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Nick Gonzales

PIT · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Nick Gonzales · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.091.167.091.133.19016.7%0.0%20.8%85.6102.70.0%11.1%33.3%
Last 15 G1537.147.216.176.193.28918.9%5.4%19.7%86.3102.73.8%26.9%34.6%
Last 30 G2979.304.392.348.346.33815.2%10.1%16.3%85.6105.41.8%26.8%35.7%
90 days65187.319.406.411.382.34116.0%10.2%20.2%87.0105.72.3%32.8%35.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 131 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 18%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.429.500.571.469.41812.5%12.5%14.3%85.5103.416.7%33.3%16.7%
Last 15 G1223.350.435.500.411.3568.7%8.7%20.9%89.8103.45.6%38.9%22.2%
Last 30 G2348.256.396.359.348.3568.3%12.5%17.1%87.4103.52.9%34.3%37.1%
90 days51107.289.355.392.334.30611.2%6.5%18.4%86.4104.61.2%29.4%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 85 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 26%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.222.300.278.267.28115.0%5.0%18.4%85.6103.46.7%20.0%26.7%
Last 15 G1560.222.300.296.278.31515.0%6.7%20.2%87.8103.44.5%31.8%29.5%
Last 30 G30127.287.394.352.346.34512.6%11.0%16.6%86.3105.42.2%29.7%36.3%
90 days69294.308.388.404.365.32814.3%8.8%19.6%86.7105.71.9%31.5%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 216 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 21%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 4%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball90.847.1-14.169Force out
Sep 24RHPSlider90.092.56.429Single
Sep 24RHPSinker94.293.749.012Out
Sep 23LHPSinker93.085.9-2.195Single
Sep 23LHPSlider84.0103.4331.180Out
Sep 23RHPSinker93.2102.7-12.282Out
Sep 20RHPFastball92.994.340.030Out
Sep 20RHPFastball93.527.929.271Out
Sep 20RHPSinker92.794.040.030Out
Sep 19LHPChangeup79.785.26.374Double
Sep 19LHPCutter88.491.8-14.148Out
Sep 19RHPSlider90.983.48.369Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411010
Sep 23411001
Sep 20400001
Sep 19412001
Sep 18411000
Sep 17400003
Sep 15422010
Sep 13412001
Sep 11411010
Sep 10412001
FormNormal
Contact rating71Above average
Last 100 pitches27trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.364 / .337running 26 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBContact type
wOBA.342
Barrel%1.9%
Hard-hit%24.2%
K%14.7%
BB%7.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Nick Gonzales · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Nick Gonzales · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Randy Dobnak: 66.7% · 1 HSep 19 vs Noah Cameron: 64.9% · 1 HSep 20 vs Michael Wacha: 68.1% · no hitSep 23 vs Matthew Liberatore: 67.7% · 1 HSep 24 vs Kyle Leahy: 64.5% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jackson Jobe: 66.3% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 3.3
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeBwOBA .342 · K% 14.7%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jackson Jobe66.3%34.2%5.4%not settled
Sep 24Kyle Leahy64.5%29.2%4.5%4110
Sep 23Matthew Liberatore67.7%33.6%5.3%4110
Sep 20Michael Wacha68.1%36.3%5.0%4000
Sep 19Noah Cameron64.9%31.5%5.3%4120
Sep 18Randy Dobnak66.7%30.1%4.6%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.