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Richie Palacios

TB · Hitter · 3 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Richie Palacios · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.333.455.333.373.34318.2%18.2%16.7%81.596.80.0%14.3%14.3%
Last 15 G1435.333.429.733.483.37714.3%14.3%13.8%89.5106.012.0%44.0%32.0%
Last 30 G2884.260.337.507.363.31613.1%10.7%14.9%86.8106.04.7%32.8%28.1%
90 days56160.268.354.500.374.33515.0%11.9%16.8%86.0106.06.0%33.6%34.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 116 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 24%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.200.333.400.325.33316.7%16.7%9.1%89.995.80.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G813.182.308.273.273.3207.7%7.7%13.0%83.295.80.0%20.0%30.0%
Last 30 G1621.105.190.158.178.2529.5%4.8%15.8%83.795.90.0%25.0%25.0%
90 days2735.097.200.161.182.22417.1%8.6%23.0%84.3102.00.0%25.0%20.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 24 balls in play
Ground 67%Line drive 13%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.286.412.357.356.33917.6%17.6%13.8%84.696.80.0%18.2%27.3%
Last 15 G1548.293.396.610.426.36212.5%12.5%13.6%87.7106.08.6%37.1%31.4%
Last 30 G30105.228.308.435.327.30412.4%9.5%15.1%86.2106.03.8%31.2%27.5%
90 days60195.237.326.438.340.31615.4%11.3%17.9%85.7106.05.0%32.1%32.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 140 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 22%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball84.077.31.156Single
Sep 23RHPChangeup87.669.821.877Single
Sep 23RHPSinker94.479.2-4.097Out
Sep 23LHPFastball92.685.7-1.231Out
Sep 22LHPSinker94.090.318.586Double play
Sep 22RHPCurveball78.590.046.004Out
Sep 19RHPChangeup90.192.00.325Fielder's choice
Sep 19RHPFastball98.196.8-8.238Force out
Sep 19RHPSinker95.265.736.676Single
Sep 17LHPSlider84.095.820.360Double
Sep 17LHPFastball92.087.8-14.123Out
Sep 16LHPFastball95.494.07.482Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24211010
Sep 23411001
Sep 22300001
Sep 19411001
Sep 17412020
Sep 16100000
Sep 15300001
Sep 13425100
Sep 12211000
Sep 11311010
FormNormal
Contact rating49Average
Last 100 pitches89trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.333 / .315running 18 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Richie Palacios · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Richie Palacios · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Brayan Bello: 52.9% · 1 HSep 23 vs Gerrit Cole: 61.7% · 1 HSep 24 vs Cam Schlittler: 55.0% · 1 HSep 19Sep 24

Hits in 3 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 1.7. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 3BTB expected 1.7
Games with 2+ TB0 of 3BTB expected 0.9
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.3
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Cam Schlittler55.0%25.3%7.8%2110
Sep 23Gerrit Cole61.7%36.3%11.8%4110
Sep 19Brayan Bello52.9%31.4%7.3%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.