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Nico Hoerner
CHC · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handNico Hoerner · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 19 | .267 | .421 | .267 | .337 | .373 | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 87.9 | 98.3 | 0.0% | 30.8% | 38.5% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 53 | .265 | .321 | .286 | .280 | .330 | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 85.4 | 102.2 | 2.2% | 28.3% | 39.1% |
| Last 30 G | 29 | 95 | .318 | .347 | .341 | .309 | .339 | 8.4% | 2.1% | 8.8% | 86.3 | 103.6 | 2.4% | 34.1% | 37.8% |
| 90 days | 75 | 243 | .320 | .350 | .395 | .343 | .350 | 9.1% | 2.9% | 10.3% | 86.6 | 108.9 | 1.9% | 31.7% | 40.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 208 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 26%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 1 | 3 | .333 | .333 | .667 | .417 | .483 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 98.3 | 104.8 | 0.0% | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Last 15 G | 6 | 11 | .100 | .182 | .200 | .177 | .255 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 86.9 | 104.8 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.4% |
| Last 30 G | 14 | 30 | .107 | .167 | .250 | .245 | .241 | 10.0% | 3.3% | 13.6% | 83.7 | 104.8 | 4.0% | 32.0% | 36.0% |
| 90 days | 36 | 73 | .203 | .233 | .275 | .254 | .246 | 12.3% | 2.7% | 15.2% | 85.4 | 104.8 | 1.7% | 28.3% | 35.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 60 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 17%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 5%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 22 | .278 | .409 | .333 | .348 | .388 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 89.8 | 104.8 | 0.0% | 37.5% | 43.8% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 64 | .237 | .297 | .271 | .262 | .317 | 6.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 85.7 | 104.8 | 1.8% | 29.1% | 40.0% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 125 | .267 | .304 | .319 | .294 | .315 | 8.8% | 2.4% | 10.2% | 85.6 | 104.8 | 2.8% | 33.6% | 37.4% |
| 90 days | 76 | 316 | .293 | .323 | .367 | .322 | .326 | 9.8% | 2.8% | 11.4% | 86.3 | 108.9 | 1.9% | 31.0% | 39.6% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 268 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 24%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 6%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 95.7 | 77.8 | 29 | .269 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sinker | 95.4 | 83.7 | -9 | .171 | Double play |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Splitter | 85.2 | 95.7 | 12 | .900 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sinker | 99.5 | 92.1 | -28 | .135 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 96.0 | 67.6 | 30 | .870 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sweeper | 87.2 | 95.2 | 22 | .243 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 87.1 | 86.8 | -17 | .104 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 95.8 | 91.7 | -24 | .101 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sweeper | 80.7 | 70.9 | -2 | .070 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 94.1 | 94.1 | 5 | .458 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Cutter | 98.1 | 98.3 | -14 | .209 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 92.2 | 95.8 | -14 | .197 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FormNormal
Contact rating74Above average
Last 100 pitches79steady
wOBA / xwOBA.324 / .340results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.327
Barrel%1.8%
Hard-hit%26.2%
K%10.3%
BB%3.4%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA63.326
Avg EV3186.3
Max EV42108.9
Barrel%71.9%
Hard-hit%2031.0%
Sweet-spot%8439.6%
K%979.8%
BB%22.8%
Whiff%9511.4%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 5 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 4.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
6 settled gamesGames with a hit5 of 6BTB expected 4.0
Games with 2+ TB1 of 6BTB expected 2.1
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeDwOBA .327 · K% 10.3%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Brayan Bello | 69.3% | 36.7% | 3.3% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Tyler Phillips | 65.0% | 31.0% | 4.5% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | Ryan Gusto | 68.8% | 35.5% | 4.5% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | Janson Junk | 68.2% | 35.7% | 4.3% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Rhett Lowder | 69.0% | 41.5% | 5.0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Nick Lodolo | 66.4% | 36.4% | 5.4% | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Chase Burns | 64.4% | 30.9% | 4.5% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |