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Lars Nootbaar
ARI · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handLars Nootbaar · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 18 | .278 | .278 | .333 | .269 | .214 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 28.1% | 89.9 | 106.8 | 0.0% | 41.7% | 25.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 45 | .300 | .356 | .400 | .335 | .291 | 28.9% | 8.9% | 19.2% | 92.1 | 109.1 | 3.6% | 50.0% | 42.9% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 92 | .293 | .359 | .500 | .371 | .366 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 93.3 | 110.5 | 9.2% | 53.8% | 44.6% |
| 90 days | 67 | 212 | .249 | .340 | .384 | .328 | .333 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 92.1 | 110.5 | 6.2% | 50.3% | 35.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 145 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 19%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 8%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 1 | 1 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .468 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 92.5 | 92.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Last 15 G | 4 | 6 | .000 | .200 | .000 | .180 | .497 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 81.4 | 101.8 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Last 30 G | 7 | 11 | .125 | .300 | .125 | .250 | .464 | 27.3% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 85.8 | 101.8 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 16.7% |
| 90 days | 18 | 34 | .071 | .212 | .071 | .167 | .283 | 26.5% | 14.7% | 24.5% | 84.5 | 106.5 | 10.0% | 30.0% | 25.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 20 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 10%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 5%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 19 | .263 | .263 | .316 | .255 | .228 | 31.6% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 90.1 | 106.8 | 0.0% | 38.5% | 23.1% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 51 | .273 | .340 | .364 | .319 | .312 | 27.5% | 9.8% | 18.0% | 90.8 | 109.1 | 6.2% | 46.9% | 37.5% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 103 | .278 | .353 | .467 | .359 | .376 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 92.7 | 110.5 | 11.3% | 52.1% | 42.3% |
| 90 days | 69 | 246 | .225 | .322 | .343 | .306 | .326 | 20.3% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 91.2 | 110.5 | 6.7% | 47.9% | 34.5% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 165 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 18%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 8%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 92.7 | 73.5 | 16 | .660 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Changeup | 85.4 | 79.4 | 3 | .225 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 91.4 | 106.8 | 13 | .863 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 92.4 | 81.6 | -11 | .086 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 91.1 | 93.4 | -33 | .063 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 93.1 | 99.1 | 4 | .457 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Curveball | 81.9 | 81.3 | -19 | .056 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 93.6 | 99.6 | 23 | .683 | Double |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 94.1 | 105.6 | 6 | .553 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Cutter | 94.8 | 70.7 | 71 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Cutter | 95.9 | 89.9 | -37 | .047 | Out |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Sinker | 86.8 | 92.5 | 5 | .468 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 20 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sep 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FormNormal
Contact rating65Above average
Last 100 pitches1trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.301 / .331running 30 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.306
Barrel%5.1%
Hard-hit%32.1%
K%20.4%
BB%11.9%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA63.326
Avg EV8691.2
Max EV63110.5
Barrel%516.7%
Hard-hit%8847.9%
Sweet-spot%4634.5%
K%6020.3%
BB%8912.6%
Whiff%7817.4%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 1 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
4 settled gamesGames with a hit1 of 4BTB expected 2.2
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeBwOBA .306 · K% 20.4%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Casey Mize | 62.0% | 38.8% | 13.8% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Tanner Gordon | 58.3% | 36.2% | 14.7% | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | Mason Adams | 58.7% | 37.4% | 12.6% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Cam Schlittler | 47.1% | 32.4% | 9.9% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Gerrit Cole | 52.7% | 34.2% | 10.7% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |