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Mauricio Dubón

ATL · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Mauricio Dubón · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.333.385.333.375.36521.4%7.1%12.0%77.6105.60.0%11.1%55.6%
Last 15 G1548.366.426.463.404.38412.5%6.2%13.4%87.9105.65.6%38.9%44.4%
Last 30 G2991.329.378.427.366.33411.0%5.5%14.4%85.1105.64.2%27.8%40.3%
90 days72217.289.341.371.330.31510.1%6.5%14.5%85.4105.92.3%28.4%36.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 176 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 22%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.375.375.500.381.04412.5%0.0%6.7%77.293.10.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1017.375.412.438.379.2025.9%5.9%10.0%80.499.40.0%6.7%20.0%
Last 30 G1933.312.333.375.315.2053.0%3.0%8.3%81.6100.60.0%16.1%19.4%
90 days4588.277.287.373.312.2436.8%2.3%10.4%86.6105.60.0%30.0%33.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 80 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 16%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.350.381.400.378.23718.2%4.5%10.0%77.4105.60.0%6.2%31.2%
Last 15 G1565.368.422.456.398.33510.8%6.2%12.6%85.7105.63.9%29.4%37.3%
Last 30 G30124.325.366.412.352.2998.9%4.8%12.6%84.1105.62.9%24.3%34.0%
90 days75305.286.326.371.324.2949.2%5.2%13.3%85.8105.91.6%28.9%35.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 256 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 20%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker89.693.735.080Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper86.485.241.025Out
Sep 24RHPSinker90.2105.610.867Single
Sep 24RHPSweeper86.071.513.278Single
Sep 24RHPFastball96.128.5-3–Sac bunt
Sep 23LHPSweeper81.952.070.003Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup86.169.2-9.047Single
Sep 23LHPFastball92.392.944.013Out
Sep 22LHPCutter88.493.1-11.162Double play
Sep 22LHPChangeup86.471.5-3.061Single
Sep 22RHPCutter86.662.49.140Out
Sep 20LHPSweeper82.181.0-24.058Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24522000
Sep 23522010
Sep 22411001
Sep 20412002
Sep 19411001
Sep 18523001
Sep 16425000
Sep 15411010
Sep 14422010
Sep 13533011
FormNormal
Contact rating34Below average
Last 100 pitches38steady
wOBA / xwOBA.319 / .301running 18 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit12/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Mauricio Dubón · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Mauricio Dubón · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Peter Lambert: 63.5% · 2 HSep 19 vs Hayden Wesneski: 65.3% · 1 HSep 20 vs Hunter Brown: 63.8% · 1 HSep 22 vs Brandon Williamson: 65.2% · 1 HSep 23 vs Andrew Abbott: 69.5% · 2 HSep 24 vs Brady Singer: 64.4% · 2 HSep 25 vs Eury Pérez: 67.3% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 6 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit6 of 6BTB expected 3.9
Games with 2+ TB4 of 6BTB expected 2.0
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.3
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Eury Pérez67.3%34.7%4.0%not settled
Sep 24Brady Singer64.4%30.3%5.9%5220
Sep 23Andrew Abbott69.5%36.9%5.3%5220
Sep 22Brandon Williamson65.2%33.6%5.2%4110
Sep 20Hunter Brown63.8%34.6%4.6%4120
Sep 19Hayden Wesneski65.3%35.6%5.0%4110
Sep 18Peter Lambert63.5%29.8%4.5%5230
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.