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Juan Soto

NYM · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Juan Soto · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.333.467.583.492.4546.7%20.0%20.0%94.3107.818.2%54.5%9.1%
Last 15 G1428.280.357.520.388.38817.9%10.7%20.8%94.4107.815.0%55.0%20.0%
Last 30 G2343.225.279.375.288.29723.3%7.0%22.2%91.7110.010.0%46.7%20.0%
90 days3469.230.319.361.320.34317.4%11.6%22.0%90.5110.08.2%40.8%30.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 49 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 25%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.143.250.143.186.19337.5%12.5%50.0%80.994.50.0%0.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1443.250.372.500.382.41916.3%16.3%19.4%92.7109.413.8%41.4%41.4%
Last 30 G2890.239.400.451.382.41512.2%21.1%21.2%93.0111.811.7%46.7%35.0%
90 days42130.255.431.541.424.45313.1%23.8%18.4%92.2111.815.9%47.6%36.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 82 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 18%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.263.391.421.379.35817.4%17.4%30.0%90.7107.813.3%40.0%13.3%
Last 15 G1571.262.366.508.384.40716.9%14.1%20.0%93.4109.414.3%46.9%32.7%
Last 30 G30133.234.361.423.352.37815.8%16.5%21.6%92.5111.811.1%46.7%30.0%
90 days45199.245.392.472.388.41514.6%19.6%19.8%91.5111.813.0%45.0%34.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 131 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 21%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 15%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSlider82.572.079.000Out
Sep 24LHPSlider84.773.085.003Out
Sep 24LHPSinker91.490.1-37.042Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup81.1106.2351.437Home run
Sep 23LHPSinker88.978.9-11.059Out
Sep 22LHPSlider86.8105.24.529Single
Sep 22LHPSlider87.878.9-3.099Single
Sep 22RHPChangeup88.894.5-14.161Out
Sep 22LHPFastball94.5100.524.835Out
Sep 22LHPChangeup87.392.433.101Out
Sep 20LHPSinker95.5107.4-9.299Out
Sep 20LHPSinker96.1107.87.673Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400010
Sep 23514130
Sep 22522000
Sep 20411001
Sep 19511003
Sep 18537100
Sep 17400020
Sep 16400000
Sep 15622011
Sep 14411011
FormNormal
Contact rating99Elite
Last 100 pitches99steady
wOBA / xwOBA.372 / .406running 34 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.389
Barrel%8.9%
Hard-hit%30.2%
K%16.0%
BB%18.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Juan Soto · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Juan Soto · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tim Mayza: 53.0% · 3 HSep 19 vs Andrew Painter: 55.3% · 1 HSep 20 vs Cristopher Sánchez: 53.2% · 1 HSep 23 vs Cody Bradford: 64.2% · 1 HSep 24 vs Kumar Rocker: 59.3% · no hitSep 25 vs Andrew Alvarez: 60.8% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 2.8
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 2.0
Games with a HR2 of 5BTB expected 0.8
Talent gradeAwOBA .389 · K% 16.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Andrew Alvarez60.8%37.2%14.1%not settled
Sep 24Kumar Rocker59.3%35.1%20.1%4000
Sep 23Cody Bradford64.2%41.2%17.0%5141
Sep 20Cristopher Sánchez53.2%38.1%12.9%4110
Sep 19Andrew Painter55.3%44.6%17.8%5110
Sep 18Tim Mayza53.0%37.9%15.1%5371
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.