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Sean Murphy

ATL · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Sean Murphy · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G412.000.333.000.308.4258.3%33.3%16.7%93.2105.714.3%57.1%14.3%
Last 15 G1442.143.286.257.301.33821.4%16.7%28.0%89.3106.111.5%46.2%23.1%
Last 30 G2671.206.296.365.332.29328.2%11.3%28.3%89.0107.49.3%44.2%32.6%
90 days2671.206.296.365.332.29328.2%11.3%28.3%89.0107.49.3%44.2%32.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 61%Line drive 12%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.000.000.000.000.05550.0%0.0%45.5%89.698.60.0%33.3%0.0%
Last 15 G815.000.133.000.093.12846.7%13.3%46.7%85.398.60.0%16.7%0.0%
Last 30 G1729.115.207.231.203.25434.5%10.3%35.0%84.9105.812.5%31.2%12.5%
90 days1729.115.207.231.203.25434.5%10.3%35.0%84.9105.812.5%31.2%12.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 16 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 6%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.000.222.000.206.30222.2%22.2%27.6%92.1105.710.0%50.0%10.0%
Last 15 G1557.104.246.188.246.28228.1%15.8%33.3%88.6106.19.4%40.6%18.8%
Last 30 G27100.180.270.326.295.28230.0%11.0%30.5%87.9107.410.2%40.7%27.1%
90 days27100.180.270.326.295.28230.0%11.0%30.5%87.9107.410.2%40.7%27.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 59 balls in play
Ground 58%Line drive 10%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker90.398.626.788Out
Sep 24LHPFastball95.598.640.151Out
Sep 23LHPFastball92.076.8-31.025Out
Sep 22LHPCutter90.693.5-6.154Out
Sep 19RHPSinker91.3103.51.456Out
Sep 19RHPFastball94.5102.32.515Out
Sep 18RHPSinker94.081.150.052Out
Sep 18RHPSinker94.282.6-12.063Error
Sep 18RHPFastball96.7105.7-1.420Out
Sep 18RHPFastball95.578.762.013Out
Sep 16LHPSplitter83.194.150.006Out
Sep 16RHPSinker97.453.0-12.068Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400020
Sep 23300002
Sep 22300002
Sep 19400020
Sep 18400000
Sep 16400001
Sep 14400002
Sep 12412011
Sep 11411001
Sep 9300001
FormNormal
Contact rating46Average
Last 100 pitches12trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.296 / .311results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit2/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Sean Murphy · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Sean Murphy · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Peter Lambert: 41.5% · no hitSep 19 vs Hayden Wesneski: 43.1% · no hitSep 22 vs Brandon Williamson: 44.1% · no hitSep 23 vs Andrew Abbott: 52.8% · no hitSep 24 vs Brady Singer: 49.6% · no hitSep 25 vs Eury Pérez: 46.0% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 0 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit0 of 5BTB expected 2.3
Games with 2+ TB0 of 5BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Eury Pérez46.0%25.2%10.2%not settled
Sep 24Brady Singer49.6%25.2%11.0%4000
Sep 23Andrew Abbott52.8%32.4%13.7%3000
Sep 22Brandon Williamson44.1%30.4%13.5%3000
Sep 19Hayden Wesneski43.1%28.6%11.8%4000
Sep 18Peter Lambert41.5%23.2%11.4%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.