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Josh Lowe

LAA · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 17, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Josh Lowe · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11.000.000.000.000.000100.0%0.0%0.0%–––––
Last 15 G33.333.333.667.417.26366.7%0.0%40.0%99.299.2100.0%100.0%100.0%
Last 30 G1120.167.200.222.188.20540.0%5.0%30.6%86.0103.29.1%36.4%36.4%
90 days1934.194.235.226.210.21535.3%5.9%29.7%82.9103.25.0%35.0%35.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 20 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 15%Fly ball 40%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.231.286.385.293.32828.6%0.0%30.8%90.7103.211.1%33.3%55.6%
Last 15 G1541.216.293.459.323.30739.0%4.9%38.7%86.9105.414.3%38.1%47.6%
Last 30 G2773.250.342.453.348.29031.5%9.6%31.8%85.4105.47.3%29.3%46.3%
90 days59160.229.321.436.338.33028.8%10.6%31.7%88.4109.610.5%38.9%37.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 95 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 22%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.214.267.357.273.30633.3%0.0%29.3%90.7103.211.1%33.3%55.6%
Last 15 G1544.225.295.475.330.30440.9%4.5%38.8%87.5105.418.2%40.9%50.0%
Last 30 G3093.232.312.402.313.27233.3%8.6%31.5%85.5105.47.7%30.8%44.2%
90 days63194.222.306.398.315.30929.9%9.8%31.4%87.4109.69.6%38.3%37.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 115 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 21%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 10%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball81.480.724.416Double
Sep 24RHPFastball96.491.717.678Single
Sep 24RHPCutter87.697.865.017Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball82.387.848.008Out
Sep 20RHPFastball90.798.933.536Out
Sep 20RHPSinker93.1103.222.927Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper76.388.711.592Out
Sep 19RHPFastball97.390.518.586Double
Sep 19RHPCutter90.577.2-4.105Out
Sep 17RHPSplitter91.357.2-61.235Out
Sep 17LHPCutter87.399.226.788Double
Sep 16RHPSinker95.992.623.220Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24423000
Sep 23200001
Sep 22100001
Sep 20300000
Sep 19512003
Sep 18100001
Sep 17412002
Sep 16311001
Sep 15325101
Sep 14100000
FormNormal
Contact rating55Average
Last 100 pitches50steady
wOBA / xwOBA.315 / .323results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.306
Barrel%4.8%
Hard-hit%23.5%
K%29.1%
BB%9.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Josh Lowe · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Josh Lowe · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 17 vs Taj Bradley: 40.3% · 1 HSep 19 vs Joe Ryan: 42.4% · 1 HSep 24 vs Bryan Woo: 50.8% · 2 HSep 25 vs Bryce Miller: 54.7% · not settledSep 17Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 3BTB expected 1.3
Games with 2+ TB3 of 3BTB expected 0.9
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeFwOBA .306 · K% 29.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Bryce Miller54.7%32.2%12.2%not settled
Sep 24Bryan Woo50.8%28.4%13.8%4230
Sep 19Joe Ryan42.4%31.1%12.3%5120
Sep 17Taj Bradley40.3%26.3%11.1%4120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.