Michael Wacha

KC · Starting pitcher · 1 starts projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 26 · 6:10 PM CT

Michael WachaRHP · KC vs CLE

4.3projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.9 batters over 5.8 innings

Over 4.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%20.1%

BB%6.6%

Whiff%9.3%

Velo86.9

BTB Stuff88

Location101

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball28%9293.27.2%

Changeup27%9480.614.2%

Cutter14%9089.87.9%

Sinker13%8193.24.1%

Curveball10%6875.66.8%

Slider8%8184.514.3%

Other0%––0.0%

Last 3 startsTrending Down

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 20	114	19%	11%	27%	.350
Sep 15	99	8%	5%	38%	.346
Sep 8	93	17%	7%	13%	.229

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameCLE @ KC →Kauffman Stadium

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	28%	93.2	+5.6″	+17.6″
Changeup	Offspeed	27%	80.6	+13.3″	+7.0″
Cutter	Hard	14%	89.6	-1.6″	+10.2″
Sinker	Hard	13%	93.1	+11.6″	+14.8″
Curveball	Breaking	10%	75.4	-10.2″	-12.0″
Slider	Breaking	8%	84.6	-2.5″	+2.7″

The lineup he faces

Michael Wacha KC · RHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Steven Kwan10%

2José Ramírez14%

3Chase DeLauter13%

4Jo Adell25%

5Angel Martínez24%

6David Fry23%

7Travis Bazzana21%

8Patrick Bailey27%

9Brayan Rocchio15%

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Michael Wacha KC · RHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Changeup+7 pts

Fastball+1 pts

Sinker+3 pts

Slider-1 pts

Curveball-3 pts

Cutter-8 pts

Other+0 pts

Michael Wacha with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Changeup	27%	35%	21.2%	18.2%	18.6%
Fastball	28%	29%	9.4%	14.0%	18.0%
Sinker	13%	16%	7.7%	11.3%	16.9%
Slider	8%	7%	43.8%	21.2%	21.0%
Curveball	10%	7%	14.3%	9.4%	20.1%
Cutter	14%	6%	7.7%	19.2%	17.9%
Other	0%	0%	–	100.0%	21.7%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts5BTB expected 5.2 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line1 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 20	PIT	5.2	4.5	59.4%	52.1%	5