 1 HSep 22 vs Kyle Freeland: 54.1% · 1 HSep 25 vs Casey Mize: 54.4% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 0.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 2BTB expected 0.9
Games with 2+ TB2 of 2BTB expected 0.6
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .290 · K% 29.7%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Casey Mize54.4%29.1%9.8%not settled
Sep 22Kyle Freeland54.1%35.9%13.4%4120
Sep 19Cam Schlittler39.9%21.6%7.9%4130
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.