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Michael Conforto

CHC · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Michael Conforto · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.278.316.500.350.42815.8%5.3%22.2%93.0109.726.7%60.0%53.3%
Last 15 G1552.273.365.477.381.38415.4%9.6%20.4%89.1109.714.3%42.9%51.4%
Last 30 G3092.269.370.551.411.38317.4%10.9%22.7%87.9110.911.5%41.0%47.5%
90 days59176.240.335.460.366.32322.7%10.8%22.4%88.5110.99.1%37.3%41.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 110 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 24%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 GNo plate appearances
Last 15 G11.000.000.000.000.000100.0%0.0%50.0%–––––
Last 30 G22.000.000.000.000.09350.0%0.0%20.0%93.593.50.0%0.0%0.0%
90 days45.400.4001.600.800.62940.0%0.0%40.0%101.1106.466.7%66.7%66.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 3 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 33%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.278.316.500.350.42815.8%5.3%22.2%93.0109.726.7%60.0%53.3%
Last 15 G1553.267.358.467.373.37617.0%9.4%21.1%89.1109.714.3%42.9%51.4%
Last 30 G3094.262.362.537.402.37618.1%10.6%22.7%88.0110.911.3%40.3%46.8%
90 days59181.245.337.497.379.33223.2%10.5%22.9%88.8110.910.6%38.1%42.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 113 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 24%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball98.477.0-32.031Out
Sep 24RHPSinker95.2104.2-17.189Out
Sep 24RHPFastball95.381.8-18.049Out
Sep 23RHPFastball94.297.712.920Double
Sep 23RHPFastball93.798.822.483Out
Sep 23RHPCutter94.671.8-11.050Out
Sep 22RHPFastball94.775.387.003Out
Sep 22RHPFastball94.5109.717.906Out
Sep 20RHPSinker93.7102.2261.262Out
Sep 20RHPCutter97.295.0-37.053Force out
Sep 20RHPChangeup87.3103.0251.331Home run
Sep 18RHPChangeup82.399.54.457Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400010
Sep 23412001
Sep 22200000
Sep 20514102
Sep 18433000
Sep 16411012
Sep 15100000
Sep 14412001
Sep 13300010
Sep 12400002
FormNormal
Contact rating78Above average
Last 100 pitches94trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.372 / .345running 27 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.337
Barrel%6.3%
Hard-hit%24.7%
K%23.5%
BB%10.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Michael Conforto · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Michael Conforto · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Chase Burns: 43.9% · 3 HSep 20 vs Rhett Lowder: 50.0% · 1 HSep 22 vs Janson Junk: 52.3% · no hitSep 23 vs Ryan Gusto: 57.7% · 1 HSep 24 vs Tyler Phillips: 55.1% · no hitSep 25 vs Brayan Bello: 56.3% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.6. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 2.6
Games with 2+ TB3 of 5BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeCwOBA .337 · K% 23.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brayan Bello56.3%32.6%10.2%not settled
Sep 24Tyler Phillips55.1%31.5%14.6%4000
Sep 23Ryan Gusto57.7%37.6%15.7%4120
Sep 22Janson Junk52.3%37.5%13.8%2000
Sep 20Rhett Lowder50.0%39.0%13.5%5141
Sep 18Chase Burns43.9%27.9%11.9%4330
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.